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Can Crystal Palace turn dominance over Wolves into the home response their season needs? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Crystal Palace have won five consecutive home league meetings against Wolves. The visitors are in a bleak run, winning just one of their last 31 Premier League matches. Palace’s higher shot volume and superior team rating should see them overcome the league’s bottom side at Selhurst Park.
Read Rationale ▾
Wolves have a very weak finishing record, scoring only 18 goals in 27 games. Palace have scored 2+ goals in their last three meetings with Wolves. Given Wolves’ defensive vulnerabilities against through balls and counter-attacks, a structured 2-0 home victory aligns with their historical dominance in this fixture.
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Selhurst Park has been waiting for a proper Premier League lift, and Sunday brings a chance to snap the mood back into shape as Crystal Palace host bottom-of-the-table Wolves.
Palace vs Wolves — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Key statistical indicators and sample BetMGM odds based on current Premier League form.
Crystal Palace have won five straight home league meetings against Wolves, while the visitors have won just once in 31 games.
Wolves’ very weak finishing record (18 goals in 27 games) suggests a lower-scoring affair is historically likely in tight fixtures.
Palace have scored 2+ goals in each of the last three league meetings with Wolves at Selhurst Park.
Palace average 11.8 shots per game compared to Wolves’ 9.2, highlighting a significant difference in attacking intent.
Match Preview: Palace Seek to Snap Home Hoodoo
Selhurst Park has been waiting for a proper Premier League lift — and Sunday brings a chance to snap the mood back into shape. Crystal Palace return home after that jaw-dropping collapse against Burnley, turning 2-0 up into a 3-2 defeat after conceding three times in eight minutes.
The stakes are different for Wolverhampton Wanderers, but the pressure is heavier. Bottom of the league with 10 points from 27 games, they head to South London fresh from fighting back to draw 2-2 with Arsenal, yet their wider league run remains bleak.
It’s Oliver Glasner versus Rob Edwards, and it reads like a match where belief and game-state management could decide everything.
Attacking Volume: Shots per Game
A comparison of goal-scoring intent shows Palace creating significantly more opportunities than bottom-side Wolves.
With 72% of shots coming from inside the box, Palace’s volume translates into high-quality territory.
Wolves struggle to sustain pressure, averaging fewer than 10 shots despite often needing to chase games.
Efficiency: Goals Scored per Season
The raw output reflects Wolves’ struggle to finish chances throughout the current campaign.
Palace have found the net 28 times in 26 games, maintaining a scoring rate above one per match.
An output of just 18 goals in 27 games highlights a season-long difficulty in the final third.
Quick Hits
- Palace’s home hoodoo meets a familiar opponent: Palace have lost five Premier League games at Selhurst Park this season, but they’ve won five straight home league meetings with Wolves.
- Wolves’ league struggle is brutally clear: Wolves have won just 1 of their last 31 Premier League matches, and they arrive after a dramatic 2-2 draw with Arsenal from 2-0 down.
- This fixture has been loud lately: Palace have scored 2+ goals in each of the last three Premier League meetings with Wolves, and they’ve avoided defeat in 9 of the last 10 top-flight clashes.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Crystal Palace absences
- Eddie Nketiah (thigh problems) – out until 01/03/2026
- C. Kporha (back injury) – return date not listed
- R. Cardines (muscle injury) – return date not listed
- C. Doucouré (knee surgery) – out until 01/05/2026
Wolves absences
No injuries or suspensions listed.
Probable Crystal Palace XI (Glasner)
Henderson; Richards, Canvot, Riad; Munoz, Wharton, Kamada, Mitchell; Sarr, Pino; Strand Larsen
Probable Wolves XI (Edwards)
Sa; Mosquera, Bueno, Krejci; R. Gomes, J. Gomes, Andre, Mane, H. Bueno; Arokodare, Armstrong
Lineup implications
Palace look set to load the midfield spine with Adam Wharton and Daichi Kamada, with Daniel Muñoz and Tyrick Mitchell providing the width. Wolves’ shape hints at wing-back thrust too, but their own profile screams risk: weak at defending counter attacks and through balls, and vulnerable down the wings.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Premier League) | Crystal Palace | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Position / Points | 13th / 32 (26 GP) | 20th / 10 (27 GP) |
| Goals scored | 28 (26 apps) | 18 (27 apps) |
| Shots per game | 11.8 | 9.2 |
| Possession | 44.4% | 43.2% |
| Pass % | 77.6% | 79.9% |
| Aerials won | 19.1 | 16.0 |
| Team rating | 6.65 | 6.43 |
Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Palace: pressure moments, then punch through the middle
Palace’s best version shows up when they create chances in waves — and their profile leans into it. They attack through the middle, take a lot of shots, and try to thread through balls often.
That matters here because Wolves are labelled very weak at defending against through-ball attacks, and also struggle with individual errors and defending counter attacks. If Palace can win the ball and go straight into Ismaïla Sarr and Yéremy Pino in those half-spaces, the game can flip fast.
But Palace also carry their own warning label: protecting the lead is a weakness, and that Burnley collapse is the freshest scar. If Palace go in front, the next phase is the real exam — not the first punch, but the control after it.
Wolves: width, long shots, and chaos management
Wolves play with width, attack down the left, and aren’t shy about long shots. That’s not random — Palace are noted as weak at keeping possession, so Wolves will fancy moments where the ball is turned over and the pitch opens.
The issue is the finishing. Wolves are very weak at finishing scoring chances, and also poor at avoiding fouls in dangerous areas. That combination is a tactical trap: you can build decent phases, then give away momentum with the wrong tackle or fail to land the final blow.
Expect Wolves to try to stretch the pitch via wing-backs and early deliveries. Tolu Arokodare offers aerial presence (3.0 aerials won), while João Gomes brings bite (8 yellows) and legs for second balls.
Key Zones
- The key mismatch: Palace wide runners vs Wolves’ wing defence. Wolves are weak at defending against attacks down the wings — and Palace can turn that into territory. Muñoz and Mitchell can pin the wide areas, while Sarr and Pino dart inside to make the box crowded.
- Palace’s shot profile shows a heavy tilt to the danger zone: 72% of shots are from inside the box. Wolves concede at a high rate overall (average 1.78 goals conceded across their matches), and that’s exactly the kind of opponent you want if your own finishing has been patchy.
Game-State Scenarios
Both sides have recent stories of swings. Wolves climbed back from 2-0 down to draw with Arsenal; Palace somehow conceded three in eight minutes after going 2-0 up.
So if this turns frantic, nobody should pretend it’s comfortable. The calmer side in the 10 minutes after a goal could be the side that takes the points.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces and box security: Palace are weak at defending set pieces, while Wolves are strong at defending set pieces. That contrast can shape territory and momentum, even if it doesn’t show on the scoreboard early.
- Wing duels: Wolves’ weakness down the wings meets Palace’s willingness to use width through Muñoz and Mitchell. If Wolves’ wide protection breaks, Palace’s inside-box shot volume can spike.
- Discipline and dangerous areas: Wolves are very weak at avoiding fouls in dangerous areas, and their league discipline totals are high. One cheap free-kick can flip the tone of the entire half.
- First goal timing: Wolves’ first goal event time is listed at 45’, while Palace’s is 0’ in the same event block — a hint that Palace can start sharp while Wolves often grow into matches.
What Could Go Wrong?
For Palace, it’s the same issue that has haunted them: game management. Their weaknesses include protecting the lead and defending set pieces, and we’ve just seen how quickly a good position can melt.
For Wolves, it’s the blunt edge. They can scrap and stretch and shoot from range — but if the finishing stays “very weak”, they’ll need a lot of moments to find one goal, never mind two.
📊 Market Explainer: Understanding the Odds
Match Result (1X2)
The most traditional market where you predict the final outcome: Home Win, Draw, or Away Win. It covers the full 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
Other opportunities: Double Chance offers a lower-risk route by covering two of the three outcomes (e.g., Home Win or Draw), though with shorter prices.
Correct Score
A higher-volatility market where you predict the exact final scoreline. Because of the difficulty in precision, the rewards are typically much higher than match result markets.
Other opportunities: For those seeking more safety, “Correct Score Groups” allow you to back a cluster of scores (e.g., 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1) in one selection.
🎯 Match Rationale: Crystal Palace vs Wolves
Crystal Palace enter this fixture with a historic psychological advantage that outweighs their recent slip against Burnley. At Selhurst Park, the Eagles have been dominant against this specific opponent, winning five straight home league meetings against Wolverhampton Wanderers. This consistency in South London is a major factor, especially considering Wolves have only managed to win once in their last 31 Premier League outings. While Palace have had their own issues with game management, their attacking volume remains superior, averaging 11.8 shots per game compared to Wolves’ 9.2.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Palace have won five consecutive home league games against Wolves.
- Wolves have secured only one victory in their last 31 Premier League matches.
- Palace’s shot volume (11.8/game) is significantly higher than Wolves’ (9.2/game).
Risk Factor: Palace have shown vulnerability in protecting leads, as seen in their recent defeat to Burnley.
Regarding the scoreline, a 2-0 victory for the home side aligns with both historical trends and current tactical deficiencies. Palace have scored two or more goals in each of the last three league meetings with Wolves. Meanwhile, Wolves are noted for having a very weak finishing record, netting only 18 goals in 27 matches this season. With Palace taking 72% of their shots from inside the box and Wolves struggling to defend through balls and wing-based attacks, the Eagles have the tools to find the net twice while keeping a blunt Wolves attack at bay.
A 2-0 scoreline reflects Palace’s historical scoring rate in this fixture and Wolves’ finishing struggles.
Key Tactical Mismatch
72% of attempts from close range. Palace attack through the middle to create high-probability chances.
Ranked very weak at defending through-ball attacks and managing counter-attacking movements.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
⊕ What is a Match Result bet?
A Match Result bet is a wager on the final outcome of the game after 90 minutes. You can choose a home win, an away win, or a draw.
⊕ Why is Crystal Palace favoured in this match?
Crystal Palace have won five consecutive home matches against Wolves. They also face a side that has won only once in their last 31 league games.
⊕ How does the Correct Score market work?
In this market, you must predict the exact final scoreline. It is a high-reward market due to the difficulty of getting the precise result correct.
⊕ What are the risks of backing a Palace win?
Palace’s main risk is their struggle to protect leads. They recently lost a match against Burnley after being two goals up.
⊕ Is the Over/Under Goals market worth considering?
Yes, especially given Wolves’ low goal output. Under 2.5 goals is a common choice for matches involving teams with finishing struggles.
⊕ Do Wolves have a good away record at Selhurst Park?
No, Wolves have a poor record there. They have lost their last five league visits to Crystal Palace.
⊕ What is the significance of through balls in this match?
Wolves are statistically weak at defending through-ball attacks. This is a key area where Palace’s midfield can exploit the visitors’ defence.
⊕ Should I bet on Wolves to score first?
Wolves’ first goal event time is typically late (45′), while Palace are known to start sharper. Statistically, a Palace first goal is more probable.
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