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FC Basel 1893 crestFC Basel 1893
v
FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen

Super League | Sun 20 Sep, 15:30

FC Basel 1893 v FC ST. Gallen Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Basel 1893 hosts FC ST. Gallen in a Swiss Super League clash with both teams showing attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Basel has scored and conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game recently, while St. Gallen has a slightly lower scoring rate but concedes 2.6 goals on average. Basel's perfect recent record of matches going over 2.5 goals contrasts with St. Gallen's 60% rate, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. The fixture's mid-table stakes and attacking styles set the stage for a high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • FC Basel 1893 has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.
  • Gallen concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Basel averages 11.8 shots per game, showing offensive pressure.
  • Gallen's attacker A. Hunziker averages 4.42 shots and 2.41 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model sees a 52.8% chance for over 3.5 goals, slightly above the implied market chance, indicating a small positive value. Basel's recent matches have all exceeded 2.5 goals, and St. Gallen's defensive record supports the likelihood of multiple goals. Both teams' attacking players, especially Hunziker for St. Gallen and Olaigbe for Basel, contribute to shot volume and goal threat. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing in the attacking outlook for this fixture.

Basel's recent over 2.5 goals rate100%
Strong positive
St. Gallen's goals conceded per game2.6
Positive
A. Hunziker's shots and goal threat4.42 shots, 0.8 goals per 90
Strong positive
Market implied chance vs model chance52.4% vs 52.8%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as FC Basel 1893's consistent goal-scoring and St. Gallen's defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for multiple goals. Basel's offensive pressure combined with St. Gallen's key attackers creates a scenario ripe for over 3.5 goals in this Super League fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking roles

“Basel's relentless attacking and St. Gallen's defensive openness make over 3.5 goals a compelling angle, with key players like Hunziker and Olaigbe likely to influence the scoreline significantly.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

FC Basel 1893 has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.

Gallen concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Basel averages 11.8 shots per game, showing offensive pressure.

Gallen's attacker A. Hunziker averages 4.42 shots and 2.41 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating moderately high-scoring encounters.
  • Basel's recent perfect over 2.5 goals rate and St.
  • Gallen's 60% rate in recent matches suggest an upward trend in goals, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Basel 18933.4
Avg corners for
FC ST. Gallen8.4
FC Basel 189310
Avg total corners
FC ST. Gallen11.2
FC Basel 18932.4
Avg yellow cards
FC ST. Gallen2.2
FC Basel 189311.8
Avg shots
FC ST. Gallen20

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Basel 18932.2
Avg goals scored
FC ST. Gallen1.2
FC Basel 18932.2
Avg goals conceded
FC ST. Gallen2.6
FC Basel 1893100%
BTTS rate
FC ST. Gallen40%
FC Basel 1893100%
Over 2.5 goals
FC ST. Gallen60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 52% · edge +0.4 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form shows FC Basel 1893 has all matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while St. Gallen's matches go over 2.5 goals 60% of the time. Basel also has a 100% BTTS rate, indicating both teams score regularly. This combination supports a high-scoring game with goals from both sides likely.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFC Basel 1893 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
FC Basel 1893 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced at reflecting a 52.4% implied chance, closely matching the model's 52.8% probability. This small positive edge suggests the price fairly values the attacking trends, making it a reasonable bet without significant price sensitivity or value concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Basel 1893

WLLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
13 Sep 2026A FC Luzern4-2
06 Sep 2026H FC Lugano1-3
03 Sep 2026H FC Sion1-2
29 Aug 2026A BSC Young Boys3-3
22 Aug 2026A FC Zurich2-1

FC ST. Gallen

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 4L
16 Sep 2026A FC Lugano1-4
12 Sep 2026H FC Sion0-3
06 Sep 2026A Servette FC2-0
02 Sep 2026A Grasshoppers0-2
30 Aug 2026H FC Thun3-4
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
FC Basel 1893 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
FC Basel 1893 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Basel's recent matches have consistently produced over 2.5 goals, reflecting their attacking efficiency and defensive openness. Gallen's form is less prolific but still shows a propensity for goals, with a 60% over 2.5 rate. This recent output aligns well with the over 3.5 goals prediction, suggesting continued attacking intensity.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3FC Basel 1893 wins
3Draws
4FC ST. Gallen wins
14 May 2026FC Basel 1893 v FC ST. Gallen1-3
08 Mar 2026FC ST. Gallen v FC Basel 18933-0
04 Feb 2026FC ST. Gallen v FC Basel 18932-1
30 Nov 2025FC Basel 1893 v FC ST. Gallen0-0
26 Jul 2025FC ST. Gallen v FC Basel 18932-1
22 Feb 2025FC ST. Gallen v FC Basel 18932-2
Best odds for this sectionFC Basel 1893 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +15 pts
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.5 goals per game, providing a moderate historical basis for expecting goals. While not overwhelmingly high, this supports the fixture's potential for multiple goals, especially considering current attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities.
Season team stats

Super League

FC Basel 18938
Played
FC ST. Gallen8
FC Basel 18932
Avg goals for
FC ST. Gallen1.6
FC Basel 18931.8
Avg goals against
FC ST. Gallen2.3
FC Basel 18931
Clean sheets
FC ST. Gallen1
Best odds for this sectionFC Basel 1893 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
FC Basel 1893 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over the season, Basel scores and concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game, indicating open matches with multiple goals. Gallen concedes more heavily at 2.6 goals per game, supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture. These season-long trends underpin the expectation for over 3.5 goals in this game.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4FC Basel 18931384132
6FC ST. Gallen108314-5
Basel sits 4th with 13 points, while St. Gallen is 6th with 10 points, reflecting mid-table competition where both teams seek to assert themselves offensively. The standings suggest motivation to attack and secure points, which can lead to open play and increased goal opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FC Basel 1893 Over 2.5
60%FC ST. Gallen Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating moderately high-scoring encounters. Basel's recent perfect over 2.5 goals rate and St. Gallen's 60% rate in recent matches suggest an upward trend in goals, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps.

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