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Al Diriyah crestAl Diriyah
v
Abha crestAbha

Pro League | Sun 13 Sep, 19:00

Al Diriyah v Abha Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al Diriyah face Abha in Pro League on Sun 13 Sep, 19:00. Al Diriyah come in with 10 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Abha have 1 points and 0.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.8, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Al Diriyah show a 40% BTTS rate and Abha show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Al Diriyah average 1.4 goals scored and Abha average 0.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Al Diriyah show a 40% BTTS rate and Abha show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
Al Diriyah show a 40% BTTS rate and Abha show.Visible data support
Positive
Al Diriyah average 1.4 goals scored and Abha average 0.8.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Al Diriyah show a 40% BTTS rate and Abha show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Al Diriyah show a 40% BTTS rate and Abha show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Al Diriyah average 1.4 goals scored and Abha average 0.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al Diriyah1.4
Avg goals scored
Abha0.8
Al Diriyah0.8
Avg goals conceded
Abha2.2
Al Diriyah40%
BTTS rate
Abha60%
Al Diriyah40%
Over 2.5 goals
Abha60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al Diriyah

WLWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
09 Sep 2026A Al-Fateh2-1
03 Sep 2026H Al-Qadisiyah FC0-2
29 Aug 2026A Al-Ettifaq3-0
26 Aug 2026H Al Kholood1-1
21 Aug 2026A Al-Hazm1-0

Abha

LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 5L
09 Sep 2026A Al-Nassr1-2
04 Sep 2026H Al-Ettifaq0-1
28 Aug 2026A Al-Fayha2-3
25 Aug 2026H Al Khaleej Saihat1-1
22 Aug 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah0-4
Best odds for this sectionAl Diriyah to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Abha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Al Diriyah Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Abha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Al Diriyah1063122
18Abha16015-8
Al Diriyah sit in position 9, while Abha sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams to Score assessment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Al Diriyah to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Abha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Al Diriyah Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Abha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al Diriyah4.4
Avg corners for
Abha2.8
Al Diriyah8.6
Avg total corners
Abha7
Al Diriyah0.8
Avg yellow cards
Abha2.2
Al Diriyah11.6
Avg shots
Abha9.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge -0.3 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Al Diriyah wins
0Draws
1Abha wins
01 May 2026Al Diriyah v Abha2-0
05 Jan 2026Abha v Al Diriyah2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Al Diriyah to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Abha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Pro League

Al Diriyah6
Played
Abha6
Al Diriyah1.2
Avg goals for
Abha0.8
Al Diriyah0.8
Avg goals against
Abha2.2
Al Diriyah2
Clean sheets
Abha0
Best odds for this sectionAl Diriyah to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Abha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Al Diriyah Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Abha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Season data supports Al Diriyah to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Al Diriyah Over 2.5
60%Abha Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Al Diriyah sit at 40% and Abha sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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