Football Stats Hub

Chico crestChico
v
Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar

Primera A | Wed 16 Sep, 01:30

Chico v Alianza Valledupar Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chico face Alianza Valledupar in Primera A on Wed 16 Sep, 01:30. Chico come in with 8 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Alianza Valledupar have 4 points and 0.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Chico to Win

  • At 2.15, Chico to Win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • Chico have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alianza Valledupar.
  • Chico have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Chico to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Chico sit 15 in the table, while Alianza Valledupar sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for Chico to Win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. Chico have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alianza Valledupar.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Strong positive
Chico have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Chico have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Chico Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Chico have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alianza Valledupar. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Chico to Win evidence

Chico have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alianza Valledupar.

Chico have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Chico Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Chico sit 15 in the table, while Alianza Valledupar sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Chico to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Chico1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Alianza Valledupar0.4
    Chico0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Alianza Valledupar1.8
    Chico40%
    BTTS rate
    Alianza Valledupar20%
    Chico40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Alianza Valledupar40%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 40% · edge +6.7 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Chico and 40% for Alianza Valledupar, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Chico

    WWDDL
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    13 Sep 2026H Independiente Medellin2-1
    05 Sep 2026H Once Caldas2-0
    30 Aug 2026A Águilas Doradas2-2
    26 Aug 2026H Fortaleza FC0-0
    21 Aug 2026A Jaguares0-1

    Alianza Valledupar

    WLLLD
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 5L
    13 Sep 2026H Junior1-0
    03 Sep 2026A America de Cali0-3
    30 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional1-5
    26 Aug 2026A Cucuta0-1
    22 Aug 2026H Deportivo Pereira0-0
    Market aligned with main pickChico to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Chico Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    17Alianza Valledupar1719388-14
    18Chico17195212-17
    15Chico87223-7
    19Alianza Valledupar58125-9
    Chico sit in position 15, while Alianza Valledupar sit in position 19, so table pressure belongs in the Chico to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickChico to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Chico Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Chico to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Chico5
    Avg corners for
    Alianza Valledupar3.33
    Chico10.2
    Avg total corners
    Alianza Valledupar8.33
    Chico2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Alianza Valledupar4
    Chico9
    Avg shots
    Alianza Valledupar13.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +7.7 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Chico wins
    3Draws
    3Alianza Valledupar wins
    28 Jan 2026Alianza Valledupar v Chico1-1
    09 Nov 2025Alianza Valledupar v Chico2-0
    18 May 2025Chico v Alianza Valledupar2-1
    24 Aug 2024Alianza Valledupar v Chico4-0
    19 Feb 2024Chico v Alianza Valledupar1-0
    06 Sep 2023Alianza Valledupar v Chico1-1
    Market aligned with main pickChico to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Chico to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Primera A

    Chico26
    Played
    Alianza Valledupar27
    Chico0.8
    Avg goals for
    Alianza Valledupar0.7
    Chico1.7
    Avg goals against
    Alianza Valledupar1.6
    Chico6
    Clean sheets
    Alianza Valledupar6
    Market aligned with main pickChico to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Chico Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Season data supports Chico to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Chico Over 2.5
    40%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
    2.3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Chico sit at 40% and Alianza Valledupar sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    America de Cali v Deportivo PastoPrimera A · Tue 15 Sep 02:00Deportivo Pereira v Santa FePrimera A · Tue 15 Sep 21:00Once Caldas v Deportes TolimaPrimera A · Thu 17 Sep 00:15Bucaramanga v Águilas DoradasPrimera A · Wed 14 Oct 01:00

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre