Tennis Betting Tips: ATP Doha predictions, preview and best bets for Qatar ExxonMobil Open

The ATP Tour starts a two-week Middle East swing in Doha, featuring a strong field competing for the title in Qatar. Our experts have reviewed the field and found some very good value. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

Tennis betting tips: ATP Doha Predictions

Can Anyone Stop Alcaraz in Doha?

• Carlos Alcaraz enters this tournament as the top seed after winning the ATP 500 event in Rotterdam last week.
• Novak Djokovic is making his return after his Australian Open semi-final withdrawal but faces a tough opening-round match against Matteo Berrettini.
• Alex de Minaur, the number two seed, is in excellent form after pushing Alcaraz to the limit in Rotterdam.

Our Tips

The ATP 500 tournament in Doha serves as the final significant event before the American Masters 1000 series kicks off in March. As one of the first major hard-court competitions of the year, this tournament has attracted a stellar line-up, ensuring a high-quality field. The absence of Jannik Sinner, who is serving a suspension, and Alexander Zverev, who has opted to compete in Rio, means the draw is slightly less competitive than it could have been. However, the presence of world-class talents such as Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, and Daniil Medvedev ensures that the battle for the title will be fiercely contested.

Carlos Alcaraz arrives in Qatar full of confidence after securing the title in Rotterdam last week. The Spaniard made a deliberate shift in his scheduling this year, prioritising hard courts over the South American clay-court swing, and the decision has already yielded success. The world number three may not have been at his absolute best, but his mental resilience and ability to navigate difficult moments proved crucial in the Netherlands. As the top seed in Doha, he will be the man to beat.

Novak Djokovic makes his return to action after his Australian Open semi-final exit, but questions remain over his physical condition. The Serb has not played competitively since Melbourne and faces a potentially difficult opening match against Matteo Berrettini. Given the relatively slow nature of the courts in Doha, especially during the evening sessions, Berrettini’s powerful game might not be as effective as it would be in faster conditions. However, Djokovic will still need to be sharp from the outset to avoid an early upset.

Daniil Medvedev is another name to watch, although his form at the start of the season has been inconsistent. The Russian fell in the semi-finals in Marseille, raising concerns about whether he is physically prepared to mount a serious challenge for the title. His compatriot Andrey Rublev also finds himself in a similar position, struggling for consistency in recent months. Meanwhile, Alex de Minaur, who pushed Alcaraz all the way in the Rotterdam final, appears to be one of the more in-form players heading into this event. The Australian, seeded second, could emerge as a genuine contender.

Best Bet: Andrey Rublev to win ATP Qatar

While Carlos Alcaraz is rightly considered the favourite, backing Andrey Rublev to lift the trophy presents an intriguing opportunity. The Russian has been inconsistent recently, but his talent is undeniable, and if he finds his rhythm in Doha, he has the tools to win this title.

Rublev has previously demonstrated that he can perform well on hard courts, and despite his recent struggles, he remains one of the most dangerous players in the draw. The slower court conditions in Doha could work in his favour, allowing him more time to set up his powerful groundstrokes. If he manages to control his unforced error count and maintain his aggressive playing style, he could capitalise on any vulnerabilities in the field.

Another factor to consider is the physical state of some of the other top contenders. Djokovic is returning from an injury layoff, and his level remains uncertain. Medvedev has not looked at his best in recent weeks, and Alcaraz, despite his recent triumph, had to battle hard in several matches in Rotterdam. If the Spaniard experiences any fatigue, it could open the door for a player like Rublev to take advantage.

While there are no guarantees in a competitive tournament like this, Rublev represents good value given the circumstances. His ability to dictate points with his heavy-hitting game, combined with the potential struggles of some of his main rivals, makes him a strong pick to go all the way in Doha.

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