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World Cup | Wed 24 Jun, 20:00

Bosnia & Herzegovina v Qatar Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 08:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar meet in a crucial World Cup Group B fixture in Seattle, both carrying the scars of heavy recent defeats and suspensions that have disrupted their defensive cores. Bosnia showed resilience in the first half against Switzerland but collapsed after halftime, while Qatar suffered a tactical meltdown against Canada, losing key players to red cards. Both teams have one point from two matches and need a positive result to keep their hopes alive. Bosnia relies on Edin Džeko's presence to unlock Qatar's compact defense, while Qatar will look to Akram Afif's pace and transition threat to exploit Bosnia's defensive vulnerabilities. The match promises tactical tension, with both sides balancing the need for control and attacking urgency under high pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in 10 of Bosnia & Herzegovina's last 11 matches.
  • Bosnia averages 12.58 shots per game, significantly higher than Qatar's 8.27.
  • Qatar conceded 7.8 expected goals in their first two group matches, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Five of Bosnia's last seven matches ended 1-1, reflecting their tendency for competitive draws.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score selection is supported by Bosnia & Herzegovina's consistent scoring record, netting in 10 of their last 11 games, combined with Qatar's defensive vulnerabilities highlighted by conceding 7.8 xG in two matches. Bosnia's attacking volume and Qatar's transition threat through Afif create multiple scoring opportunities on both ends. Despite suspensions weakening defensive lines on both sides, the offensive impetus and historical BTTS frequency make this a strong football read. No price warning is needed as the fairly reflect the model's 76% chance, offering clear value.

Bosnia BTTS Rate91% (10/11 matches)
Strong positive
Qatar Defensive xG Conceded7.8 xG in 2 matches
Strong positive
Bosnia Average Shots per Game12.58
Positive
Qatar Transition ThreatAkram Afif key outlet
Positive
Main risk

A highly defensive approach from Qatar could limit transition chances and reduce overall scoring opportunities, potentially lowering the match's goal volume.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Both Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar have shown attacking promise but defensive instability, making a Both Teams to Score outcome the most plausible scenario in this tense World Cup clash.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have scored in 10 of Bosnia & Herzegovina's last 11 matches.

Bosnia averages 12.58 shots per game, significantly higher than Qatar's 8.27.

Qatar conceded 7.8 expected goals in their first two group matches, indicating defensive frailty.

Five of Bosnia's last seven matches ended 1-1, reflecting their tendency for competitive draws.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 matches, Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 50% rate of Over 2.5 goals, while Qatar matches this with 50% as well.
  • The average goals per match in their recent form suggest a moderate tempo with potential for multiple goals, driven by offensive intent and defensive lapses, making goal-scoring opportunities likely in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bosnia & Herzegovina3.5
Avg corners for
Qatar1
Bosnia & Herzegovina11.5
Avg total corners
Qatar20
Bosnia & Herzegovina2.5
Avg yellow cards
Qatar1
Bosnia & Herzegovina6.5
Avg shots
Qatar2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 51% · edge +18.5 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Bosnia averages 3.5 corners and 6.5 shots per game, with 2.5 yellow cards on average, indicating active offensive pressure and moderate fouling. Qatar averages fewer corners (2) and shots (4) but maintains a disciplined fouling profile with 1.5 yellows per game. The match is likely to feature sustained pressure from Bosnia with Qatar relying on quick transitions and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bosnia & Herzegovina1
Avg goals scored
Qatar0.5
Bosnia & Herzegovina2.5
Avg goals conceded
Qatar3.5
Bosnia & Herzegovina100%
BTTS rate
Qatar50%
Bosnia & Herzegovina50%
Over 2.5 goals
Qatar50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have demonstrated a pattern of scoring and conceding goals, with Bosnia scoring 21 goals in 12 games and Qatar conceding high-quality chances as shown by their 7.8 xG conceded. Bosnia's last 11 matches saw BTTS in 10, while Qatar's transition threat and defensive lapses suggest goals at both ends are likely in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Qatar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Qatar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.8 (4/5), reflecting a 55.6% implied chance, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. The fairly reward the attacking trends and defensive weaknesses of both sides, making this a positive value bet without major price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
18 Jun 2026A Switzerland1-4
12 Jun 2026A Canada1-1

Qatar

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
18 Jun 2026A Canada0-6
13 Jun 2026H Switzerland1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 36% · edge +23.1 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Qatar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Qatar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Bosnia & Herzegovina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Recent form data shows Bosnia & Herzegovina with 1 point and an average of 1 goal scored per match, conceding 2.5 goals, while Qatar also has 1 point but a lower scoring average of 0.5 and concedes 3.5 goals per game. Bosnia’s BTTS rate is 100%, reflecting consistent goal concessions and scoring, while Qatar’s 50% BTTS rate indicates more variability but still a significant chance of conceding.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bosnia & Herzegovina wins
0Draws
0Qatar wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Qatar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Bosnia & Herzegovina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar, so historical direct data offers no guidance. The focus shifts to current form, tactical setups, and player availability to assess the match dynamics and goal-scoring potential.
Season team stats

World Cup

Bosnia & Herzegovina3
Played
Qatar3
Bosnia & Herzegovina1.7
Avg goals for
Qatar0.7
Bosnia & Herzegovina2
Avg goals against
Qatar3.3
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Clean sheets
Qatar0
Best odds for this sectionQatar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
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Qatar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Bosnia & Herzegovina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season statistics highlight Bosnia & Herzegovina’s higher offensive output with 21 goals in 12 matches and an average of 12.58 shots per game, contrasting with Qatar’s more conservative 8.27 shots per game. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, with Bosnia’s disciplinary record and Qatar’s multiple red cards underscoring structural defensive challenges that support the BTTS market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Bosnia & Herzegovina Over 2.5
50%Qatar Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 matches, Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 50% rate of Over 2.5 goals, while Qatar matches this with 50% as well. The average goals per match in their recent form suggest a moderate tempo with potential for multiple goals, driven by offensive intent and defensive lapses, making goal-scoring opportunities likely in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.