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Cordoba crestCordoba
v
Almeria crestAlmeria

Segunda División | Sat 12 Sep, 20:00

Cordoba v Almeria Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cordoba face Almeria in Segunda División on Sat 12 Sep, 20:00. Cordoba come in with 3 recent points and 1.75 goals per match, while Almeria have 6 points and 1.5 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Almeria to Win

  • At 2.8, Almeria to Win implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 51%.
  • Almeria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Cordoba.
  • Almeria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Almeria to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Cordoba sit 19 in the table, while Almeria sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 51% for Almeria to Win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Almeria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Cordoba.

Model chance vs price51% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
Almeria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Almeria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Almeria Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Almeria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Cordoba. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Almeria to Win evidence

Almeria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Cordoba.

Almeria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Almeria Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Cordoba sit 19 in the table, while Almeria sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Almeria to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Cordoba1.75
    Avg goals scored
    Almeria1.5
    Cordoba2.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Almeria1
    Cordoba100%
    BTTS rate
    Almeria25%
    Cordoba100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Almeria50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 65% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 29%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAlmeria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Almeria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Almeria to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Cordoba5
    Avg corners for
    Almeria4.33
    Cordoba7.5
    Avg total corners
    Almeria9.67
    Cordoba2.75
    Avg yellow cards
    Almeria1.67
    Cordoba15.25
    Avg shots
    Almeria14
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 55% · edge -16.1 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Cordoba

    LLWL
    Last 51W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 3L
    07 Sep 2026A Sabadell2-3
    30 Aug 2026H Granada CF1-3
    21 Aug 2026H Girona2-1
    16 Aug 2026A Burgos2-3

    Almeria

    WLLW
    Last 52W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 2L
    06 Sep 2026H Cadiz3-2
    29 Aug 2026A Sabadell0-1
    23 Aug 2026A Tenerife0-1
    17 Aug 2026H Eldense3-0
    Market aligned with main pickAlmeria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Almeria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Cordoba wins
    1Draws
    6Almeria wins
    07 Aug 2026Cordoba v Almeria0-4
    21 Feb 2026Almeria v Cordoba2-1
    19 Oct 2025Cordoba v Almeria1-1
    12 Jan 2025Cordoba v Almeria0-3
    26 Nov 2024Almeria v Cordoba4-0
    23 Jul 2022Almeria v Cordoba1-2
    Market aligned with main pickAlmeria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Almeria to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Segunda División

    Cordoba4
    Played
    Almeria4
    Cordoba1.8
    Avg goals for
    Almeria1.5
    Cordoba2.5
    Avg goals against
    Almeria1
    Cordoba0
    Clean sheets
    Almeria1
    Market aligned with main pickAlmeria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Almeria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Season data supports Almeria to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    12Almeria642022
    19Cordoba34103-3
    Cordoba sit in position 19, while Almeria sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Almeria to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Cordoba Over 2.5
    50%Almeria Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cordoba sit at 100% and Almeria sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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