Torino vs Atalanta predictions ahead of this Serie A affair on Monday. In the previous round, Ivan Juric’s team saw their three-game undefeated streak come to an end against Bologna, while the Bergamaschi extended their winless league run by losing to Napoli. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Monday, 4th December at 7:45 pm In:
Torino vs Atalanta Predictions
[wptb id="399231" not found ]Tactical Tussle: Torino’s Quest to Overcome Atalanta’s Resilience
Key Stats
– Atalanta has conceded nine goals in seven away games.
– At least three goals have been scored in four of Atalanta’s last six away league
In the upcoming Serie A clash at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, the home side, Torino, face a challenging task as they aim to bridge the gap with their rivals, Atalanta BC. This encounter promises not only a tactical battle between Ivan Juric and Gian Piero Gasperini but also a reflection of two teams with contrasting fortunes in recent games.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
BEST VALUE BET £20 Returns £32   Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Best Value Bet Rationale
Sanabria, with an average BettingTips4You rating of 6.73, has been a pivotal player for Torino this season. Although his goal-scoring frequency may not be prolific, with just one goal, his expected goals (xG) stand at a promising 2.45. This discrepancy between goals scored and xG indicates an attacking presence that’s more active than what the mere goal tally suggests. Moreover, his shots per game average stands at 1.4, with a substantial 0.5 on target. This statistic is particularly telling, as it reflects his ability to test opposition keepers frequently, making the likelihood of him having more than one shot on target quite plausible.
Torino’s offensive approach, especially in their home games, further bolsters this prediction. Despite their struggles to convert chances consistently, they’ve shown an ability to create opportunities, as evident in their win over Sassuolo and the number of big chances created per game. Sanabria, being a forward, is naturally positioned to capitalise on such chances. Given Atalanta’s defensive vulnerabilities in away games, where they’ve conceded nine goals in seven matches, there’s a reasonable expectation for Torino, and by extension, Sanabria, to have opportunities in front of goal.
Hence, betting on Sanabria to have over 1.5 shots on target not only capitalises on his personal form and role in the Torino setup but also leverages Atalanta’s less-than-stellar away defensive record. This makes it a value bet with a solid rationale behind it.
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Torino’s Mixed Fortunes
Torino, under the guidance of Juric, has displayed a blend of resilience and vulnerability. Their recent 2-0 defeat to Bologna, although anticipated due to the Rossoblu’s impressive form, was a setback. However, their formidable home record, with just one defeat and three draws, indicates a team that can hold its own. The Maroons’ 3-1 victory over Sassuolo, ending a winless streak, suggests a side capable of bouncing back, but their long-standing winless run against Atalanta looms over this fixture.
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Atalanta’s European Hangover
Atalanta, meanwhile, has experienced a dip in Serie A performances, possibly influenced by their European commitments. Gasperini’s side has not tasted victory in the league since late October, suffering losses to top-tier teams like Inter and Napoli. Their fifth-best road record in Serie A is marred by inconsistency, which has seen them oscillate between wins, losses, and draws in their away fixtures.
Team News and Expected Lineups
Torino’s lineup, led by Milinkovic-Savic in goal, and the defensive trio of Tameze, Buongiorno, and Rodriguez, will be crucial in containing Atalanta’s attack. The midfield dynamism of Linetty and Ilic, coupled with the forward pairing of Sanabria and Zapata, can pose a significant threat. Atalanta, likely to field Musso, Scalvini, Djimsiti, and Kolasinac in defence, will rely on the midfield creativity of De Roon and Ederson and the attacking prowess of Lookman and Scamacca.
Key Duels and Tactical Decisions
The midfield tussle between Torino’s Ilic and Atalanta’s De Roon could be decisive, dictating the pace and control of the game. The attacking flair of Torino’s Sanabria against Atalanta’s defensive anchor, Djimsiti, will also be a key battle.
Team Strategies and Managerial Influence
Torino’s strategy under Juric has been a mix of defensive solidity and occasional offensive flair. However, their struggle to consistently find the back of the net is a significant concern. In contrast, Atalanta under Gasperini has shown tactical flexibility but lacks consistency, especially in domestic games.
Areas for Improvement
Torino needs to enhance their attacking output, converting their chances more efficiently. Atalanta, on the other hand, should focus on maintaining their performance levels throughout the 90 minutes and being more clinical in front of goal.
Managerial Critique
While Juric has instilled a robust defensive approach, his tactics sometimes lack offensive creativity. Gasperini’s Atalanta, though tactically astute, has been unable to replicate their European form in the league, calling for a more balanced approach.
Final Thoughts
This match-up between Torino and Atalanta is more than just a battle for points; it’s a clash of tactical wits and contrasting styles. While Atalanta seems to have the upper hand, Torino’s resilience at home cannot be underestimated, setting the stage for an intriguing Serie A encounter.
Predictions Based on Current Form and Statistics
- Market Prediction: Both Teams to Score Considering Torino’s scoring ability at home and Atalanta’s defensive lapses away, a both teams to score scenario seems likely.
- Correct Score Prediction: Torino 1-2 Atalanta Atalanta’s attacking quality, despite their inconsistency, gives them the edge in a closely contested match.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta) Scamacca’s recent form and goal-scoring ability make him a prime candidate to find the net.
- First Half Result Prediction: Draw A cautious start from both teams, feeling each other out, could result in a level scoreline at half-time.
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