America de Cali

Deportivo Pasto

Primera A | Sun 13 Sep, 02:15

America de Cali v Deportivo Pasto Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

America de Cali leads the Primera A standings and hosts Deportivo Pasto, who sit near the bottom with just 2 points. America de Cali's recent form shows solid attacking output but a moderate rate of both teams scoring, while Deportivo Pasto struggles to score but concedes frequently. This clash pits a strong home side with offensive threats against a visiting team with defensive vulnerabilities, setting up a contest where both teams have incentives to attack but defensive lapses could lead to goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

America de Cali averages 14.4 shots and 6 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking intent.
Deportivo Pasto concedes 1.6 goals per game and has a 60% BTTS rate, showing defensive frailty but some scoring ability.
The head-to-head average goals over the last 10 matches is 2.6, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
Both teams have similar corner counts per game, suggesting balanced territorial exchanges and set-piece opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 63.3% chance, well above the implied 40% from current , indicating strong value. America de Cali's attacking numbers combined with Deportivo Pasto's defensive weaknesses and reasonable scoring record create a favorable environment for goals at both ends. The level is high at 88%, reflecting consistent data signals. No data limitations or price warnings apply, making this a solid pick based on attacking and defensive profiles.

Model Chance63.3%

Strong positive

Implied Chance40%

Strong positive

Value Edge+23.3%

Strong positive

Confidence88%

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to score and concede, with America de Cali's offensive pressure and Deportivo Pasto's defensive struggles creating a likely scenario for goals at both ends. The statistical evidence supports a BTTS outcome, making it a tactically and data-backed choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking prowess of America de Cali combined with Deportivo Pasto's defensive vulnerabilities makes Both Teams to Score a compelling selection, as both sides have the capacity and incentive to find the net.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

America de Cali averages 14.4 shots and 6 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking intent.

Deportivo Pasto concedes 1.6 goals per game and has a 60% BTTS rate, showing defensive frailty but some scoring ability.

The head-to-head average goals over the last 10 matches is 2.6, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Both teams have similar corner counts per game, suggesting balanced territorial exchanges and set-piece opportunities.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.6, supporting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.
This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a tempo conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams finding the net in this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

America de Cali5

Avg corners for

Deportivo Pasto5.2

America de Cali11

Avg total corners

Deportivo Pasto9.8

America de Cali3

Avg yellow cards

Deportivo Pasto4

America de Cali14.4

Avg shots

Deportivo Pasto11.2

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 55% · edge +10.8 pts

1.83

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.4

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Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

2.1

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Both teams average around 5 corners per game, indicating balanced territorial play and set-piece chances. America de Cali's higher shot volume (14.4) and shots on target (6) contrast with Deportivo Pasto's lower but still significant attacking numbers, suggesting sustained pressure and opportunities. The card counts show moderate discipline issues, which could influence game flow and set-piece frequency.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

America de Cali2

Avg goals scored

Deportivo Pasto0.8

America de Cali0.8

Avg goals conceded

Deportivo Pasto1.6

America de Cali40%

BTTS rate

Deportivo Pasto60%

America de Cali60%

Over 2.5 goals

Deportivo Pasto40%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts

2.5

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%

2.08

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.33

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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%

3.75

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.73

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BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 41%

1.5

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America de Cali scores 2 goals per game and concedes 0.8, while Deportivo Pasto scores 0.8 but concedes 1.6, highlighting a contrast that supports goals at both ends. The BTTS rates of 40% for America de Cali and 60% for Deportivo Pasto reflect a balanced risk of both teams scoring, reinforced by a 2.6 average goals per game in their head-to-head history.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts

2.5

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America de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%

1.4

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Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%

Check odds @ 5

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.4

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America de Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.17

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%

2.08

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Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

8.5

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The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying a 40% chance, while the model estimates a 63.3% probability, indicating clear value. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both teams scoring, making the bet a positive-value opportunity without price sensitivity concerns.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

America de Cali

WDWDW

Last 53W 2D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 3D 1L

03 Sep 2026H Alianza Valledupar3-0

29 Aug 2026A Jaguares2-2

27 Aug 2026H Junior4-2

23 Aug 2026A Santa Fe0-0

10 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional1-0

Deportivo Pasto

DLDLL

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 2D 8L

06 Sep 2026A Cucuta2-2

01 Sep 2026H Deportivo Pereira1-2

28 Aug 2026A Internacional de Bogota1-1

23 Aug 2026H Llaneros0-1

09 Aug 2026H Deportivo Cali0-2

Best odds for this sectionAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.6 pts

1.4

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Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%

Check odds @ 5

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.08

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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%

2.75

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America de Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.17

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Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

8.5

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DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%

4.5

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Recent form shows America de Cali with 11 points and a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating strong attacking momentum. Deportivo Pasto's 2 points and 40% over 2.5 rate reflect struggles but a tendency to concede goals. Both teams' BTTS rates (40% and 60%) align with the model's BTTS prediction, confirming the likelihood of goals from both sides in current form.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4America de Cali wins

3Draws

3Deportivo Pasto wins

10 Mar 2026Deportivo Pasto v America de Cali2-0

25 Sep 2025Deportivo Pasto v America de Cali0-2

08 Feb 2025America de Cali v Deportivo Pasto1-1

07 Nov 2024Deportivo Pasto v America de Cali3-1

19 Apr 2024America de Cali v Deportivo Pasto0-0

30 Jul 2023America de Cali v Deportivo Pasto1-1

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts

2.5

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America de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%

1.4

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%

2.08

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Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

8.5

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DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%

4.5

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The 10 previous meetings between these teams average 2.6 goals per game, indicating a history of relatively open contests. This supports the expectation of goals from both sides, although the sample size is moderate and current tactical adjustments could influence the outcome. Overall, the head-to-head data moderately supports the BTTS selection.

Season team stats

Primera A

America de Cali29

Played

Deportivo Pasto29

America de Cali1.6

Avg goals for

Deportivo Pasto1.2

America de Cali0.8

Avg goals against

Deportivo Pasto1.5

America de Cali15

Clean sheets

Deportivo Pasto7

Best odds for this sectionAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.6 pts

1.4

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Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%

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America de Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.17

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Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

8.5

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Season-long data reveals America de Cali's robust attack averaging 2 goals per game and solid defense conceding less than one goal per match. Deportivo Pasto's offense is less potent at 0.8 goals per game, but defensive frailty with 1.6 goals conceded per game increases the chance of both teams scoring. These contrasting profiles support the BTTS market selection.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
3	Deportivo Pasto	34	19	10	4	5	4
4	America de Cali	33	19	10	3	6	10
1	America de Cali	20	8	6	2	0	16
19	Deportivo Pasto	2	8	0	2	6	-8

America de Cali leads the league with 20 points, reflecting strong overall performance and home advantage. Deportivo Pasto sits 19th with only 2 points, indicating struggles but also a potential desperation to score. The standings suggest a motivated home side and an away team needing goals, which can contribute to a BTTS outcome.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%America de Cali Over 2.5

40%Deportivo Pasto Over 2.5

2.6H2H avg goals

Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.6, supporting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a tempo conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams finding the net in this fixture.

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Betting context

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America de Cali v Deportivo Pasto Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Deportivo Pasto

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America de Cali v Deportivo Pasto Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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America de Cali

Deportivo Pasto

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