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BSC Young Boys crestBSC Young Boys
v
Servette FC crestServette FC

Super League | Sat 19 Sep, 17:00

BSC Young Boys v Servette FC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 20:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

BSC Young Boys host Servette FC in a Super League clash where the home side aims to consolidate their strong early-season form. Young Boys have been prolific offensively, averaging over three goals per game recently, while Servette have shown more defensive solidity but less attacking threat. The tactical battle will likely see Young Boys pressing high and controlling possession, leveraging their home advantage and attacking depth. Servette will seek to contain and counter, but the quality and momentum favor Young Boys in this key fixture.

BT4Y match pick

BSC Young Boys to Win

  • BSC Young Boys have a 60.5% to win, with around 1.8 offering slight value.
  • Young Boys average 20.75 shots and 8.25 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Servette FC have a lower goals scored rate (1.2) and only 40% BTTS rate, suggesting less consistent offense.
  • Recent form shows Young Boys with 9 points and 100% over 2.5 goals rate, highlighting their scoring potency.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, supporting an open game with scoring opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors BSC Young Boys to win based on their superior attacking output, averaging 3.2 goals per game and maintaining a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently. Their offensive control is supported by high shot volumes and quality chances, while Servette's more modest scoring and defensive record suggest they may struggle to contain Young Boys' firepower. The home side's current form and attacking depth create a strong probability for victory, making this pick a solid choice without major price warnings.

Model Chance60.5%
Strong positive
Implied Chance vs Model55.6% vs 60.5%
Positive
Recent Goals Scored3.2 per game (Young Boys) vs 1.2 (Servette)
Strong positive
Shots & SOT20.75 shots, 8.25 SOT (Young Boys) vs 14.5 shots, 3.75 SOT (Servette)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate100% (Young Boys) vs 40% (Servette)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BSC Young Boys' attacking momentum and home advantage make them the tactical and statistical favorite to secure victory. Their high shot volume and goal-scoring consistency contrast with Servette's more cautious approach, suggesting Young Boys will control the match and convert chances effectively.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical advantage for BSC Young Boys

“Young Boys' offensive depth and recent form create a clear edge in this fixture, as they consistently generate high-quality chances that Servette may find difficult to contain.”

Key Data Signals

BSC Young Boys to Win evidence

BSC Young Boys have a 60.5% to win, with around 1.8 offering slight value.

Young Boys average 20.75 shots and 8.25 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Servette FC have a lower goals scored rate (1.2) and only 40% BTTS rate, suggesting less consistent offense.

Recent form shows Young Boys with 9 points and 100% over 2.5 goals rate, highlighting their scoring potency.

What To Watch In The Data

BSC Young Boys to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals.
  • Young Boys' recent 100% over 2.5 goals rate aligns with this trend, suggesting the fixture is likely to feature attacking play and goal opportunities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

BSC Young Boys6
Avg corners for
Servette FC5
BSC Young Boys9.2
Avg total corners
Servette FC12
BSC Young Boys2.4
Avg yellow cards
Servette FC2.8
BSC Young Boys18.2
Avg shots
Servette FC13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.4 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Young Boys average more corners (6.75) and shots (20.75) per game than Servette, reflecting territorial control and sustained pressure. Servette's higher average yellow cards (3) versus Young Boys (2) indicate a more physical defensive approach, which could lead to set-piece opportunities and influence match flow.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

BSC Young Boys3.2
Avg goals scored
Servette FC1.2
BSC Young Boys2.4
Avg goals conceded
Servette FC1.2
BSC Young Boys100%
BTTS rate
Servette FC40%
BSC Young Boys100%
Over 2.5 goals
Servette FC20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Recent trends show Young Boys scoring heavily with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and BTTS also at 100%, indicating open matches with goals at both ends. Servette's lower BTTS rate (40%) and fewer goals scored suggest they may concede more, supporting expectations for multiple goals and a lively game.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBSC Young Boys to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -3.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BSC Young Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The around 1.8 for BSC Young Boys to win reflect a slightly undervalued position compared to the model's 60.5% win probability. This small positive suggests the market underestimates Young Boys' attacking strength and home form, making the bet price-sensitive but justifiable.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

BSC Young Boys

DDWDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 0L
12 Sep 2026A FC Lugano2-2
05 Sep 2026H FC Luzern3-3
01 Sep 2026A FC Zurich4-2
29 Aug 2026H FC Basel 18933-3
23 Aug 2026H FC Vaduz4-2

Servette FC

WWLLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 4L
16 Sep 2026A FC Thun4-2
13 Sep 2026A Lausanne1-0
06 Sep 2026H FC ST. Gallen0-2
03 Sep 2026A FC Lugano0-1
29 Aug 2026H FC Luzern1-1
Market aligned with main pickBSC Young Boys to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -3.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 85%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BSC Young Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Young Boys have collected 9 points recently with a perfect over 2.5 goals record, showcasing their offensive consistency. Servette's 7 points and lower goal output reflect a more cautious approach. This form disparity underlines Young Boys' momentum and ability to impose their style in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4BSC Young Boys wins
4Draws
2Servette FC wins
12 Apr 2026BSC Young Boys v Servette FC1-1
30 Nov 2025Servette FC v BSC Young Boys4-4
26 Jul 2025BSC Young Boys v Servette FC3-1
11 May 2025Servette FC v BSC Young Boys0-0
01 Apr 2025Servette FC v BSC Young Boys0-1
15 Dec 2024BSC Young Boys v Servette FC2-1
Market aligned with main pickBSC Young Boys to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -3.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows a moderate average of 2.6 goals per game, supporting an open contest. While past results provide context, current form and attacking profiles of Young Boys and Servette offer stronger signals for this match outcome.
Season team stats

Super League

BSC Young Boys9
Played
Servette FC9
BSC Young Boys3.4
Avg goals for
Servette FC1.2
BSC Young Boys2
Avg goals against
Servette FC1.4
BSC Young Boys1
Clean sheets
Servette FC1
Market aligned with main pickBSC Young Boys to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -3.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BSC Young Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over the season, Young Boys demonstrate a potent attack averaging 3.2 goals per game, while conceding 2.4, indicating an aggressive style that often leads to high-scoring matches. Servette's more balanced but less prolific scoring and conceding rates suggest they may struggle to match Young Boys' offensive intensity.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2BSC Young Boys19954013
8Servette FC109315-2
Young Boys sit 3rd with 16 points, ahead of Servette in 5th with 10 points, reflecting a stronger campaign so far. While the table gap is moderate, it highlights Young Boys' greater consistency and ambition to climb higher, adding motivation to secure a home win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%BSC Young Boys Over 2.5
20%Servette FC Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals. Young Boys' recent 100% over 2.5 goals rate aligns with this trend, suggesting the fixture is likely to feature attacking play and goal opportunities.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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