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Al Khaleej Saihat crestAl Khaleej Saihat
v
Al-Nassr crestAl-Nassr

Pro League | Sat 12 Sep, 19:00

Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Nassr Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al Khaleej Saihat face a tough challenge hosting Al-Nassr in the Pro League, with Al-Nassr sitting second in the table and showing strong attacking form. Al Khaleej Saihat have struggled for goals and points, managing just 0.4 goals per game and 3 points recently, while Al-Nassr average 2.4 goals and have been dominant offensively. The match poses a significant test for Al Khaleej Saihat's defense, which concedes nearly two goals per game, but the home side will aim to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Al-Nassr and secure at least a draw with the Draw No Bet option providing some safety.

BT4Y best bet

Al Khaleej Saihat Draw No Bet

  • Al Khaleej Saihat have scored only 0.4 goals per game recently, highlighting their offensive struggles.
  • Al-Nassr average 2.4 goals per game and 6.6 shots on target, showing strong attacking threat.
  • Al Khaleej Saihat concede 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability against Al-Nassr's attack.
  • Al Khaleej Saihat's Draw No Bet offers value given the model's 45% chance versus a 14.7% implied market chance.
  • Cristiano Ronaldo leads Al-Nassr's attack with 3 goals and 2.7 shots on target per 90 minutes, a key threat to watch.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in Al Khaleej Saihat's Draw No Bet at 6.8 , reflecting a 45% chance compared to the market's 14.7% implied chance. Despite Al Khaleej Saihat's struggles in attack and defense, the Draw No Bet mitigates risk by protecting against a loss. Al-Nassr's offensive firepower, led by Cristiano Ronaldo and João Félix, is formidable, but Al Khaleej Saihat's home advantage and potential to absorb pressure justify this cautious backing. No price warnings apply, making this a positive value opportunity with standard stake guidance.

Model Chance45%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance14.7%
Strong positive
Value Edge30.3%
Strong positive
Confidence Level78
Positive
Al Khaleej Saihat Offensive Output0.4 goals per game
Negative
Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical balance

“Backing Al Khaleej Saihat Draw No Bet balances the home side's defensive challenges with the protection against loss, acknowledging Al-Nassr's attacking strength but valuing the home team's potential to frustrate and earn at least a point.”

Key Data Signals

Al Khaleej Saihat Draw No Bet evidence

Al Khaleej Saihat have scored only 0.4 goals per game recently, highlighting their offensive struggles.

Al-Nassr average 2.4 goals per game and 6.6 shots on target, showing strong attacking threat.

Al Khaleej Saihat concede 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability against Al-Nassr's attack.

Al Khaleej Saihat's Draw No Bet offers value given the model's 45% chance versus a 14.7% implied market chance.

What To Watch In The Data

Al Khaleej Saihat Draw No Bet notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Al-Nassr's 100% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Al Khaleej Saihat's 40%, suggesting Al-Nassr's attacking style drives higher scoring games, but the home side's defensive approach may temper the goal count in this encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al Khaleej Saihat3.2
Avg corners for
Al-Nassr8.6
Al Khaleej Saihat7.4
Avg total corners
Al-Nassr11.2
Al Khaleej Saihat1
Avg yellow cards
Al-Nassr1.4
Al Khaleej Saihat9.2
Avg shots
Al-Nassr16.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 58% · edge -6.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Al-Nassr dominate in shots (16.4 per game) and corners (8.6 per game), reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial advantage. Al Khaleej Saihat's lower averages in these areas indicate a more defensive posture. Card data shows moderate discipline from both sides, with Al Khaleej Saihat averaging 1 yellow card and Al-Nassr 1.4, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al Khaleej Saihat0.4
Avg goals scored
Al-Nassr2.4
Al Khaleej Saihat1.8
Avg goals conceded
Al-Nassr1.2
Al Khaleej Saihat40%
BTTS rate
Al-Nassr80%
Al Khaleej Saihat40%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Nassr100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 85%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Recent form data shows Al Khaleej Saihat score infrequently, averaging 0.4 goals per game, while Al-Nassr boast a high scoring rate of 2.4 goals per game and 80% BTTS rate. This suggests a likelihood of goals from Al-Nassr but limited scoring from the home side, indicating a match where BTTS is possible but not guaranteed, and goal totals may vary.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAl Khaleej Saihat Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.8
Check odds @ 6.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Al Khaleej Saihat to WinBetfred guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The Al Khaleej Saihat Draw No Bet market shows significant value with at 6.8, reflecting a 45% far above the 14.7% implied market chance. This discrepancy indicates the market underestimates Al Khaleej Saihat's ability to avoid defeat, making this a price-sensitive but positive value bet with standard stake guidance.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al Khaleej Saihat

DLLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 2L
07 Sep 2026H Al Riyadh0-0
03 Sep 2026A NEOM0-3
28 Aug 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC1-5
25 Aug 2026A Abha1-1
22 Aug 2026H Al Shabab0-0

Al-Nassr

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 1L
09 Sep 2026H Abha2-1
05 Sep 2026A Al-Ittihad FC1-2
28 Aug 2026H Al Taawon2-1
25 Aug 2026A Al-Ettifaq3-2
21 Aug 2026A Al Riyadh4-0
Market aligned with main pickAl Khaleej Saihat Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.8
Check odds @ 6.8
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.09
Check odds @ 4.09
Al Khaleej Saihat to WinBetfred guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
Al Khaleej Saihat have collected only 3 points recently with a low scoring rate, highlighting offensive struggles. In contrast, Al-Nassr have amassed 12 points with a strong goal output, demonstrating momentum and . This contrast in form underlines the challenge for Al Khaleej Saihat but also supports the Draw No Bet as a cautious approach to their home fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Al Khaleej Saihat wins
1Draws
9Al-Nassr wins
14 Mar 2026Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Nassr0-5
23 Nov 2025Al-Nassr v Al Khaleej Saihat4-1
21 May 2025Al-Nassr v Al Khaleej Saihat2-0
21 Jan 2025Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Nassr1-3
01 May 2024Al-Nassr v Al Khaleej Saihat3-1
27 Apr 2024Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Nassr0-1
Market aligned with main pickAl Khaleej Saihat to WinBetfred guide price · Model 24% vs implied 9% · edge +15 pts
11
Check odds @ 11
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 10 previous meetings between these teams average 2.9 goals per game, showing a tendency for moderately high-scoring matches. However, the historical data is balanced and does not strongly favor either side, suggesting that while Al-Nassr have attacking superiority, Al Khaleej Saihat have occasionally contained them, supporting the cautious Draw No Bet approach.
Season team stats

Pro League

Al Khaleej Saihat6
Played
Al-Nassr6
Al Khaleej Saihat0.3
Avg goals for
Al-Nassr2.5
Al Khaleej Saihat1.5
Avg goals against
Al-Nassr1
Al Khaleej Saihat3
Clean sheets
Al-Nassr2
Market aligned with main pickAl Khaleej Saihat Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.8
Check odds @ 6.8
Load more odds for this section
Al Khaleej Saihat to WinBetfred guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
Season-long stats show Al Khaleej Saihat with a weak attack averaging 0.4 goals and a leaky defense conceding 1.8 goals per game. Al-Nassr maintain a potent offense at 2.4 goals per game and a tighter defense conceding 1.2 goals. These profiles suggest Al-Nassr's superiority but also expose Al Khaleej Saihat's potential to concede, reinforcing the prudence of the Draw No Bet selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Al-Nassr1565019
13Al Khaleej Saihat46042-7
Al-Nassr sit second in the Pro League with 15 points, reflecting their status as title contenders, while Al Khaleej Saihat are 13th with 4 points, indicating a relegation battle. The standings highlight the stakes for both teams: Al-Nassr to maintain pressure near the top, and Al Khaleej Saihat to secure vital points, which may encourage a cautious but competitive match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Al Khaleej Saihat Over 2.5
100%Al-Nassr Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Al-Nassr's 100% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Al Khaleej Saihat's 40%, suggesting Al-Nassr's attacking style drives higher scoring games, but the home side's defensive approach may temper the goal count in this encounter.

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