Tunisia vs Madagascar Predictions

Tunisia vs Madagascar predictions for this African Cup of Nations qualifier. The final match on Thursday in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers features Tunisia facing Madagascar at Stade Olympique Hammadi-Agrebi in Rades, with both teams aiming to secure crucial points. Read on for all of our free predictions and betting tips.

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage | Sep 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Tunisia vs Madagascar Predictions

Can Tunisia’s Tactical Discipline Overcome Madagascar’s Resilience?

• Tunisia average 51.7% ball possession, significantly higher than Madagascar’s 41.3%.
• Madagascar have scored just one goal in their last six Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers.
• Tunisia create 1.7 big chances per game compared to Madagascar’s 0.3, highlighting their attacking edge.

Best Bet

Tunisia are set to face Madagascar in a key Africa Cup of Nations qualifying match at Stade Olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, marking a pivotal moment for both teams. Tunisia will be looking to recover from their disappointing group-stage exit in the previous edition of the tournament, while Madagascar aim to make a statement after a long absence from the main competition. Both teams are coming off mixed performances, and this encounter provides a chance to redefine their trajectories heading into the competition.

Tunisia, despite their recent underwhelming results, hold a clear advantage in this contest. With a new manager at the helm, Faouzi Benzarti, the Carthage Eagles are expected to come out rejuvenated and more focused. Their squad depth and quality surpass that of Madagascar, and this match presents an opportunity to capitalise on that superiority.

Tunisia’s performance in terms of ball possession and passing accuracy further supports their edge. They average 51.7% possession per game and complete an impressive 77.2% of their passes. With players like Ferjani Sassi returning to the fold, their midfield control is likely to increase, offering stability in both defensive and attacking phases. Additionally, Tunisia’s shot creation, with 8.7 total attempts per game and 2.3 on target, suggests they will put Madagascar’s defence under significant pressure.

In contrast, Madagascar’s struggles in front of goal have been notable. They’ve managed just one goal in their last six qualifying matches, a stark contrast to Tunisia’s more consistent attacking output. Although Madagascar have shown some resilience defensively, keeping two clean sheets, they are still prone to conceding goals, as evidenced by their 1.5 goals conceded per game. This vulnerability is likely to be exploited by a Tunisian side eager to break their poor run of results.

Tunisia’s ability to create 1.7 big chances per game, compared to Madagascar’s mere 0.3, is another indication that the hosts will dominate proceedings. Madagascar, though defensively organised at times, often struggle to maintain discipline when facing stronger sides, as shown by their tendency to lose possession, averaging 85.5 turnovers per match. This lack of ball control will likely invite Tunisia to dictate the pace of the game and control key phases of play.

As BettingTips4You.com expert John Pentin summarises, “With Tunisia’s superior tactical discipline and squad quality, backed by a new manager eager to prove his mettle, a home win seems the most logical outcome. Madagascar’s defensive structure might hold for a while, but Tunisia’s consistent pressure should eventually break them down.”

Tunisia’s home advantage also cannot be underestimated. Playing in front of their fans at Stade Olympique Hammadi-Agrebi will likely spur them on, especially considering their recent disappointment in international competitions. Madagascar, although improving in World Cup qualifying, have not shown enough consistency to challenge a team of Tunisia’s calibre away from home.

Correct Score Prediction: Tunisia 2-0 Madagascar

Given the attacking statistics of both teams and the overall analysis of the match, a 2-0 scoreline in favour of Tunisia feels like a reasonable prediction. While Madagascar will likely defend deep and attempt to frustrate their opponents, Tunisia’s superior shot creation and dominance in possession will eventually lead to opportunities, especially in the second half.

Tunisia’s average of 8.7 shots per game and 5.7 corners suggest they will create several chances to score, and Madagascar’s defensive frailties, with an average of 1.5 goals conceded per game, imply that the Carthage Eagles will find the back of the net more than once. A 2-0 win also aligns with Tunisia’s recent tactical approach, as they tend to control matches without committing too many players forward, ensuring they maintain defensive solidity while probing for goals.

Madagascar, while capable of defending in spells, do not possess the firepower to threaten Tunisia significantly. Their inability to create consistent scoring opportunities (with just 0.2 goals per game) reinforces the likelihood of a clean sheet for Tunisia in this match.

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