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Al Shabab crestAl Shabab
v
Al-Fayha crestAl-Fayha

Pro League | Sat 12 Sep, 19:00

Al Shabab v Al-Fayha Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Fayha visits Al Shabab in a Pro League clash where both teams have shown contrasting starts to the season. Al-Fayha sits 11th with 5 points, demonstrating slightly better defensive resilience and a higher rate of over 2.5 goals matches, indicating openness in games. Al Shabab, struggling at 15th with 3 points, has conceded more and scored less, suggesting vulnerabilities. The tactical battle may hinge on Al-Fayha's ability to absorb pressure and exploit counter-attacks, while Al Shabab seeks to capitalize on home advantage to improve their league standing.

BT4Y best bet

Al-Fayha or Draw

  • Al-Fayha or Draw has a strong of 77.1% with positive .
  • Al-Fayha averages 1.2 goals scored per match, slightly higher than Al Shabab's 1.0.
  • Al-Fayha's matches feature 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating open games.
  • Al Shabab concedes 1.6 goals per match, higher than Al-Fayha's 1.8, but Al-Fayha's defense is more consistent.
  • Al-Fayha ranks higher in the league table and has earned more points this season.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Al-Fayha or Draw with a 77.1% chance, reflecting their stronger recent form and defensive steadiness compared to Al Shabab. Al-Fayha's higher over 2.5 goals rate suggests matches are open, but their ability to avoid defeat is supported by their better points tally and league position. The positive at of 2.1 indicates this double chance bet offers good value given the tactical and statistical context. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance77.1%
Strong positive
Value Edge29.5%
Strong positive
Recent FormAl-Fayha better points and goal stats
Positive
League StandingAl-Fayha 11th vs Al Shabab 15th
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateAl-Fayha 80% vs Al Shabab 40%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Al-Fayha or Draw is a sensible selection given their steadier start and tactical discipline compared to Al Shabab's struggles. Al-Fayha's ability to absorb pressure and capitalize on counter opportunities aligns with their better recent form and league position, making this double chance a prudent choice for cautious bettors.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and form rationale

“Al-Fayha's defensive organization and slightly superior form make them a reliable pick to avoid defeat here, especially against a home side still searching for consistency.”

Key Data Signals

Al-Fayha or Draw evidence

Al-Fayha or Draw has a strong of 77.1% with positive .

Al-Fayha averages 1.2 goals scored per match, slightly higher than Al Shabab's 1.0.

Al-Fayha's matches feature 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating open games.

Al Shabab concedes 1.6 goals per match, higher than Al-Fayha's 1.8, but Al-Fayha's defense is more consistent.

What To Watch In The Data

Al-Fayha or Draw notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Al-Fayha's high recent Over 2.5 Goals rate (80%) suggests this trend may continue, with both teams capable of contributing to goal-scoring opportunities in a lively encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al Shabab1
Avg goals scored
Al-Fayha1.2
Al Shabab1.6
Avg goals conceded
Al-Fayha1.8
Al Shabab60%
BTTS rate
Al-Fayha60%
Al Shabab40%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Fayha80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 79%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Al-Fayha's matches feature an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate compared to Al Shabab's 40%, suggesting more open games when Al-Fayha plays. This indicates potential for goals but also defensive vulnerabilities that could influence match dynamics.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAl-Fayha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Al-Fayha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Al Shabab Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
The for Al-Fayha or Draw at 2.1 offer a clear positive of 29.5%, reflecting the model's in their ability to avoid defeat. This price is attractive given Al-Fayha's better recent results and league standing, making the double chance a compelling market to consider.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al Shabab6.6
Avg corners for
Al-Fayha2.8
Al Shabab12.4
Avg total corners
Al-Fayha9
Al Shabab1.8
Avg yellow cards
Al-Fayha0.6
Al Shabab13.2
Avg shots
Al-Fayha12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Al Shabab averages more corners (6.6) and shots (13.2) than Al-Fayha (4 corners, 14 shots), but Al-Fayha has a higher shots on target average (5 vs 4.8). Discipline favors Al-Fayha with zero yellow cards on average, while Al Shabab concedes 1.8 yellows per match, indicating a cleaner defensive approach by Al-Fayha.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al Shabab

LLDDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 3L
09 Sep 2026A Al Kholood1-2
04 Sep 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-2
30 Aug 2026A Al-Hazm1-1
25 Aug 2026H Al Riyadh3-3
22 Aug 2026A Al Khaleej Saihat0-0

Al-Fayha

LDWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
08 Sep 2026A Al-Ittihad FC1-2
03 Sep 2026H Al Kholood2-2
28 Aug 2026H Abha3-2
25 Aug 2026A Al Taawon0-0
20 Aug 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Al-Fayha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Al Shabab Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Al Shabab to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Al-Fayha has collected 5 points with a slightly better goal scoring rate (1.2 goals per game) and a higher over 2.5 goals frequency, reflecting more dynamic matches. Al Shabab's 3 points and lower scoring output indicate struggles to convert chances and defensive frailties, supporting the double chance on Al-Fayha or Draw.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

8Al Shabab wins
1Draws
1Al-Fayha wins
01 Feb 2026Al Shabab v Al-Fayha1-0
19 Sep 2025Al-Fayha v Al Shabab0-0
26 May 2025Al-Fayha v Al Shabab0-2
27 Jan 2025Al Shabab v Al-Fayha2-1
06 Jan 2025Al Shabab v Al-Fayha2-1
07 Mar 2024Al Shabab v Al-Fayha2-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Al-Fayha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Al Shabab to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The 10 previous meetings between these teams have produced an average of 2.6 goals per game, showing a tendency for open matches. While the sample is moderate, it suggests that Al-Fayha can compete effectively and that matches often feature multiple goals, supporting a cautious approach with a double chance bet.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Pro League

Al Shabab6
Played
Al-Fayha6
Al Shabab1
Avg goals for
Al-Fayha1.2
Al Shabab1.8
Avg goals against
Al-Fayha1.8
Al Shabab1
Clean sheets
Al-Fayha1
Best odds for this sectionAl-Fayha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Al-Fayha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Al Shabab Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Al Shabab to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Al-Fayha's season stats show a balanced attack and defense with 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, supporting their ability to avoid defeat. Al Shabab's lower scoring (1.0) and higher goals conceded (1.6) underline their current difficulties, reinforcing the value in backing Al-Fayha or Draw.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Al-Fayha56123-4
15Al Shabab36033-5
Al-Fayha's 11th place and 5 points provide a modest cushion above Al Shabab, who are 15th with 3 points. While not decisive alone, this standing reflects Al-Fayha's slightly better consistency and reduces pressure compared to Al Shabab, who may be forced to take more risks at home.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Al Shabab Over 2.5
80%Al-Fayha Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Al-Fayha's high recent Over 2.5 Goals rate (80%) suggests this trend may continue, with both teams capable of contributing to goal-scoring opportunities in a lively encounter.

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Fixture links

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