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Valerenga crestValerenga
v
Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Valerenga v Kristiansund BK Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 20:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Valerenga face Kristiansund BK in Eliteserien on Fri 29 May, 18:00. Both clubs sit level on 11 points after ten league matches, both have defensive issues that refuse to disappear, and both know this fixture could shift the mood around their season very quickly.

BT4Y best bet

On home turf after another frustrating sequence of results, while Kristiansund travel knowing they have an opportunity to unsettle a side that has str

  • At 17/10, Valerenga Win implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.
  • Vålerenga concede an average of 1.6 goals per game while generating high attacking volume at home.
  • Kristiansund BK have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Valerenga Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Valerenga sit 9 in the table, while Kristiansund BK sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 41% for Valerenga Win sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. Kristiansund BK have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Valerenga Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Vålerenga concede an average of that scoring level per game while generating high attacking volume at home.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Neutral
Kristiansund BK have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Valerenga sit 9 in the table, while Kristiansund BK sit.Visible data support
Positive
Vålerenga concede an average of 1.6 goals per game.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Valerenga Win is the preferred angle because vålerenga concede an average of that scoring level per game while generating high attacking volume at home. Kristiansund BK have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Valerenga Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Neither side arrives in Oslo carrying momentum strong enough to relax, but neither looks completely broken either.

Main risk

Neither side arrives in Oslo carrying momentum strong enough to relax, but neither looks completely broken either.

Key Data Signals

Valerenga Win evidence

Vålerenga concede an average of 1.6 goals per game while generating high attacking volume at home.

Kristiansund BK have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Valerenga Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Valerenga sit 9 in the table, while Kristiansund BK sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Valerenga Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Valerenga7.2
    Avg corners for
    Kristiansund BK4.2
    Valerenga9.4
    Avg total corners
    Kristiansund BK9
    Valerenga2.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Kristiansund BK2.8
    Valerenga14.8
    Avg shots
    Kristiansund BK12.6

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Valerenga1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Kristiansund BK0.8
    Valerenga2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Kristiansund BK1.4
    Valerenga60%
    BTTS rate
    Kristiansund BK60%
    Valerenga60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Kristiansund BK40%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 39% · edge +19.3 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 64% · edge -22.7 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    Valerenga to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Valerenga

    LWLDL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    25 May 2026A Start0-2
    16 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF3-2
    08 May 2026A Ham-Kam0-1
    03 May 2026H KFUM Oslo2-2
    26 Apr 2026A Molde1-5

    Kristiansund BK

    LWLLD
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    24 May 2026H Viking1-2
    20 May 2026A Lillestrom2-1
    16 May 2026A Molde0-1
    10 May 2026A Sandefjord0-2
    03 May 2026H Ham-Kam1-1
    Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 64% · edge -22.7 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
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    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Valerenga wins
    2Draws
    4Kristiansund BK wins
    22 Nov 2025Valerenga v Kristiansund BK3-0
    27 Apr 2025Kristiansund BK v Valerenga0-2
    10 Dec 2023Valerenga v Kristiansund BK0-2
    06 Dec 2023Kristiansund BK v Valerenga0-2
    11 Sep 2022Kristiansund BK v Valerenga3-2
    10 Jul 2022Valerenga v Kristiansund BK3-0
    Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 64% · edge -22.7 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Valerenga to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Valerenga11
    Played
    Kristiansund BK11
    Valerenga1.2
    Avg goals for
    Kristiansund BK1
    Valerenga1.5
    Avg goals against
    Kristiansund BK1.6
    Valerenga2
    Clean sheets
    Kristiansund BK1
    Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 64% · edge -22.7 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    Season data supports Valerenga to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9Valerenga1411425-4
    14Kristiansund BK1111326-7
    Valerenga sit in position 9, while Kristiansund BK sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Valerenga Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Valerenga Over 2.5
    40%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Valerenga sit at 60% and Kristiansund BK sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.