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Can Zanetti’s Verona stop Bologna’s away momentum before the pressure boils over? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Bologna holds a significant technical advantage, sitting 14 points ahead of Verona. Verona’s record of just one win in 11 home games suggests they lack the stability to hold off a top-half side.
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Historical H2H data shows a pattern of 2-1 results in favor of Bologna. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, making a clean sheet for either side unlikely.
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Verona vs Bologna Predictions and Best Bets
Verona vs Bologna — William Hill Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample William Hill odds based on our match analysis.
Bologna travel well and face a Verona side with only one home win in eleven, leading to strong away favouritism in the market.
Pricing reflects Bologna’s attacking consistency on the road, with the 0-1 and 1-2 scorelines carrying high implied probabilities.
- Defence under siege: Verona have conceded in eight straight Serie A matches and average 1.63 goals conceded per league game, leaving no margin for sloppy moments.
- Home pain, away punch: Verona have just one win in 11 league games at the Bentegodi, while Bologna have three wins in their last six away matches across all competitions.
- Control gap: Bologna average 55% possession and 429.62 passes per game, while Verona sit at 40% possession and 324.19 passes, shaping a game of chase and counter.
Control Gap: Possession & Passing
The technical disparity is evident in how both sides handle the ball, with Bologna averaging significantly more control per match.
Maintaining over 429 passes per game, the visitors dictate the tempo of play.
With 324 passes per game, the hosts rely on winning the ball back quickly to transition.
Defensive Pressure: Goals Conceded
Verona’s defensive stability is under constant threat as they struggle to keep clean sheets in the current campaign.
The hosts have failed to prevent an opponent from scoring in eight consecutive league fixtures.
The visitors have consistently found the net in every away Serie A fixture during this run.
Thursday at the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi feels like a pressure test for both dugouts. Verona are scrapping for air at the bottom, with just one point from three league fixtures in 2026 and a home record that’s dragged them into real danger. Bologna arrive with their own frustration — no Serie A wins in seven, a run that has turned a bright November into a grinding slog.
Kick-off is 17:30, and the mood is edgy. Paolo Zanetti needs a response fast, because Verona keep conceding and too often go quiet in front of goal. Vincenzo Italiano needs clarity — Bologna are still creating, still travelling well, but the results have stalled. Something has to give.
Team News & Lineups
Team News
- Verona absences:
- F. Cham (unknown injury)
- J. Akpa Akpro (ankle problems, out until 16/01/2026)
- T. Suslov (torn knee ligaments, out until 02/03/2026)
- Bologna absences:
- No injuries or suspensions listed.
Probable Lineups
Hellas Verona: Montipo; Nelsson, Bella-Kotchap, Valentini; Belghali, Niasse, Gagliardini, Bernede, Frese; Giovane, Orban
Bologna: Ravaglia; Holm, Heggem, Vitík, Miranda; Moro, Ferguson; Orsolini, Odgaard, Rowe; Dallinga
Implication: Verona’s likely back three plus wing-backs screams “survive first, strike second” — but that plan collapses if they keep conceding early. Bologna’s shape gives them width and runners around the No.9, with Riccardo Orsolini the obvious spark for moments that change a match.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Verona | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 9th |
| Points | 13 | 27 |
| Goals scored (Serie A) | 15 | 26 |
| Shots per game (Serie A) | 11.6 | 12.9 |
| Possession (Serie A) | 39.0% | 54.9% |
| Pass accuracy (Serie A) | 73.7% | 82.1% |
| Clean sheets (all leagues shown) | 4 | 7 |
| Corners per game | 3.67 | 5.38 |
| Yellow cards per game | 2.48 | 1.96 |
This points to a familiar script: Bologna should have more of the ball, stack territory, and force Verona into long defensive shifts. Verona’s route is sharper and riskier — win it, go early, and try to turn the pitch into a sprint instead of a chess match.
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Verona: chaos football, but they must finish it
Verona’s identity is clear: very strong on counter-attacks and stealing the ball, with a style built around long balls, through balls, and attacking down the right. They also “take a lot of shots” and like a crack from range. That can rattle any side if the first pass after the regain is crisp.
The problem? Verona’s weaknesses read like a warning siren. They struggle with finishing chances, they’re very weak at keeping possession, and they’re exposed defending through balls and wide attacks. That’s a brutal combination when you’re chasing games — and Verona have been chasing plenty, conceding in eight straight league fixtures.
The key men are up top. Gift Orban has 5 league goals and fires 3.2 shots per game; Giovane adds legs, carries, and end product with 3 goals and 4 assists. If those two don’t connect quickly, Verona risk long spells pinned back.
Bologna: possession with width, then the killer touch
Bologna bring a different rhythm: possession football, play with width, and a tendency to attack down the left, mixed with long balls when the press invites it. They’ve also got real strengths in finishing, set-piece threat, and long-shot opportunities — exactly the tools you want against a side that can’t keep the ball and hates defending dead balls.
Watch the supply lines. Bologna average 5.38 corners per game, and Verona are very weak at defending set pieces. That’s not a small detail — it’s a direct path to chances without needing open-play perfection.
Then there’s the movement around the box. Orsolini has 6 league goals, Santiago Castro has 5, and Bologna have scored in eight straight away Serie A matches. Even during the winless run, they’ve still found a way to put the ball in the net on the road.
The mismatch
If Bologna circulate and pull Verona’s wing-backs deep, Verona’s “right-side” outlet gets pinned. If Verona over-commit to spring counters, Bologna’s wide players can isolate defenders and force fouls in awkward areas — and Verona are very weak at avoiding fouling in dangerous zones.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces at both ends: Bologna are strong attacking set pieces, while Verona are very weak defending them — a swing factor that can bypass tactics entirely.
- The first 20 minutes: Verona’s confidence has been fragile at home (just one league win at the Bentegodi all season). Concede first and the plan turns desperate.
- Wide duels: Verona’s vulnerability against attacks down the wings meets Bologna’s width and left-sided lean — that’s where the volume of chances can build.
- Counter timing: Verona are very strong on the break, but Bologna’s away record includes 7 unbeaten in 8 away league games — they don’t panic when the game stretches.
What could go wrong? Verona are aggressive and open by nature, and that can drag a match into mistakes and momentum swings. Bologna, meanwhile, are winless in seven Serie A matches — if their finishing deserts them again, they can dominate spells and still leave the door ajar for one Verona counter and a Bentegodi surge.
Best Bet for Hellas Verona vs Bologna
Can Zanetti’s Verona Defy the Odds Against Travel-Hardy Bologna?
The Punter’s Cheat Sheet
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Form | Verona 1 pt in 3 games; Bologna winless in 7 | Bologna Win |
| Defense | Verona: 8-game leak; Bologna: scored in 8 away | BTTS – Yes |
| H2H | Bologna won 3 of last 4; Verona 1 win in 11 home | Away Win |
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Bologna to Win & Both Teams to Score
This fixture presents a clash between two sides desperate to break winless droughts in 2026, but the structural advantages heavily favor the visitors. While Bologna have struggled for a victory in their last seven league outings, their performance metrics away from home remain remarkably resilient. They have managed to score in eight consecutive away matches in Serie A, showing that regardless of the final result, they possess the creative consistency to find the net.
Verona, by contrast, are currently anchored to the bottom of the table. Their defensive record is the primary catalyst for this decline; they have failed to keep a clean sheet in eight straight matches and concede an average of 1.63 goals per league game. At the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, the pressure is mounting. Verona have secured just one victory in their last 11 home league games, a dismal run that has stripped the stadium of its feared atmosphere.
Tactically, the match is a mismatch in control. Bologna dominate possession with a 55% average and nearly 430 passes per game, whereas Verona often see as little as 40% of the ball. This ensures Bologna will dictate the tempo. While Verona’s counter-attacking style and the presence of Gift Orban (5 goals) suggest they will likely breach a Bologna defense that has also been prone to lapses, the visitors’ superior technical quality should prevail. With Riccardo Orsolini leading a front line that has historically scored at least twice in each of their last four meetings with Verona, the visitors have the firepower to outscore their hosts in an open encounter.
What could go wrong? Verona’s aggressive, high-risk style can create chaotic momentum swings that occasionally pay off at home. If Bologna’s recent inability to turn dominance into three points continues, or if they suffer another disciplinary lapse like the red card seen in their previous outing, Verona could capitalize on the counter to snatch a result.
Correct Score Lean
Hellas Verona 1-2 Bologna
This scoreline aligns with both historical trends and current defensive frailties. Bologna have won three of the last four meetings between these sides, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent trip to this stadium. Given that Verona consistently concede but often find a way to score through their direct counter-attacks—and considering Bologna’s eight-game scoring streak on the road—a 1-2 result reflects the visitor’s control balanced against the host’s desperation.
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