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China crestChina
v
Thailand crestThailand

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 12:35

China v Thailand Stats

Data last updated: Mon 08 Jun 2026, 03:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

China and Thailand meet in a friendly where both sides have shown attacking intent in recent matches, with each game featuring multiple goals. China has been efficient in front of goal, while Thailand's offensive players have consistently tested defenses. The match promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities as both teams look to sharpen attacking patterns and experiment tactically ahead of more competitive fixtures.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both China and Thailand have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals in their recent matches.
  • China averages 11 shots per game with 3 on target, Thailand averages 12 shots with 6 on target, indicating active offenses.
  • Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate recently, suggesting goals from both sides are likely.
  • China averages 10 corners per game, showing sustained pressure and attacking width.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 2.2 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals highly with a 78% chance, supported by both teams' recent matches consistently exceeding this threshold. China and Thailand's attacking statistics, including high shot volumes and BTTS rates, indicate an open game with multiple scoring chances. The data quality is solid with balanced samples for both teams, reinforcing in this goal-focused selection.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Shot VolumeChina 11 avg, Thailand 12 avg
Strong positive
BTTS Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals2.2 average goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where both China and Thailand push forward aggressively. The high recent Over 2.5 Goals rates and strong shot metrics from both sides suggest multiple goals are likely. Tactical experimentation may lead to defensive lapses, further increasing scoring chances.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendly matches sometimes feature experimental line-ups or defensive caution, which could reduce goal-scoring despite attacking stats.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“China and Thailand's recent matches show consistent attacking output and goal involvement, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice for this friendly encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both China and Thailand have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals in their recent matches.

China averages 11 shots per game with 3 on target, Thailand averages 12 shots with 6 on target, indicating active offenses.

Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate recently, suggesting goals from both sides are likely.

China averages 10 corners per game, showing sustained pressure and attacking width.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Analysis of the last five matches for both teams shows a consistent pattern of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by open tempo and attacking intent.
  • This trend suggests the fixture will continue the pattern of goal-rich encounters, with both sides contributing to the scoring.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

China2
Avg goals scored
Thailand2
China1.5
Avg goals conceded
Thailand2
China100%
BTTS rate
Thailand100%
China100%
Over 2.5 goals
Thailand100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 49% · edge +29.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Both China and Thailand have scored and conceded regularly in recent matches, each maintaining a 100% BTTS rate and Over 2.5 Goals frequency. This indicates a pattern of open play and mutual goal threat, making goals from both sides and a total above 2.5 highly probable in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 49% · edge +29.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
China to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
China Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Thailand Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Thailand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The Over 2.5 Goals market is supported by a strong of 78%, reflecting the consistent goal-scoring patterns from both teams. The absence of data means the market is not flagged as value-sensitive, but the statistical backing suggests this is a solid football-based selection rather than a price-driven one.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies hubChina v Thailand predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

China10
Avg corners for
Thailand5
China14
Avg total corners
Thailand6
China2
Avg yellow cards
Thailand2
China11
Avg shots
Thailand12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +12 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
China's high average of 10 corners per game and Thailand's 5 corners reflect sustained attacking pressure and territorial control at times. Both teams generate significant shot volumes, with Thailand averaging 6 shots on target, suggesting active offensive phases. Discipline appears balanced with 2 yellows per team, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

China

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
05 Jun 2026A Singapore2-1
26 Jan 2026A Uzbekistan2-2

Thailand

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
05 Jun 2026H Kuwait2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 80% · edge +3.4 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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China to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
China Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Thailand Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Thailand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Recent form data shows both China and Thailand have consistently played matches with over 2.5 goals, maintaining a perfect record in this regard. This trend reflects offensive and defensive vulnerabilities that are expected to continue, supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring friendly.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3China wins
1Draws
1Thailand wins
06 Jun 2024China v Thailand1-1
16 Nov 2023Thailand v China1-2
21 Mar 2019China v Thailand0-1
20 Jan 2019Thailand v China1-2
02 Jun 2018Thailand v China0-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 49% · edge +29.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
China to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Thailand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The five previous meetings between China and Thailand average 2.2 goals per match, indicating moderately high-scoring encounters historically. While not overwhelmingly high, this supports the expectation of multiple goals in this friendly, especially combined with recent attacking form.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

China2
Played
Thailand1
China2
Avg goals for
Thailand2
China1.5
Avg goals against
Thailand2
China0
Clean sheets
Thailand0
Best odds for this sectionChina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 51% · edge +6.8 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
China Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Thailand Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Thailand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Season-long statistics reveal China and Thailand possess attacking profiles conducive to multiple goals, with both teams averaging high shot counts and goal involvement. Defensive records suggest openness at the back, reinforcing the expectation of a match exceeding 2.5 goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%China Over 2.5
100%Thailand Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Analysis of the last five matches for both teams shows a consistent pattern of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by open tempo and attacking intent. This trend suggests the fixture will continue the pattern of goal-rich encounters, with both sides contributing to the scoring.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

China v Thailand prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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