FC Vaduz

FC Thun

Super League | Sun 20 Sep, 13:00

FC Vaduz v FC Thun Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Vaduz and FC Thun meet in a Super League clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. FC Vaduz has been involved in high-scoring games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, while FC Thun also concedes frequently, with 2.2 goals against per game. Both sides have shown a tendency for open play and goal-rich encounters, with Vaduz boasting a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals. This fixture promises an open contest with both teams pushing forward, setting the stage for multiple goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

FC Vaduz has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating consistently high-scoring matches.
FC Thun concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game, contributing to open defensive play.
Head-to-head meetings average 3.8 goals per match, supporting a goal-heavy encounter.
FC Vaduz averages 14.5 shots per game with 6 on target, showing offensive pressure.
Key FC Vaduz players like Juan Cabrera and M. Eberhard generate significant shot volume and goal threats.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 58% chance to Over 3.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking profiles and defensive frailties of both teams. FC Vaduz's perfect record of over 2.5 goals and FC Thun's frequent concessions support a high-scoring game. The head-to-head average of 3.8 goals further underlines the likelihood of multiple goals. While the imply a 54.6% chance, the model sees a small positive edge, justifying a standard stake on this market. No price warnings are necessary, and data quality is solid for both sides.

FC Vaduz Over 2.5 Goals Rate100%

Strong positive

FC Thun Goals Against Average2.2 per game

Positive

Head-to-Head Average Goals3.8 goals

Positive

Model Chance vs Implied Chance58% vs 54.6%

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as FC Vaduz and FC Thun both struggle defensively and push forward aggressively. FC Vaduz's high shot volume and goal involvement from key midfielders like Juan Cabrera suggest multiple scoring chances. The data supports a goal-laden encounter, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal-scoring potential

“This fixture features two sides with porous defenses and potent attacking players, creating fertile ground for a high-scoring match. FC Vaduz's offensive dynamism combined with FC Thun's defensive lapses makes Over 3.5 Goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

FC Vaduz has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating consistently high-scoring matches.

FC Thun concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game, contributing to open defensive play.

Head-to-head meetings average 3.8 goals per match, supporting a goal-heavy encounter.

FC Vaduz averages 14.5 shots per game with 6 on target, showing offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.8, indicating a strong trend towards high-scoring matches.
Both teams' recent matches also show frequent goals, with FC Vaduz at 100% over 2.5 goals and FC Thun at 60%.
This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple scoring opportunities.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Vaduz4.4

Avg corners for

FC Thun5.6

FC Vaduz10

Avg total corners

FC Thun11.4

FC Vaduz2.4

Avg yellow cards

FC Thun2.4

FC Vaduz14.2

Avg shots

FC Thun16.2

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

Check odds @ 2

FC Vaduz averages 14.5 shots with 6 on target, while FC Thun averages 18 shots but fewer on target (3.67), indicating active offensive play from both. Corner counts are moderate, with FC Thun slightly higher at 5.67 per game. Discipline is balanced with around 2.4 yellow cards combined, suggesting open but not overly aggressive play, supporting sustained attacking pressure and shot volume.

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Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Vaduz2.4

Avg goals scored

FC Thun1.6

FC Vaduz2.2

Avg goals conceded

FC Thun2.2

FC Vaduz100%

BTTS rate

FC Thun60%

FC Vaduz100%

Over 2.5 goals

FC Thun60%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.4 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Both teams show strong attacking output and defensive frailty, with FC Vaduz scoring 2.4 goals per game and FC Thun conceding 2.2. FC Vaduz's 100% over 2.5 goals rate and FC Thun's 60% rate suggest frequent goal exchanges. The head-to-head average of 3.8 goals confirms a trend towards high-scoring matches involving both sides.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFC Vaduz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +12.3 pts

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

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FC Vaduz to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 4

FC Thun Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

FC Thun to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced with a slight edge, reflecting the model's 58% chance versus the implied 54.6%. This indicates a modest value opportunity supported by both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities. The are fair, encouraging a standard stake without caution for price sensitivity.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Vaduz

LWLWL

Last 52W 0D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 0D 6L

13 Sep 2026A FC Zurich1-2

05 Sep 2026H Lausanne3-1

02 Sep 2026A FC Luzern1-2

30 Aug 2026H Grasshoppers5-2

23 Aug 2026A BSC Young Boys2-4

FC Thun

LLLDW

Last 51W 1D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 5L

16 Sep 2026H Servette FC2-4

12 Sep 2026H Grasshoppers0-1

06 Sep 2026A FC Sion2-3

02 Sep 2026H Lausanne0-0

30 Aug 2026A FC ST. Gallen4-3

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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FC Vaduz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

FC Vaduz to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 4

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

FC Thun Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

FC Thun to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

Recent form data shows FC Vaduz with 6 points and an impressive 100% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting consistent high-scoring games. FC Thun has 4 points and a 60% over 2.5 rate, indicating a tendency towards open matches but slightly less prolific than Vaduz. Both teams concede over two goals per game, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2FC Vaduz wins

3Draws

5FC Thun wins

11 May 2025FC Vaduz v FC Thun3-3

24 Jan 2025FC Thun v FC Vaduz3-1

19 Oct 2024FC Vaduz v FC Thun2-0

28 Jul 2024FC Thun v FC Vaduz2-0

17 May 2024FC Thun v FC Vaduz6-3

01 Apr 2024FC Vaduz v FC Thun1-0

Best odds for this sectionFC Vaduz to WinBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 43% · edge +14.8 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 4

FC Thun to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

The ten previous meetings between FC Vaduz and FC Thun have averaged 3.8 goals per game, demonstrating a history of open, high-scoring contests. This sample strongly supports the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture, reflecting tactical openness and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Season team stats

Super League

FC Vaduz8

Played

FC Thun8

FC Vaduz2.1

Avg goals for

FC Thun1.6

FC Vaduz2.4

Avg goals against

FC Thun2.8

FC Vaduz0

Clean sheets

FC Thun1

Best odds for this sectionFC Vaduz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +12.3 pts

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Load more odds for this section

FC Vaduz to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

FC Thun Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

FC Thun to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

Season-long statistics reveal FC Vaduz's attack averages 2.4 goals per game while conceding 2.2, highlighting both offensive potency and defensive frailty. FC Thun mirrors this with 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. These numbers support a fixture prone to multiple goals, aligning well with the Over 3.5 Goals market.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
10	FC Thun	7	8	2	1	5	-9
11	FC Vaduz	6	8	2	0	6	-2

FC Vaduz and FC Thun sit near the bottom of the Super League table, ranked 11th and 10th respectively, with 6 and 7 points. Their league positions reflect defensive struggles and inconsistent form, which often leads to open games with many goals as both teams seek to improve their standings through attacking play.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FC Vaduz Over 2.5

60%FC Thun Over 2.5

3.8H2H avg goals

Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.8, indicating a strong trend towards high-scoring matches. Both teams' recent matches also show frequent goals, with FC Vaduz at 100% over 2.5 goals and FC Thun at 60%. This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

FC Vaduz v FC Thun Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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FC Thun

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FC Vaduz v FC Thun Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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FC Vaduz

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