Pisa vs Empoli Predictions

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Pisa vs Empoli: Relegation Scars, New Managers and an Early Tuscan Test. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Pisa crest
Pisa
Empoli crest
Empoli
Key Match Fact
Ferrah's 18 goal involvements for Cambuur last season give Pisa another potentially productive option.
Coppa Italia Pisa vs Empoli Best Bets
🎯 Free Tip
Both Teams To Score YES
Confidence
Odds 9/10 · when tipped
🎯 Free Tip
Pisa vs Empoli 1-1
Confidence
Odds 5/1 · when tipped
18+ · Gamble Responsibly · *Illustrative comparison only — confirm the live price with each bookmaker. Odds subject to change Last updated: Aug 16, 11:00 BST
BT4Y Match Data
Full match stats available

Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Pisa v Empoli.

Form H2H Goals Player data

Pisa and Empoli begin their Coppa Italia campaigns at the Arena Garibaldi on Monday with rather more to examine than a routine first-round cup tie would normally offer.

Pisa vs Empoli — bet365 Market Snapshot

Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.

Pisa crest
Pisa
vs
Empoli crest
Empoli
Main Market • 1X2
Result Outlook

Pisa and Empoli have contrasting recent form, influencing match outcome expectations.

Pisa
40%
bet36517/20
Draw
30%
bet36512/5
Empoli
30%
bet365333/100
Goals • BTTS
Goals Both Ways

Both teams' scoring and conceding patterns suggest a match with goals.

Both Teams to Score — Yes
Implied probability53%bet3659/10
Correct Score
1-1 Scoreline Lean

Recent meetings and scoring trends support a 1-1 draw as a plausible outcome.

Correct Score 1-1
Implied probability17%bet3655/1
Performance • Team Focus
Data Edge

The recent team data offers the safer performance angle here, without relying on an unverified individual-player claim.

Pisa vs Empoli Indicator
Analysis signalAnalysis only
Swipe left or right to browse markets. Odds are subject to change and may differ from live bet365 prices.

Three Punchy Stats

  • Pisa conceded 22 goals across their final nine league matches last season, a defensive collapse that leaves Bianco with an obvious area to improve immediately.
  • Empoli are unbeaten across four summer friendlies, recording two wins before successive 1-1 draws with Spezia and Livorno.
  • Empoli have not lost any of their last four meetings with Pisa, taking three victories and one draw from that sequence.

Attacking Trends Comparison

Recent attacking records for Pisa and Empoli are shown below.

Pisa
Pre-Season Goals
4
Goals vs Bologna.
Empoli
Unbeaten Friendlies
4
Consecutive scoring friendlies.

Defensive Records Comparison

Recent defensive records for Pisa and Empoli are shown below.

Pisa
Recent Stat
22
Goals conceded last 9 league matches.
Empoli
Recent Stat
0
Clean sheets in last 4 friendlies.

Both are preparing for Serie B seasons shaped by disappointment: Pisa have just been relegated after finishing bottom of Serie A, while Empoli managed only 15th place in the second tier.

Each club has also changed direction on the touchline. Paolo Bianco has taken over at Pisa after guiding Monza through the Serie B play-offs last season, while Guido Pagliuca is back in charge of Empoli. The immediate question is which side has made greater progress towards leaving last season behind.

Pisa need to repair a damaged defensive record

Pisa's relegation was emphatic. They lost their final nine league matches, conceded 22 goals during that sequence and finished with only 18 points from 37 games. Just four of those points arrived between February and May.

That collapse provides important context for Bianco's first competitive fixture. Pisa's summer results have at least offered some encouragement, with two wins and one defeat across four friendlies and a 4-1 victory over Bologna among them. Pre-season scores are limited evidence, but producing four goals against Bologna is a considerably brighter attacking signal than much of what preceded it.

There has been significant squad movement too. Rafiu Durosinmi left for Genk for a club-record fee, while Tommaso Marras, Simone Zanon, Giuseppe Leone and Ichem Ferrah have arrived. Ferrah's 18 goal involvements for Cambuur last season give Pisa another potentially productive option, although Nicholas Bonfanti and Matheus Lusuardi are unavailable with serious knee injuries.

Empoli arrive with greater summer stability

Empoli's recent trajectory is different but hardly comfortable. Their first-ever Coppa Italia semi-final came before last year's earlier elimination by Genoa, and their subsequent league campaign never developed into the promotion challenge they might have wanted. Fifteenth in Serie B left them only a few points above the relegation places.

Their summer, though, has been unbeaten. Back-to-back friendly victories were followed by consecutive 1-1 draws against Spezia and Livorno, giving Pagliuca's side a W-W-D-D sequence heading into competitive action.

There is also a potentially significant attacking issue. Bohdan Popov and last season's leading scorer Stiven Shpendi missed the Livorno friendly, and Shpendi's absence would remove a player who scored twice in Empoli's previous 2-2 league draw at Monza. Filippo Distefano could therefore make his competitive debut in attack.

Recent history favours the visitors

Empoli have avoided defeat in the last four meetings with Pisa, winning three and drawing one. The most recent finished 1-1 at this stadium.

That record does not decide Monday's match, particularly with both teams under renewed leadership, but it does reinforce the sense that Empoli should travel without being intimidated by the setting. Pisa, meanwhile, are attempting to replace the habits of a side that ended last season with nine straight defeats.

Bianco's challenge is therefore broader than simply producing a cup result. A more resilient performance would provide evidence that Pisa's summer reset has begun to address the weaknesses that made their relegation so severe.

Market Explainer: Both Teams To Score YES

The Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Yes market requires both Pisa and Empoli to score at least one goal each in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The selection wins on scorelines like 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, or 2-2. It loses if either team fails to score, such as in a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 win for either side. The final match winner is irrelevant.

Market Explainer: Correct Score (Pisa vs Empoli 1-1)

The Correct Score market requires predicting the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Selecting Pisa vs Empoli 1-1 wins only if Pisa score exactly one goal AND Empoli score exactly one goal. Any other final result, including 0-0, 2-1, or 1-2, results in a total loss of the selection.

Other Opportunities in This Market

  • Over 2.5 Goals (11/10): Settles as a win if the match contains three or more total goals scored by either team in regular time. It trades the specific goal structure of BTTS or exact scorelines for broader coverage of high-scoring outcomes like 2-1, 3-0, or 2-2, but loses on 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, or 1-1.
  • Match Result – Draw (5/2): Settles as a win if the fixture finishes tied after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, regardless of the goal count (0-0, 1-1, 2-2). It offers a wider range of qualifying scorelines than an exact 1-1 bet at shorter odds.

📊 Market Explainer

Main Tip

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.

Correct Score Tip

Correct Score Market

Selection: Pisa vs Empoli 1-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.

🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 9/10

Pisa enter this Coppa Italia tie with defensive concerns carrying over from their Serie A relegation. Conceding 22 goals across their final nine league matches exposed severe defensive gaps that Paolo Bianco must immediately correct. However, Pisa demonstrated renewed attacking threat during summer preparations, highlighted by a 4-1 friendly win over Bologna and the arrival of Ichem Ferrah, who recorded 18 goal involvements for Cambuur last season.

Empoli provide a steady opponent having maintained a scoring record throughout their pre-season campaign. Under returning manager Guido Pagliuca, Empoli recorded two summer wins followed by consecutive 1-1 draws against Spezia and Livorno. Although potential absences for Bohdan Popov and Stiven Shpendi leave Filippo Distefano in line for a competitive debut, Empoli continue to create chances against second-tier defences. Pisa’s recent defensive history suggests Empoli will find opportunities, while Pisa’s four-goal pre-season display against Bologna indicates the hosts possess sufficient momentum to respond at the Arena Garibaldi.

The principal counter-argument rests on early-season attacking fluidity, particularly with Pisa adjusting to Bianco’s setup and Empoli facing line-up adjustments in forward positions. Furthermore, Pisa failed to win any of their final nine league matches last term. Nevertheless, with Pisa consistently conceding late last season and Empoli entering on a four-game scoring sequence across friendlies, both teams meeting on the scoresheet offers a coherent foundation for this tie.

🎯 Tactical Indicators

  • Pisa conceded 22 goals across their final nine league matches last season, failing to keep a clean sheet in that span.
  • Empoli scored in every pre-season friendly under Guido Pagliuca, including back-to-back 1-1 draws against Spezia and Livorno.
  • Pisa scored four goals against Bologna in a recent summer pre-season fixture.

Risk Factor: If Pisa replicate their low-scoring top-flight form or Empoli's tactical adjustments result in a defensive shutout, this selection will lose.

Key Tactical Mismatch

Empoli Strength
Head-to-Head Resilience

Unbeaten in their last 4 meetings with Pisa (3 wins, 1 draw), scoring in each encounter.

Pisa Weakness
Defensive Fragility

Conceded 22 goals across their final 9 league matches of last season, suffering 9 straight defeats.

🎯 Pro Insight: Pisa's defensive collapse aligns with Empoli's unbeaten pre-season run, suggesting goals at both ends.

🎯 Pick 2: Pisa vs Empoli 1-1 @ 5/1

A 1-1 draw aligns directly with recent competitive and friendly evidence from both camps. Pisa showed clear signs of offensive rebuilding during pre-season, scoring four times against Bologna. With new signing Ichem Ferrah adding goal contributions from wide areas and Nicholas Bonfanti unavailable, Pisa’s attack retains enough impetus to break through an Empoli defence that conceded in back-to-back 1-1 friendly draws against Spezia and Livorno. Scoring exactly once at home represents a grounded expectation against second-tier opposition.

Empoli’s side of the 1-1 scoreline is supported by their four-match unbeaten run this summer. Despite potential absences for leading scorer Stiven Shpendi and Bohdan Popov, Empoli have maintained scoring consistency in warm-up fixtures. Pisa ended last season conceding 22 goals in nine matches, losing nine consecutive league games while earning just four points between February and May. That defensive history suggests Empoli will find spaces to score once, even with Filippo Distefano potentially filling in upfront.

Historical precedent reinforces this specific scoreline, as the most recent meeting between these two clubs at the Arena Garibaldi finished 1-1. Furthermore, Empoli are unbeaten in their last four encounters with Pisa (three wins, one draw). While exact-score selections remain inherently fragile to a late winner or an extra goal, a 1-1 scoreline offers a realistic representation of two sides undergoing managerial transitions.

1
Pisa Forecast Goals
1
Empoli Forecast Goals

Risk Factor: An exact scoreline fails if either side scores a second goal (e.g., 2-1 or 1-2) or if either team keeps a clean sheet (0-0, 1-0, 0-1).

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Yes market mean for Pisa vs Empoli?

Both Teams To Score Yes wins if both Pisa and Empoli score at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The match result does not matter as long as neither team keeps a clean sheet.

How does the Correct Score market settle for a 1-1 draw?

The 1-1 Correct Score selection wins only if the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is 1-1. Any other outcome, including 0-0, 2-1, or 1-2, results in a losing bet.

What is Pisa's recent defensive record heading into this tie?

Pisa conceded 22 goals across their final nine Serie A matches last season, losing all nine fixtures during that closing sequence.

How have Empoli performed in their pre-season preparations?

Empoli are unbeaten in four summer friendlies under Guido Pagliuca, recording two victories followed by consecutive 1-1 draws against Spezia and Livorno.

What is the head-to-head record between Pisa and Empoli?

Empoli are unbeaten in their last four matches against Pisa, winning three and drawing one. Their most recent meeting at the Arena Garibaldi ended in a 1-1 draw.

Which key players are unavailable for Pisa in this fixture?

Pisa are without Nicholas Bonfanti and Matheus Lusuardi due to serious knee injuries, while attacker Rafiu Durosinmi departed for Genk during the summer transfer window.

What key squad changes or absences affect Empoli's attack?

Stiven Shpendi and Bohdan Popov missed Empoli's last friendly against Livorno, opening the possibility of Filippo Distefano making his competitive debut in attack.

Does extra time or a penalty shootout count towards normal time betting markets?

No, standard betting markets such as Both Teams To Score and Correct Score apply strictly to the 90 minutes of regular time plus referee stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard specialises in Bet Builder construction and player prop markets across European football, with a focus on the statistical and tactical patterns that drive same-game accumulator value. He covers La Liga for BT4Y, combining detailed match preparation with player-level data — shots, passes into the box, card likelihood — that standard match previews tend to overlook. His Bet Builder selections are built around markets where the bookmaker's model is weakest, not the most obvious headline outcomes. He collaborated with Marca for several years.