Football Stats Hub

Lausanne crestLausanne
v
FC Lugano crestFC Lugano

Super League | Sun 20 Sep, 15:30

Lausanne v FC Lugano Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Super League fixture features FC Lugano, currently top of the table with 22 points, visiting Lausanne, who sit bottom with just 6 points. Lugano's strong attacking form is evident, scoring 2.4 goals per game recently, while Lausanne have struggled offensively, averaging 0.6 goals. Lugano's defensive solidity and superior recent momentum set a clear tactical advantage, though Lausanne will seek to leverage home conditions and disrupt Lugano's rhythm. The match promises a tactical battle with Lugano favored to control possession and create quality chances.

BT4Y best bet

FC Lugano to Win

  • FC Lugano leads the league with 22 points versus Lausanne's 6 points at the bottom.
  • Lugano averages 2.4 goals per game recently, while Lausanne scores 0.6.
  • Lugano's shots per game (16.2) and shots on target (5.4) significantly exceed Lausanne's (10.2 shots, 3 on target).
  • Both teams have similar corner averages, but Lugano's higher shot volume indicates attacking control.
  • Lugano's recent form includes an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open, high-scoring matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates FC Lugano's chances at 70%, reflecting their dominant recent form and league position. Lugano's offensive metrics, including high shots and shots on target per game, combined with a strong defensive record conceding only 1 goal per match, underpin this . Lausanne's struggles in scoring and lower points tally further tilt the balance. The price offers positive value with a 15.9% edge, making Lugano to win a compelling selection. No data limitations affect this assessment, supporting a standard stake approach.

Model Chance70%
Strong positive
Implied Chance54.1%
Strong positive
Value Edge15.9%
Strong positive
Recent FormLugano strong, Lausanne weak
Strong positive
Shots and Offensive PressureLugano averages 16.2 shots/game vs Lausanne 10.2
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FC Lugano's superior league standing and recent attacking form make them the clear favorite in this matchup. Their ability to generate significantly more shots and goals than Lausanne provides a strong tactical and statistical foundation for a win. Lausanne's struggles to score and accumulate points suggest they will find it difficult to contain Lugano's offensive threats.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Lugano's attacking efficiency and league control position them strongly to secure victory, especially against a Lausanne side that has struggled to find the net consistently.”

Key Data Signals

FC Lugano to Win evidence

FC Lugano leads the league with 22 points versus Lausanne's 6 points at the bottom.

Lugano averages 2.4 goals per game recently, while Lausanne scores 0.6.

Lugano's shots per game (16.2) and shots on target (5.4) significantly exceed Lausanne's (10.2 shots, 3 on target).

Both teams have similar corner averages, but Lugano's higher shot volume indicates attacking control.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Lugano to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.7, with Lugano's recent matches featuring an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals.
  • This trend suggests a match likely to see multiple goals, driven by Lugano's attacking tempo and Lausanne's defensive challenges.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lausanne5
Avg corners for
FC Lugano5.6
Lausanne10.6
Avg total corners
FC Lugano10.4
Lausanne2.4
Avg yellow cards
FC Lugano3.2
Lausanne10.2
Avg shots
FC Lugano16.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Lugano's higher shot volume and shots on target indicate sustained attacking pressure, likely resulting in more corners and shots. Both teams have similar corner averages, but Lugano's aggressive playstyle and higher fouling rate (3.2 yellows per game) suggest a dynamic match with set-piece opportunities and disciplinary incidents.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lausanne0.6
Avg goals scored
FC Lugano2.4
Lausanne1.6
Avg goals conceded
FC Lugano1
Lausanne40%
BTTS rate
FC Lugano80%
Lausanne40%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Lugano80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Goal trends favor a high-scoring game given Lugano's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently and their average of 2.4 goals per match. Lausanne's lower scoring rate and BTTS rate of 40% suggest they may struggle to score, but Lugano's offensive pressure could still produce multiple goals, making Over 2.5 a plausible outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFC Lugano to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
FC Lugano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The for FC Lugano to win reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model estimating a 70% chance against an implied 54.1%. This discrepancy indicates the market underestimates Lugano's strength, supported by their top-table status and offensive metrics. The current price is attractive for standard stakes without caution flags.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lausanne

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 4L
13 Sep 2026H Servette FC0-1
05 Sep 2026A FC Vaduz1-3
02 Sep 2026A FC Thun0-0
29 Aug 2026H FC Zurich2-3
22 Aug 2026A FC Luzern0-1

FC Lugano

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 0L
16 Sep 2026H FC ST. Gallen4-1
12 Sep 2026H BSC Young Boys2-2
06 Sep 2026A FC Basel 18933-1
03 Sep 2026H Servette FC1-0
30 Aug 2026A FC Sion2-1
Market aligned with main pickFC Lugano to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
FC Lugano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Recent form data strongly favors FC Lugano, who have accumulated 13 points recently compared to Lausanne's single point. Lugano's offensive output of 2.4 goals per game contrasts sharply with Lausanne's 0.6, reflecting a clear momentum and gap that should influence the match outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Lausanne wins
3Draws
4FC Lugano wins
22 Feb 2026FC Lugano v Lausanne2-1
07 Dec 2025Lausanne v FC Lugano0-0
17 Sep 2025FC Lugano v Lausanne1-1
18 May 2025Lausanne v FC Lugano1-1
21 Apr 2025Lausanne v FC Lugano2-0
15 Dec 2024FC Lugano v Lausanne1-4
Market aligned with main pickFC Lugano to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The ten previous meetings between Lausanne and FC Lugano have averaged 2.7 goals per game, indicating a moderately open scoring pattern historically. While this supports the potential for goals, the sample does not strongly favor either side, so current form and season stats provide more decisive insight.
Season team stats

Super League

Lausanne8
Played
FC Lugano8
Lausanne0.9
Avg goals for
FC Lugano2.9
Lausanne1.4
Avg goals against
FC Lugano0.9
Lausanne2
Clean sheets
FC Lugano2
Market aligned with main pickFC Lugano to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
FC Lugano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Season-long statistics show Lugano as a high-scoring and relatively solid defensive team, conceding only 1 goal per game while scoring 2.4. Lausanne's season stats reveal defensive vulnerabilities and limited scoring ability, supporting the expectation of Lugano's control in both attack and control.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1FC Lugano22871016
12Lausanne68134-4
The league standings underscore the disparity, with Lugano leading the table and Lausanne at the bottom. This gap reflects consistent performance differences and adds pressure on Lausanne to avoid defeat, while Lugano aims to consolidate their top position, influencing tactical approaches.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Lausanne Over 2.5
80%FC Lugano Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.7, with Lugano's recent matches featuring an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals. This trend suggests a match likely to see multiple goals, driven by Lugano's attacking tempo and Lausanne's defensive challenges.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

BSC Young Boys v Servette FCSuper League · Sat 19 Sep 17:00FC Luzern v GrasshoppersSuper League · Sat 19 Sep 17:00FC Sion v FC ZurichSuper League · Sat 19 Sep 17:00FC Vaduz v FC ThunSuper League · Sun 20 Sep 13:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre