Avellino

Vicenza Virtus

Serie B | Sat 29 Aug, 20:00

Avellino v Vicenza Virtus Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Avellino hosts Vicenza Virtus in a Serie B clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Vicenza Virtus arrives top of the table with a perfect start, while Avellino seeks to bounce back after an opening loss. Both teams have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games, with tactical setups favoring open play and offensive transitions. This fixture promises an engaging battle with goal-scoring opportunities likely to arise from sustained pressure and dynamic forward movements on both flanks.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams have a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.
Vicenza Virtus averages 23 shots and 9.47 shots on target per game, indicating strong offensive pressure.
Avellino also shows attacking promise with 11 shots per game and consistent goal involvement.
Head-to-head matches average 1.75 goals, but recent form suggests a higher scoring trend this season.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting both teams' offensive profiles and recent form. Vicenza Virtus leads Serie B and generates high shot volumes, while Avellino's matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals. The 33.6% at of 2.25 supports this pick as a strong value bet. No data limitations affect , and the attacking roles of key players like N. Pietrelli reinforce the likelihood of multiple goals.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams

Strong positive

Shot VolumeVicenza Virtus 23 avg shots, Avellino 11 avg shots

Strong positive

Model Probability78% chance of Over 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

Value Edge33.6% positive value at 2.25 odds

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Vicenza Virtus looks to maintain their top spot with aggressive offense, while Avellino aims to respond after a slow start. The high shot counts and goal involvement from both sides suggest multiple goals are likely, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Offensive dynamics and shot volume

“Vicenza Virtus’ offensive firepower combined with Avellino’s openness creates a fertile ground for goals. The attacking roles and shot volumes from key players underline a match where goal-scoring opportunities should be plentiful.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.

Vicenza Virtus averages 23 shots and 9.47 shots on target per game, indicating strong offensive pressure.

Avellino also shows attacking promise with 11 shots per game and consistent goal involvement.

Head-to-head matches average 1.75 goals, but recent form suggests a higher scoring trend this season.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting a sustained trend of open, high-tempo games.
This trend is driven by aggressive attacking play and defensive vulnerabilities, indicating that this fixture is likely to continue the pattern of multiple goals.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Avellino4

Avg corners for

Vicenza Virtus10

Avellino6

Avg total corners

Vicenza Virtus16

Avellino2

Avg yellow cards

Vicenza Virtus2

Avellino11

Avg shots

Vicenza Virtus23

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.5 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Vicenza Virtus averages 10 corners per game and 9.47 shots on target, indicating sustained pressure and attacking width. Avellino’s 4 corners and 3 shots on target suggest a more modest but still active offensive approach. Both teams average 2 yellow cards per game, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Avellino1

Avg goals scored

Vicenza Virtus3

Avellino2

Avg goals conceded

Vicenza Virtus2

Avellino100%

BTTS rate

Vicenza Virtus100%

Avellino100%

Over 2.5 goals

Vicenza Virtus100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Both teams have scored and conceded regularly, with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS rate in recent matches. This reflects open games with defensive vulnerabilities and consistent offensive output, making goals from both sides a key feature of this fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Vicenza Virtus to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Avellino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.25 with a of 78%, indicating strong value. The significant positive suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals, supported by both teams' attacking tendencies and recent scoring patterns.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Avellino

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

22 Aug 2026H Arezzo1-2

Vicenza Virtus

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

21 Aug 2026H Catanzaro3-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Vicenza Virtus to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Avellino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Avellino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Recent form data shows both teams have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals in their matches, with Vicenza Virtus winning their opener and Avellino involved in a high-scoring loss. This trend highlights offensive momentum and defensive openness, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Avellino wins

2Draws

1Vicenza Virtus wins

02 Jun 2024Vicenza Virtus v Avellino2-1

28 May 2024Avellino v Vicenza Virtus0-0

25 Feb 2017Avellino v Vicenza Virtus3-1

24 Sep 2016Vicenza Virtus v Avellino0-0

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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Vicenza Virtus to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Avellino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

The head-to-head sample of four matches shows an average of 1.75 goals, slightly below the current season’s scoring trends. While historical meetings provide some background, recent form and attacking statistics offer a stronger indication of a higher scoring game in this fixture.

Season team stats

Serie B

Avellino1

Played

Vicenza Virtus1

Avellino1

Avg goals for

Vicenza Virtus3

Avellino2

Avg goals against

Vicenza Virtus2

Avellino0

Clean sheets

Vicenza Virtus0

Best odds for this sectionVicenza Virtus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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Vicenza Virtus to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Avellino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Avellino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Season-long statistics reveal strong attacking outputs from both sides, with Vicenza Virtus leading the league in shots and goals scored. Avellino’s matches also frequently surpass 2.5 goals, supported by their offensive style and defensive concessions, indicating a season pattern favoring high-scoring games.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2	Vicenza Virtus	3	1	1	0	0	1
13	Avellino	0	1	0	0	1	-1

Vicenza Virtus sits atop the Serie B standings, reflecting their offensive control and consistency. Avellino’s lower position and zero points add urgency to their attacking approach. While standings provide context, the focus remains on offensive capabilities and match stakes driving goal-scoring potential.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Avellino Over 2.5

100%Vicenza Virtus Over 2.5

1.75H2H avg goals

Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting a sustained trend of open, high-tempo games. This trend is driven by aggressive attacking play and defensive vulnerabilities, indicating that this fixture is likely to continue the pattern of multiple goals.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Avellino v Vicenza Virtus Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Vicenza Virtus

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Football Stats Hub

Avellino v Vicenza Virtus Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Avellino

Vicenza Virtus

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