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Altglienicke crestAltglienicke
v
VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburg

DFB Pokal | Mon 24 Aug, 17:00

Altglienicke v VfL Wolfsburg Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Altglienicke face VfL Wolfsburg in DFB Pokal on Mon 24 Aug, 17:00.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 3.4, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Altglienicke Over 2.5
-VfL Wolfsburg Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Altglienicke

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Altglienicke yet.

VfL Wolfsburg

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for VfL Wolfsburg yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
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DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Altglienicke Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Altglienicke to WinBetfred guide price · model 22%
15
Check odds @ 15
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
VfL Wolfsburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Altglienicke-
Avg goals scored
VfL Wolfsburg-
Altglienicke-
Avg goals conceded
VfL Wolfsburg-
Altglienicke-
BTTS rate
VfL Wolfsburg-
Altglienicke-
Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDrawBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
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Altglienicke Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Altglienicke to WinBetfred guide price · model 22%
15
Check odds @ 15
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
VfL Wolfsburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Draw is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Altglienicke wins
0Draws
0VfL Wolfsburg wins
Best odds for this sectionDrawBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
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Altglienicke to WinBetfred guide price · model 22%
15
Check odds @ 15
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
VfL Wolfsburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Draw, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

DFB Pokal

Altglienicke0
Played
VfL Wolfsburg0
Altglienicke0
Avg goals for
VfL Wolfsburg0
Altglienicke0
Avg goals against
VfL Wolfsburg0
Altglienicke0
Clean sheets
VfL Wolfsburg0
Best odds for this sectionAltglienicke Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
Altglienicke to WinBetfred guide price · model 22%
15
Check odds @ 15
VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
VfL Wolfsburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Season data supports Altglienicke Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.