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Cambodia crestCambodia
v
Hong Kong crestHong Kong

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 13:00

Cambodia v Hong Kong Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 23:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cambodia face Hong Kong in Friendlies on Tue 09 Jun, 13:00. Both teams have averaged more than three total goals across their last six matches, pointing to a fixture with genuine attacking potential. It is a test of direction, and whether recent wins were signs of progress or just brief flashes in a messy spell.

BT4Y best bet

Cambodia Win

  • At 11/2, Cambodia Win implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • Cambodia are dangerous at home, scoring two or more in six of their last eight, while Hong Kong have scored two or more in.
  • Cambodia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Cambodia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Cambodia Win sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. Cambodia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Cambodia Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Cambodia are dangerous at home, scoring two or more in six of their last eight, while Hong Kong have scored two or more in.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Strong positive
Cambodia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Cambodia are dangerous at home, scoring two or more.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cambodia Win is the preferred angle because cambodia are dangerous at home, scoring two or more in six of their last eight, while Hong Kong have scored two or more in three of their last four matches. Cambodia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Cambodia Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Football can be cruel, but occasionally it gives you Bhutan at the right time.

Main risk

Football can be cruel, but occasionally it gives you Bhutan at the right time.

Key Data Signals

Cambodia Win evidence

Cambodia are dangerous at home, scoring two or more in six of their last eight, while Hong Kong.

Cambodia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Cambodia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Cambodia Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Cambodia4
    Avg goals scored
    Hong Kong2
    Cambodia0
    Avg goals conceded
    Hong Kong0
    Cambodia0%
    BTTS rate
    Hong Kong0%
    Cambodia100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Hong Kong0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 50% · edge +18 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCambodia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 31% · edge +26.8 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
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    Cambodia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Cambodia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Cambodia-
    Avg corners for
    Hong Kong5
    Cambodia-
    Avg total corners
    Hong Kong5
    Cambodia-
    Avg yellow cards
    Hong Kong1
    Cambodia-
    Avg shots
    Hong Kong0
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    3
    Check odds @ 3
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 29%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Cambodia

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    04 Jun 2026H Bhutan4-0

    Hong Kong

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    05 Jun 2026H Mongolia2-0
    Market aligned with main pickCambodia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 31% · edge +26.8 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 83%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Cambodia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Cambodia wins
    3Draws
    3Hong Kong wins
    13 Nov 2025Hong Kong v Cambodia1-1
    15 Oct 2024Hong Kong v Cambodia3-0
    07 Sep 2023Cambodia v Hong Kong1-1
    11 Jun 2022Cambodia v Hong Kong0-3
    19 Nov 2019Hong Kong v Cambodia2-0
    05 Sep 2019Cambodia v Hong Kong1-1
    Market aligned with main pickCambodia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 31% · edge +26.8 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Cambodia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Cambodia2
    Played
    Hong Kong2
    Cambodia3
    Avg goals for
    Hong Kong1
    Cambodia0
    Avg goals against
    Hong Kong1
    Cambodia2
    Clean sheets
    Hong Kong1
    Market aligned with main pickCambodia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 31% · edge +26.8 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Cambodia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Season data supports Cambodia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Cambodia Over 2.5
    0%Hong Kong Over 2.5
    2.33H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cambodia sit at 100% and Hong Kong sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.