Football Stats Hub

NEOM crestNEOM
v
Al-Fateh crestAl-Fateh

Pro League | Sun 13 Sep, 17:20

NEOM v Al-Fateh Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

NEOM face Al-Fateh in Pro League on Sun 13 Sep, 17:20. NEOM come in with 9 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Al-Fateh have 3 points and 0.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

NEOM to Win

  • At 1.65, NEOM to Win implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • NEOM have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Al-Fateh.
  • NEOM have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the NEOM to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • NEOM sit 6 in the table, while Al-Fateh sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for NEOM to Win sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. NEOM have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Al-Fateh.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Positive
NEOM have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
NEOM have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: NEOM Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers NEOM have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Al-Fateh. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

NEOM to Win evidence

NEOM have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Al-Fateh.

NEOM have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the NEOM Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

NEOM sit 6 in the table, while Al-Fateh sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

NEOM to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    NEOM1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Al-Fateh0.4
    NEOM0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Al-Fateh0.8
    NEOM0%
    BTTS rate
    Al-Fateh40%
    NEOM20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Al-Fateh20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    NEOM

    WWLLW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 0D 2L
    07 Sep 2026A Al-Hilal Saudi FC2-0
    03 Sep 2026H Al Khaleej Saihat3-0
    28 Aug 2026A Al Riyadh0-1
    24 Aug 2026H Al-Qadisiyah FC0-2
    21 Aug 2026A Al-Faisaly FC2-0

    Al-Fateh

    LDDDL
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 3D 3L
    09 Sep 2026H Al Diriyah1-2
    05 Sep 2026A Al Taawon0-0
    29 Aug 2026H Al-Ittihad FC0-0
    26 Aug 2026A Al-Faisaly FC1-1
    22 Aug 2026H Al-Ettifaq0-1
    Market aligned with main pickNEOM to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    NEOM Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    6NEOM1264025
    16Al-Fateh36033-5
    NEOM sit in position 6, while Al-Fateh sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the NEOM to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNEOM to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    NEOM Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    NEOM to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    NEOM4.33
    Avg corners for
    Al-Fateh4.4
    NEOM8
    Avg total corners
    Al-Fateh11.8
    NEOM2
    Avg yellow cards
    Al-Fateh2
    NEOM12.33
    Avg shots
    Al-Fateh12.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 58% · edge +5.1 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0NEOM wins
    1Draws
    1Al-Fateh wins
    02 May 2026Al-Fateh v NEOM2-2
    10 Jan 2026NEOM v Al-Fateh0-1
    Market aligned with main pickNEOM to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    The head-to-head sample gives context for NEOM to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Pro League

    NEOM6
    Played
    Al-Fateh6
    NEOM1.5
    Avg goals for
    Al-Fateh0.3
    NEOM0.7
    Avg goals against
    Al-Fateh1.2
    NEOM3
    Clean sheets
    Al-Fateh2
    Market aligned with main pickNEOM to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    NEOM Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Season data supports NEOM to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%NEOM Over 2.5
    20%Al-Fateh Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: NEOM sit at 20% and Al-Fateh sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Al Taawon v Al-Hilal Saudi FCPro League · Sat 12 Sep 16:50Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-NassrPro League · Sat 12 Sep 19:00Al Shabab v Al-FayhaPro League · Sat 12 Sep 19:00Al Riyadh v Al KholoodPro League · Sun 13 Sep 19:00

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre