Football Stats Hub

Ascoli crestAscoli
v
Carrarese crestCarrarese

Serie B | Sat 29 Aug, 20:00

Ascoli v Carrarese Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ascoli hosts Carrarese in a Serie B clash where attacking intent is expected to dominate. Ascoli, currently second in the standings, showed strong offensive output in their opening match, scoring twice and maintaining a perfect Over 2.5 Goals rate. Carrarese, sitting 14th, also contributed to high-scoring games despite losing their opener. Both teams have demonstrated aggressive forward play and defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for an open encounter with multiple goal opportunities. Tactical openness and recent form suggest a lively match with a strong chance of exceeding two goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both Ascoli and Carrarese have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Ascoli ranks 2nd in Serie B, showing strong attacking form early in the season.
  • Both teams average 10 shots per game, indicating active offensive play.
  • Ascoli averages 4 corners per game, suggesting sustained pressure and attacking territory.
  • Carrarese’s midfielders, especially P. Pinelli, contribute significantly to shot volume and goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting both teams' attacking tendencies and recent match outputs. With Ascoli and Carrarese averaging 10 shots each per game and both sides having a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, the fixture is primed for multiple goals. The price offers positive value with a 36.3% edge, reinforcing the bet's appeal. No data limitations affect , and the attacking profiles of key players like P. D'Uffizi further support the likelihood of goals.

Model Probability78% chance of Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Shot Volume10 shots per team per game
Positive
Value Edge36.3% positive value
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Ascoli’s strong offensive form meets Carrarese’s willingness to engage forward. The high shot volumes and recent goal-scoring trends suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a fitting prediction for this Serie B fixture. Both teams’ early season performances underline the likelihood of multiple goals.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This match features two sides that prioritize offensive play, with Ascoli’s high league standing and Carrarese’s active shot creation pointing towards a goal-rich encounter. The statistical signals align well with an Over 2.5 Goals outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both Ascoli and Carrarese have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Ascoli ranks 2nd in Serie B, showing strong attacking form early in the season.

Both teams average 10 shots per game, indicating active offensive play.

Ascoli averages 4 corners per game, suggesting sustained pressure and attacking territory.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent match trends over the last five games show a consistent pattern of Over 2.5 Goals involving both teams.
  • The tempo and attacking styles contribute to frequent goal-scoring opportunities, with neither side demonstrating defensive rigidity.
  • This trend panel reinforces the expectation of a lively, goal-filled encounter in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ascoli2
Avg goals scored
Carrarese1
Ascoli1
Avg goals conceded
Carrarese2
Ascoli100%
BTTS rate
Carrarese100%
Ascoli100%
Over 2.5 goals
Carrarese100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Both teams have demonstrated a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, with Ascoli scoring 2 and conceding 1, and Carrarese scoring 1 and conceding 2. The mutual offensive openness and defensive lapses create a fertile environment for goals and BTTS outcomes, supported by active shot creation and goal threat from midfielders and attackers alike.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Ascoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Ascoli Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Carrarese to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 2.4, reflecting a 41.7% implied chance versus the model’s 78% probability. This significant suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals, making the bet a strong candidate for standard staking without major price sensitivity concerns.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Ascoli4
Avg corners for
Carrarese2
Ascoli9
Avg total corners
Carrarese5
Ascoli3
Avg yellow cards
Carrarese1
Ascoli10
Avg shots
Carrarese10
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Ascoli averages 4 corners per game compared to Carrarese’s 2, indicating territorial control and sustained attacking pressure. Both teams average 10 shots per match, with Ascoli generating more shots on target. Discipline-wise, Ascoli shows a higher yellow card average, suggesting a competitive and physical match that could influence game flow and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ascoli

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026A Hellas Verona2-1

Carrarese

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Aug 2026H Mantova1-2
Best odds for this sectionAscoli to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Ascoli Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Carrarese to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Carrarese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Recent form data highlights both teams’ propensity for high-scoring games, with Ascoli securing 3 points and scoring twice in their last match, while Carrarese, despite losing, participated in a game with three goals. Both sides maintain a perfect record for Over 2.5 Goals, reinforcing the expectation of continued offensive productivity in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Ascoli wins
0Draws
0Carrarese wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Ascoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Carrarese to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
No previous head-to-head data exists between Ascoli and Carrarese, so historical results offer no direct guidance. The focus shifts to current form and tactical profiles, which both suggest an open game with multiple goals rather than a defensive stalemate.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Ascoli1
Played
Carrarese1
Ascoli2
Avg goals for
Carrarese1
Ascoli1
Avg goals against
Carrarese2
Ascoli0
Clean sheets
Carrarese0
Best odds for this sectionAscoli to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Ascoli Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Carrarese to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Carrarese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season-long statistics show Ascoli’s strong attacking output, reflected in their high league ranking and goal-scoring numbers. Carrarese’s offensive metrics, including shot volume and goal threat from midfield, complement this trend. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides increase the likelihood of multiple goals, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals prediction.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Ascoli311001
14Carrarese01001-1
Ascoli’s position near the top of Serie B underscores their offensive capabilities and motivation to maintain form. Carrarese’s lower standing suggests a need to push forward for results, potentially leaving defensive gaps. The standings context supports an open game with attacking intent from both sides, conducive to a higher goal count.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Ascoli Over 2.5
100%Carrarese Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent match trends over the last five games show a consistent pattern of Over 2.5 Goals involving both teams. The tempo and attacking styles contribute to frequent goal-scoring opportunities, with neither side demonstrating defensive rigidity. This trend panel reinforces the expectation of a lively, goal-filled encounter in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Ascoli v Carrarese prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Sampdoria v Juve StabiaSerie B · Sat 29 Aug 18:00Virtus Entella v CesenaSerie B · Sat 29 Aug 18:00Avellino v Vicenza VirtusSerie B · Sat 29 Aug 20:00Padova v Hellas VeronaSerie B · Sat 29 Aug 20:00

Competition and hubs

related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre