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Morocco crestMorocco
v
Haiti crestHaiti

World Cup | Wed 24 Jun, 23:00

Morocco v Haiti Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 19:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Morocco face Haiti in World Cup on Wed 24 Jun, 23:00. Morocco demonstrate robust defensive structure under Mohamed Ouahbi, remaining undefeated in Group C.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Requires Morocco to win the match within regular time, while the total number of goals scored by both teams must not exceed three

  • At 1/6, Morocco Win implies roughly 86%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Their likely XI has Johny Placide in goal, with Carlens Arcus, Jean-Kevin Duverne, Ricardo Ade, Hannes Delcroix and Martin Expérience giving them a defensive.
  • Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Haiti.
  • Morocco have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Morocco Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Requires Morocco to win the match within regular time, while the total number of goals scored by both teams must not exceed three is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 86% while the model sits nearer 74% (-11.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +24 pts edge at 2.38.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 74% for Morocco Win sits against roughly 86% implied by the current price. Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Haiti. Their likely XI has Johny Placide in goal, with Carlens Arcus, Jean-Kevin Duverne, Ricardo Ade, Hannes Delcroix and Martin Expérience giving them a defensive.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 86% implied
Negative
Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Morocco have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Their likely XI has Johny Placide in goal.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Morocco Win is the preferred angle because their likely XI has Johny Placide in goal, with Carlens Arcus, Jean-Kevin Duverne, Ricardo Ade, Hannes Delcroix and Martin Expérience giving them a defensive base. Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Haiti. Haiti’s tournament will end after this match, but that should not flatten the significance of their performance.

Main risk

Haiti’s tournament will end after this match, but that should not flatten the significance of their performance.

Key Data Signals

Morocco Win evidence

Their likely XI has Johny Placide in goal, with Carlens Arcus, Jean-Kevin Duverne, Ricardo Ade, Hannes Delcroix.

Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Haiti.

Morocco have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Morocco Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Morocco Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Morocco1
    Avg goals scored
    Haiti0
    Morocco0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Haiti2
    Morocco50%
    BTTS rate
    Haiti0%
    Morocco0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Haiti50%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 42% · edge +24 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 85% · edge -10.7 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Morocco Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Morocco to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more World Cup analysisrelated match predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Morocco3.5
    Avg corners for
    Haiti4
    Morocco7.5
    Avg total corners
    Haiti7.5
    Morocco0.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Haiti2
    Morocco13
    Avg shots
    Haiti11
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.9 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Morocco

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    19 Jun 2026A Scotland1-0
    13 Jun 2026A Brazil1-1

    Haiti

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    20 Jun 2026A Brazil0-3
    14 Jun 2026H Scotland0-1
    Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 85% · edge -10.7 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.03
    Check odds @ 1.03
    Morocco Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Morocco wins
    0Draws
    0Haiti wins
    Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 85% · edge -10.7 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Morocco to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Morocco6
    Played
    Haiti3
    Morocco1.8
    Avg goals for
    Haiti0.7
    Morocco1
    Avg goals against
    Haiti2.7
    Morocco2
    Clean sheets
    Haiti0
    Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 85% · edge -10.7 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Morocco Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Season data supports Morocco to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Morocco732103
    4Haiti03003-6
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Morocco Over 2.5
    50%Haiti Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Morocco sit at 0% and Haiti sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Morocco v Haiti prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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