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Match Context

Fixture analysis

Aalesund face Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien, with both teams showing attacking intent and vulnerabilities at the back. Recent meetings between these sides have produced high goal counts, and both clubs are coming off mixed form but with a tendency to concede and score regularly.

Aalesund crestAalesund
v
Ham-Kam crestHam-Kam

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Aalesund v Ham-Kam Stats

Data last updated: Thu 28 May 2026, 03:32 UK time
BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Aalesund have scored and conceded in 80% of recent matches
  • Ham-Kam have a 60% BTTS rate in their last five games
  • Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored per match recently
  • Last 10 head-to-heads average 3 goals per game
  • Aalesund allow 16.4 shots per match, Ham-Kam 10.8

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Both Teams To Score due to both Aalesund and Ham-Kam showing strong attacking output and defensive frailties. Aalesund’s recent matches have seen them both score and concede at a high rate, while Ham-Kam also tend to be involved in open games. The head-to-head history points to high-scoring encounters, and both sides’ average shots and shots on target suggest frequent chances at both ends. With neither defence consistently keeping clean sheets, the BTTS market is well supported by the underlying data.

Aalesund BTTS Rate80% in recent matches
Strong positive
Ham-Kam BTTS Rate60% in last five games
Positive
Average Goals (H2H)3 per match in last 10 meetings
Positive
Shots per GameAalesund 16.4, Ham-Kam 10.8
Positive
Recent Defensive RecordsAalesund 1.2 conceded, Ham-Kam 0.8 conceded per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams To Score looks a strong selection given Aalesund’s high BTTS rate and Ham-Kam’s attacking consistency. Aalesund’s open style leads to frequent chances at both ends, while Ham-Kam’s recent form shows they can contribute offensively. The head-to-head trend of high-scoring games further supports this market.

Main risk

The main risk is that Ham-Kam’s defensive record is slightly stronger than Aalesund’s, and if they opt for a more conservative approach away from home, the match could become tighter and limit scoring opportunities.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Recent BTTS rates and attacking trends

“Aalesund’s matches rarely lack drama, and with Ham-Kam also showing attacking intent, this fixture has all the ingredients for goals at both ends. The recent BTTS rates and H2H goal averages make this a compelling value angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Aalesund have scored and conceded in 80% of recent matches

Ham-Kam have a 60% BTTS rate in their last five games

Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored per match recently

Last 10 head-to-heads average 3 goals per game

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Compare Over 2.5 rates with goals for and goals conceded before leaning into the goal line.
  • Check whether the lower-scoring side can contribute enough chances to support the market.
  • Final line-ups and price movement can change the value quickly.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile and goal-market notes.

Aalesund1.4
Avg goals scored
Ham-Kam1.4
Aalesund1.2
Avg goals conceded
Ham-Kam0.8
Aalesund80%
BTTS rate
Ham-Kam60%
Aalesund40%
Over 2.5 goals
Ham-Kam40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 62% · edge -5.7 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Aalesund and 40% for Ham-Kam, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aalesund

DWWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
25 May 2026A Tromso1-1
20 May 2026H Brann2-1
16 May 2026A Rosenborg3-2
03 May 2026A Sandefjord0-1
26 Apr 2026H Kristiansund BK1-1

Ham-Kam

WLWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 3L
25 May 2026H Lillestrom2-0
16 May 2026A Fredrikstad1-2
08 May 2026H Valerenga1-0
03 May 2026A Kristiansund BK1-1
26 Apr 2026H Start2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.5 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Ham-Kam to WinBetUK guide price · model 51%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Ham-Kam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Aalesund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Away / Draw is supported by the form gap: Ham-Kam have 10 recent points compared with 8 for Aalesund, so the away result case has football support as well as price interest.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Ham-Kam1695131
14Aalesund1010244-5
Despite Aalesund’s lower league position, both teams have shown the ability to score, and Ham-Kam’s mid-table status reflects a balanced but open approach.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 62% · edge -5.7 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Ham-Kam to WinBetUK guide price · model 51%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Ham-Kam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Aalesund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Aalesund and 40% for Ham-Kam, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Aalesund5
Avg corners for
Ham-Kam4
Aalesund13
Avg total corners
Ham-Kam9
Aalesund2.8
Avg yellow cards
Ham-Kam1
Aalesund16.4
Avg shots
Ham-Kam10.8

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Aalesund wins
4Draws
2Ham-Kam wins
20 May 2025Aalesund v Ham-Kam2-2
13 Aug 2023Aalesund v Ham-Kam0-2
07 Jul 2023Ham-Kam v Aalesund2-1
17 Mar 2023Aalesund v Ham-Kam3-1
16 Oct 2022Aalesund v Ham-Kam0-0
08 May 2022Ham-Kam v Aalesund0-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 62% · edge -5.7 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Ham-Kam to WinBetUK guide price · model 51%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Aalesund and 40% for Ham-Kam, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Aalesund10
Played
Ham-Kam9
Aalesund1.3
Avg goals for
Ham-Kam1.7
Aalesund1.8
Avg goals against
Ham-Kam1.6
Aalesund0
Clean sheets
Ham-Kam3
Best odds for this sectionHam-Kam to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 30% · edge +21.1 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Ham-Kam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Aalesund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Ham-Kam to Win is supported by the form gap: Ham-Kam have 10 recent points compared with 8 for Aalesund, so the away result case has football support as well as price interest.
Player stats

Player props and player-level numbers.

Best player marketK. Lonebu Anytime GoalscorerK. Lonebu · 5 goals · 1.6 SOT/90
78/100
Check odds
Load more player markets
K. Lonebu 1+ Shot On TargetK. Lonebu · 1.6 shots on target/90
80/100
Check odds
D. Jóhannsson 2+ ShotsD. Jóhannsson · 2.64 shots/90
76/100
Check odds
J. Ørsahl To Assist / Key Pass AngleJ. Ørsahl · 2 assists · 2.86 key passes/90
69/100
Check odds
A. Potur To Be FouledA. Potur · 3.08 fouls won/90
80/100
Check odds
M. Andresen Card RiskM. Andresen · 3 yellows · 2.25 fouls/90
80/100
Check odds
Lonebu Anytime Goalscorer a credible route through 5 goals and 1.6 SOT/90, especially if the match flow produces touches around the penalty area.
K. Lonebu
K. LonebuAalesund · Attacker
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.05
SOT /901.6
H. Udahl
H. UdahlHam-Kam · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /902.03
SOT /901.14
M. Niang
M. NiangHam-Kam · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /901.86
SOT /901
M. Johnsgård
M. JohnsgårdHam-Kam · Midfielder
Goal threat40/100
Shots /902.62
SOT /901.57
I. Djantou
I. DjantouAalesund · Attacker
Goal threat49/100
Shots /901.83
SOT /901.37
D. Jóhannsson
D. JóhannssonAalesund · Midfielder
Goal threat32/100
Shots /902.64
SOT /901.02
E. Myrlid
E. MyrlidAalesund · Attacker
Goal threat23/100
Shots /902.5
SOT /901.25
M. Andresen
M. AndresenAalesund · Defender
Goal threat13/100
Shots /901.41
SOT /900
Key match trends

Over 2.5 and recent goal-pattern context.

40%Aalesund Over 2.5
40%Ham-Kam Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Aalesund sit at 40% and Ham-Kam sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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