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Al-Qadisiyah FC crestAl-Qadisiyah FC
v
Al-Ettifaq crestAl-Ettifaq

Pro League | Fri 11 Sep, 16:25

Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Ettifaq Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq meet in a Pro League clash where defensive solidity is expected to shape the outcome. Al-Qadisiyah FC currently ranks third with a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.8 goals per game, while Al-Ettifaq sits eighth, allowing 1.2 goals on average. Both teams have shown a tendency towards low-scoring matches recently, with Al-Qadisiyah FC scoring only 2 goals in their last fixtures and Al-Ettifaq averaging less than one goal per game. This tactical setup suggests a cautious encounter with limited goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Al-Qadisiyah FC concedes only 0.8 goals per game, indicating strong defensive organization.
  • Al-Ettifaq averages just 0.8 goals scored per match, reflecting limited attacking output.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting most games are low scoring.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.3 over 10 matches, but recent form favors fewer goals.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 7.5 shots per game with high shot accuracy, yet low conversion limits scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 50.7% chance, supported by both teams' recent low scoring and defensive discipline. Al-Qadisiyah FC's solid defense and Al-Ettifaq's modest attacking threat combine to reduce goal volume. Despite a 3.3 average goals in their head-to-head history, recent matches and shot data indicate fewer clear chances and restrained offensive output. The offer positive value with a 21.3% edge, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling selection for this fixture.

Model Probability50.7% chance of Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance29.4% chance from odds
Strong positive
Recent Scoring FormLow goals scored and conceded by both teams
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals3.3 average goals but recent matches trend lower
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical choice given Al-Qadisiyah FC's disciplined defense and Al-Ettifaq's limited scoring threat. The tactical approach from both sides suggests a cautious game with few clear-cut chances, aligning with the statistical evidence of low recent goal totals.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring outlook

“This fixture looks set for a tight, tactical battle where defensive organization will limit scoring chances, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Al-Qadisiyah FC concedes only 0.8 goals per game, indicating strong defensive organization.

Al-Ettifaq averages just 0.8 goals scored per match, reflecting limited attacking output.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.3 over 10 matches, but recent form favors fewer goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.3, higher than recent form suggests.
  • However, recent encounters and current season trends show a decline in goals, with both teams favoring more cautious play.
  • This trend panel indicates that while the fixture has potential for goals, the prevailing tempo and defensive focus are likely to keep totals under 2.5.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al-Qadisiyah FC2
Avg goals scored
Al-Ettifaq0.8
Al-Qadisiyah FC0.8
Avg goals conceded
Al-Ettifaq1.2
Al-Qadisiyah FC40%
BTTS rate
Al-Ettifaq20%
Al-Qadisiyah FC40%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Ettifaq40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 35%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have modest goal-scoring records with Al-Qadisiyah FC scoring 2 goals and Al-Ettifaq 0.8 goals per game recently. BTTS rates are low, especially for Al-Ettifaq at 20%, indicating a controlled goals environment where both teams are unlikely to score, supporting a low total goals scenario.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al-Qadisiyah FC

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 1L
08 Sep 2026H Al-Ahli Jeddah3-2
03 Sep 2026A Al Diriyah2-0
30 Aug 2026H Al-Faisaly FC3-1
24 Aug 2026A NEOM2-0
21 Aug 2026H Al-Ittihad FC0-1

Al-Ettifaq

DWLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
08 Sep 2026H Al-Faisaly FC0-0
04 Sep 2026A Abha1-0
29 Aug 2026H Al Diriyah0-3
25 Aug 2026H Al-Nassr2-3
22 Aug 2026A Al-Fateh1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Al-Ettifaq Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Al-Qadisiyah FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Al-Ettifaq to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Recent form shows Al-Qadisiyah FC with 12 points and a goals-against average of 0.8, while Al-Ettifaq has 7 points and concedes 1.2 goals per game. Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating most games are under this threshold. This recent data supports the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Al-Qadisiyah FC1565018
8Al-Ettifaq1063120
Al-Qadisiyah FC sits third in the Pro League, reflecting consistent performance and defensive strength, while Al-Ettifaq is eighth, indicating mid-table form with some defensive vulnerabilities. The standings suggest Al-Qadisiyah FC may control the game tempo, but the overall league context points to a balanced contest with limited goal-scoring impetus.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAl-Ettifaq Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Al-Qadisiyah FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Al-Ettifaq to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 3.4 , reflecting a significant of 21.3% compared to the model's 50.7% probability. This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a low-scoring game, making the bet a positive-value opportunity without current price warnings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al-Qadisiyah FC6.4
Avg corners for
Al-Ettifaq6.4
Al-Qadisiyah FC9
Avg total corners
Al-Ettifaq10.6
Al-Qadisiyah FC2.2
Avg yellow cards
Al-Ettifaq1
Al-Qadisiyah FC14
Avg shots
Al-Ettifaq13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 62% · edge -2.9 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 7.5 corners and 15.25 shots per game with good shot accuracy, while Al-Ettifaq averages 6.4 corners and 13.6 shots. Discipline is moderate with Al-Qadisiyah FC receiving 2.5 yellows per game and Al-Ettifaq 1. This suggests balanced territorial play with neither side dominating aggressively, contributing to fewer goal-scoring opportunities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
1Draws
4Al-Ettifaq wins
05 Apr 2026Al-Ettifaq v Al-Qadisiyah FC3-2
23 Feb 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Ettifaq4-0
05 Apr 2025Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Ettifaq1-1
02 Nov 2024Al-Ettifaq v Al-Qadisiyah FC0-2
10 Apr 2021Al-Ettifaq v Al-Qadisiyah FC1-3
27 Dec 2020Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Ettifaq1-2
Best odds for this sectionAl-Qadisiyah FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Al-Ettifaq to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 10 previous meetings between these teams average 3.3 goals per game, suggesting historically open matches. However, recent encounters have seen tighter defenses and fewer goals, reducing the relevance of the historical average. Current tactical approaches and form data provide a stronger basis for expecting a low-scoring game in this fixture.
Season team stats

Pro League

Al-Qadisiyah FC6
Played
Al-Ettifaq6
Al-Qadisiyah FC2.2
Avg goals for
Al-Ettifaq1.3
Al-Qadisiyah FC0.8
Avg goals against
Al-Ettifaq1.3
Al-Qadisiyah FC2
Clean sheets
Al-Ettifaq3
Best odds for this sectionAl-Ettifaq Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Al-Qadisiyah FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Al-Ettifaq to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
Season-long statistics reveal Al-Qadisiyah FC's strong defensive record, conceding fewer than one goal per game, and a modest scoring rate. Al-Ettifaq's attack is less potent, with under one goal per match on average. These profiles align with a game where defensive stability limits goal-scoring opportunities, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Al-Qadisiyah FC Over 2.5
40%Al-Ettifaq Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.3, higher than recent form suggests. However, recent encounters and current season trends show a decline in goals, with both teams favoring more cautious play. This trend panel indicates that while the fixture has potential for goals, the prevailing tempo and defensive focus are likely to keep totals under 2.5.

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