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Al-Faisaly FC crestAl-Faisaly FC
v
Al-Ittihad FC crestAl-Ittihad FC

Pro League | Fri 11 Sep, 16:45

Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ittihad FC Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Ittihad FC arrives at this Pro League fixture in strong form, sitting fourth in the standings with 14 points, while Al-Faisaly FC struggles near the bottom with just 3 points. Al-Ittihad's attacking style, combined with their higher goal output and more consistent recent performances, contrasts with Al-Faisaly's defensive vulnerabilities and limited scoring. The match presents a clear tactical challenge for Al-Faisaly, who must contain Al-Ittihad's dynamic forwards and midfield creators to avoid defeat in this crucial encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Al-Ittihad FC to Win

  • Al-Ittihad FC holds a 70% to win, indicating strong in their superiority.
  • Al-Ittihad averages 1.6 goals per game, significantly higher than Al-Faisaly's 0.4, showing attacking edge.
  • Al-Ittihad's average 16 shots per game and 5.2 shots on target highlight their offensive pressure.
  • Al-Faisaly's low over 2.5 goals rate (20%) contrasts with Al-Ittihad's 60%, suggesting more open play from the visitors.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.1 goals, supporting an attacking game with scoring opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Al-Ittihad FC to win based on their superior recent form, stronger offensive metrics, and higher league standing. Al-Ittihad's average of 1.6 goals per game and 16 shots per match reflects their attacking control, while Al-Faisaly's struggles to score and defend effectively make them vulnerable. The 12.9% at of 1.75 confirms this pick as a positive value bet with a solid level of 70%. No data limitations or price warnings affect this selection.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57.1%
Positive
Value Edge12.9%
Strong positive
Recent Goals For (Al-Ittihad)1.6 per game
Strong positive
Recent Goals Against (Al-Faisaly)1.2 per game
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Al-Ittihad FC's consistent attacking threat and superior league position make them the clear favorites to secure victory. Their ability to generate numerous shots and maintain offensive pressure contrasts sharply with Al-Faisaly's limited scoring and defensive struggles, suggesting a likely away win in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical superiority

“Al-Ittihad's attacking firepower and tactical control should overwhelm Al-Faisaly, who have struggled to find form and goals this season. Expect the visitors to capitalize on their chances and control the match tempo.”

Key Data Signals

Al-Ittihad FC to Win evidence

Al-Ittihad FC holds a 70% to win, indicating strong in their superiority.

Al-Ittihad averages 1.6 goals per game, significantly higher than Al-Faisaly's 0.4, showing attacking edge.

Al-Ittihad's average 16 shots per game and 5.2 shots on target highlight their offensive pressure.

Al-Faisaly's low over 2.5 goals rate (20%) contrasts with Al-Ittihad's 60%, suggesting more open play from the visitors.

What To Watch In The Data

Al-Ittihad FC to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3.1, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring encounters.
  • This suggests that matches between these teams tend to be open with multiple goal opportunities, supporting the potential for over 2.5 goals in this fixture due to attacking tempo and defensive gaps.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al-Faisaly FC2
Avg corners for
Al-Ittihad FC4.4
Al-Faisaly FC6.6
Avg total corners
Al-Ittihad FC11.4
Al-Faisaly FC2.6
Avg yellow cards
Al-Ittihad FC2.6
Al-Faisaly FC6.6
Avg shots
Al-Ittihad FC16
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Al-Ittihad averages 4.4 corners and 16 shots per game, demonstrating territorial control and sustained attacking pressure. Both teams average 2.6 yellow cards, suggesting a moderately physical contest. Al-Faisaly's lower corner and shot numbers reflect their defensive posture, while Al-Ittihad's offensive volume increases the chance of set-piece opportunities and shots on target.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al-Faisaly FC0.4
Avg goals scored
Al-Ittihad FC1.6
Al-Faisaly FC1.2
Avg goals conceded
Al-Ittihad FC0.8
Al-Faisaly FC40%
BTTS rate
Al-Ittihad FC60%
Al-Faisaly FC20%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Ittihad FC60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 47%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Al-Ittihad's matches feature a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals and 60% BTTS, indicating open games with scoring from both sides. Conversely, Al-Faisaly's lower scoring and BTTS rates suggest a more cautious approach. The head-to-head average of 3.1 goals over 10 matches supports the likelihood of multiple goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAl-Ittihad FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The current of 1.75 for an Al-Ittihad win reflect a market-implied chance of 57.1%, which is notably lower than the model's 70% probability. This discrepancy indicates positive value in backing Al-Ittihad, supported by their superior form and attacking stats. The price is attractive and justifies a standard stake without cautionary flags.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al-Faisaly FC

DDLDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 3L
08 Sep 2026A Al-Ettifaq0-0
05 Sep 2026H Al-Hazm0-0
30 Aug 2026A Al-Qadisiyah FC1-3
26 Aug 2026H Al-Fateh1-1
21 Aug 2026H NEOM0-2

Al-Ittihad FC

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 0L
08 Sep 2026H Al-Fayha2-1
05 Sep 2026H Al-Nassr2-1
29 Aug 2026A Al-Fateh0-0
24 Aug 2026H Al-Hazm3-2
21 Aug 2026A Al-Qadisiyah FC1-0
Market aligned with main pickAl-Ittihad FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Al-Ittihad FC's recent form is strong, accumulating 13 points with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, reflecting both offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC has managed only 3 points, scoring 0.4 goals and conceding 1.2 on average, highlighting their struggles to compete effectively. This form disparity underpins the in an Al-Ittihad victory.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Al-Faisaly FC wins
2Draws
4Al-Ittihad FC wins
04 Feb 2024Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ittihad FC0-4
21 Jan 2022Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Faisaly FC1-0
27 Aug 2021Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ittihad FC1-2
23 Feb 2021Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Faisaly FC1-3
23 Nov 2020Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ittihad FC1-1
19 Aug 2020Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ittihad FC1-1
Market aligned with main pickAl-Ittihad FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The ten previous meetings between Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Ittihad FC have produced an average of 3.1 goals per game, reflecting generally open and competitive matches. While this sample supports the expectation of goals, it is less conclusive on match outcomes, so current form and team strength remain more decisive for predicting the winner.
Season team stats

Pro League

Al-Faisaly FC6
Played
Al-Ittihad FC6
Al-Faisaly FC0.7
Avg goals for
Al-Ittihad FC1.5
Al-Faisaly FC1.7
Avg goals against
Al-Ittihad FC0.8
Al-Faisaly FC2
Clean sheets
Al-Ittihad FC2
Market aligned with main pickAl-Ittihad FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Throughout the season, Al-Ittihad FC has demonstrated a potent attack and relatively tight defense, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Al-Faisaly FC's season stats reveal offensive difficulties with just 0.4 goals per game and defensive vulnerabilities conceding 1.2 goals, reinforcing the expectation that Al-Ittihad's attacking strength will prevail.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Al-Ittihad FC1464204
17Al-Faisaly FC36033-6
Al-Ittihad FC's position in 4th place with 14 points contrasts sharply with Al-Faisaly FC's 17th place and 3 points, indicating a significant gulf in quality and consistency. While standings alone do not dictate outcomes, the pressure on Al-Faisaly to improve and Al-Ittihad's momentum add context to the likely match dynamics favoring the visitors.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Al-Faisaly FC Over 2.5
60%Al-Ittihad FC Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3.1, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring encounters. This suggests that matches between these teams tend to be open with multiple goal opportunities, supporting the potential for over 2.5 goals in this fixture due to attacking tempo and defensive gaps.

Related football research

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Prediction context

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