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Match Context

Fixture analysis

Valerenga face Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien, with both sides level on points and looking to climb away from the lower reaches of the table. Recent matches for both teams have featured goals at both ends, suggesting another open contest.

Valerenga crestValerenga
v
Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Valerenga v Kristiansund BK Stats

Data last updated: Thu 28 May 2026, 03:32 UK time
BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in recent matches
  • Valerenga concede 2.4 goals per game on average
  • Kristiansund BK average 1.4 goals against per match
  • Both teams average over 12 shots per game
  • Last 10 H2H meetings average 2.5 goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Recent BTTS ratesBoth teams at 60%
Strong positive
Defensive recordsValerenga 2.4 conceded, Kristiansund BK 1.4 conceded per game
Positive
Attacking outputValerenga 14.8 shots, Kristiansund BK 12.6 shots per game
Positive
H2H goals average2.5 goals per game
Neutral
Main risk

The main risk is Kristiansund BK's lower recent scoring average of 0.8 goals per match, which could limit their threat if Valerenga tighten up defensively.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both teams' attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities

“Valerenga's defensive frailties and Kristiansund BK's willingness to attack away from home make Both Teams to Score a logical selection, especially with both sides regularly involved in open, chance-filled matches.”

Key Data Signals

Valerenga Win evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in recent matches

Valerenga concede 2.4 goals per game on average

Kristiansund BK average 1.4 goals against per match

Both teams average over 12 shots per game

What To Watch In The Data

Valerenga Win notes

  • Valerenga have the stronger base if recent points return and final line-ups keep pointing towards Valerenga Win.
  • Check whether Valerenga create enough clear chances rather than just territory.
  • Final line-ups and price movement can change the value quickly.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 64% · edge -36.5 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Valerenga to Win is a price-led watchlist angle rather than a form-backed pick: Valerenga trail Kristiansund BK on recent points, so line-ups and market movement need to improve before trusting it.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile and goal-market notes.

Valerenga-
Avg goals scored
Kristiansund BK0.8
Valerenga-
Avg goals conceded
Kristiansund BK1.4
Valerenga-
BTTS rate
Kristiansund BK60%
Valerenga-
Over 2.5 goals
Kristiansund BK40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 39% · edge +21 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Valerenga

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Valerenga yet.

Kristiansund BK

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 May 2026H Viking1-2
20 May 2026A Lillestrom2-1
16 May 2026A Molde0-1
10 May 2026A Sandefjord0-2
03 May 2026H Ham-Kam1-1
Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 64% · edge -36.5 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Valerenga to Win is a price-led watchlist angle rather than a form-backed pick: Valerenga trail Kristiansund BK on recent points, so line-ups and market movement need to improve before trusting it.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Valerenga-
Avg corners for
Kristiansund BK3.75
Valerenga-
Avg total corners
Kristiansund BK9
Valerenga-
Avg yellow cards
Kristiansund BK3
Valerenga-
Avg shots
Kristiansund BK13

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Player stats

Player props and player-level numbers.

Best player marketPromise Meliga Anytime GoalscorerPromise Meliga · 2 goals · 9.47 SOT/90
86/100
Check odds
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Promise Meliga 1+ Shot On TargetPromise Meliga · 9.47 shots on target/90
84/100
Check odds
Promise Meliga 2+ ShotsPromise Meliga · 9.47 shots/90
82/100
Check odds
O. Sæter To Assist / Key Pass AngleO. Sæter · 0 assists · 4.74 key passes/90
74/100
Check odds
J. Isaksen To Be FouledJ. Isaksen · 4.34 fouls won/90
74/100
Check odds
N. Ødegård Card RiskN. Ødegård · 3 yellows · 1.36 fouls/90
80/100
Check odds
Promise Meliga Anytime Goalscorer is more than a name pick here: 2 goals and 9.47 SOT/90 puts the focus on whether Promise Meliga gets enough central service.
Promise Meliga
Promise MeligaKristiansund BK · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /909.47
SOT /909.47
O. Sæter
O. SæterValerenga · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /904.74
SOT /904.74
L. Alvheim
L. AlvheimKristiansund BK · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /902.25
SOT /901.35
G. Rajkovic
G. RajkovicValerenga · Attacker
Goal threat25/100
Shots /901.7
SOT /901.7
H. Magnusson
H. MagnussonKristiansund BK · Midfielder
Goal threat32/100
Shots /904.8
SOT /901.2
N. Ødegård
N. ØdegårdKristiansund BK · Midfielder
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900.34
SOT /900
O. Saeter
O. SaeterValerenga · Attacker
Goal threat9/100
Shots /902
SOT /900
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Valerenga wins
2Draws
4Kristiansund BK wins
22 Nov 2025Valerenga v Kristiansund BK3-0
27 Apr 2025Kristiansund BK v Valerenga0-2
10 Dec 2023Valerenga v Kristiansund BK0-2
06 Dec 2023Kristiansund BK v Valerenga0-2
11 Sep 2022Kristiansund BK v Valerenga3-2
10 Jul 2022Valerenga v Kristiansund BK3-0
Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 64% · edge -36.5 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Valerenga to Win is a price-led watchlist angle rather than a form-backed pick: Valerenga trail Kristiansund BK on recent points, so line-ups and market movement need to improve before trusting it.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Valerenga10
Played
Kristiansund BK10
Valerenga1
Avg goals for
Kristiansund BK1
Valerenga1.6
Avg goals against
Kristiansund BK1.5
Valerenga2
Clean sheets
Kristiansund BK1
Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 64% · edge -36.5 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Valerenga to Win is a price-led watchlist angle rather than a form-backed pick: Valerenga trail Kristiansund BK on recent points, so line-ups and market movement need to improve before trusting it.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Kristiansund BK1110325-5
13Valerenga1110325-6
With both teams level on points and in need of results, an open game is likely, increasing the chances of both teams scoring.
Key match trends

Over 2.5 and recent goal-pattern context.

-Valerenga Over 2.5
40%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Vålerenga concede an average of 1.6 goals per game while generating high attacking volume at home.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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