Sevilla vs Juventus Predictions

Sevilla vs Juventus Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews. This Europa League semifinal tie is in the balance after a 1-1 draw in the first leg. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Sevilla vs Juventus
Match Live Thursday, 18th May at 8:00 pm In:
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Sevilla vs Juventus Predictions

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Sevilla and Juventus Battle for Final Spot

Key Stats
– Sevilla have only failed to score in one of their last 13 home games.
– Juventus have scored in five consecutive games.
– Sevilla have won all three of their home games since dropping into the Europa League.

As Sevilla smell the scent of another Europa League victory, they hope that the last-minute equaliser conceded in Turin won’t haunt them during the second leg of their semi-final against Juventus. The La Liga side demonstrated their value by leading 1-0 deep into stoppage time, but Federico Gatti’s last-second goal for Juve ensured that it is all squared as we head into the second leg.

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Despite being tournament favourites, Juventus now find themselves at 11/4 with most firms, while Roma have become the frontrunner. Sevilla, on the other hand, are priced at 11/4, a tempting bet for punters considering the club’s incredible record in the competition. With six Europa League trophies under their belt since 2006, they are confident in their ability to go all the way once more.

Turning the Tide for Sevilla

Sevilla’s domestic season has been underwhelming, but they are ending the campaign in style under José Luis Mendilibar, their third manager this term. With just one loss in their last 11 games, Juventus will need to significantly improve their performance from the first leg to secure a victory in Spain.

Juventus, on the other hand, have been in good form in Serie A, with Sunday’s 2-0 win over Cremonese marking three consecutive victories as they climb to second place. However, the threat of a points deduction due to financial problems casts doubts on their Champions League qualification for next season. Winning the Europa League would guarantee a seat at Europe’s top table, providing Max Allegri’s side with extra motivation as they prepare for a hostile night at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.

Historical Head-to-Head

Juventus has only lost one of their five encounters with Sevilla. The 2016/17 Champions League campaign could serve as a positive omen for the Italian side, as the teams played out a 0-0 draw in Turin before Juventus won 3-1 in Spain.

Key Players to Watch

Youssef En-Nesyri, who scored Sevilla’s goal in Turin, has had an impressive season with 22 goals for club and country. The Moroccan striker is 2/1 at William Hill to add to his tally in the upcoming match. For Juventus, Dusan Vlahovic will be their biggest threat, priced at 13/5 at BetVictor for an anytime goal.

A Bet Builder Value For This Clash

Based on both teams’ performance analysis, our main prediction is a bet builder offered by William Hill at 14/1, which includes: Both teams to score, Rafa Mir to score, Over 4 Cards, and Over 10 Corners. Additionally, we predict a correct score of 2-1 in favor of Sevilla.

Sevilla’s strong home record, with only one failure to score in their last 13 home games, and Juventus’ streak of scoring in five consecutive games, bolster the prediction of both teams finding the net. Furthermore, Rafa Mir’s recent form and scoring capabilities support the prediction of him scoring in the match.

Rafa Mir has demonstrated his ability to be a consistent goal threat throughout the season. He has managed to score 5 goals and boasts an expected goals (xG) of 6.68, showing that he has been involved in creating significant scoring chances. With a scoring frequency of 208 minutes per goal, he has been able to contribute crucial goals in important matches.

Mir’s versatility in front of the goal is another reason to believe in his scoring potential. He has scored with his head, left foot, and right foot, which makes him a difficult player to defend against. In addition, his 2.1 shots per game and 0.6 shots on target per game further illustrate his ability to create and capitalize on opportunities.

Furthermore, Sevilla’s attacking style of play, which emphasizes quick transitions and incisive passing, often places Rafa Mir in advantageous positions to score. His intelligent movement off the ball and ability to exploit gaps in the opposition’s defense make him a constant threat.

In the context of the high-stakes match against Juventus, Rafa Mir will be highly motivated to perform well and help his team reach the final. The intensity of the game, coupled with the likelihood of both teams pushing for goals, should provide Mir with numerous opportunities to score. Consequently, his inclusion in our bet builder as a goal-scorer is well justified.

The data indicates that Juventus are averaging 5.2 corners per game in Serie A, while Sevilla average 4.8 corners in La Liga. This suggests that both teams have a propensity for winning corners, which can be attributed to their attacking styles of play and reliance on wingers to create chances. In addition, the Europa League semi-final is expected to be a closely contested match, with both teams looking to score and create opportunities. This could lead to an increase in the number of corners in the game.

Considering the high stakes of the match and both teams’ strong attacking capabilities, it is reasonable to predict that there will be over 10 corners in the match. This prediction aligns with the data provided, as the combined average corners for both teams (10) is already close to our predicted threshold. 

The data shows that Sevilla have received an average of 3.1 yellow cards per game and a total of 11 red cards this season in La Liga. Meanwhile, Juventus have received an average of 1.9 yellow cards per game and a total of 3 red cards in Serie A. This demonstrates that both teams have a tendency to engage in aggressive play and pick up cards throughout the season.

In high-stakes matches such as a Europa League semi-final, emotions can run high, and players might engage in more physical battles, leading to an increased likelihood of cards being shown. The first leg encounter between these teams was quite a heated affair, with seven yellow cards being shown, further supporting the notion that this match could be a feisty one.

Given the historical data and the context of the match, predicting over 4 cards in the game is a well-founded and data-driven expectation. This prediction is reinforced by both teams’ aggressive playstyles and their track records of accumulating cards throughout the season.

Inching Towards Another Europa League Triumph
Considering the analysis of both teams’ performances and Sevilla’s home advantage, we believe a 2-1 victory for the Spanish side is the most likely outcome in the correct score market. This prediction takes into account Sevilla’s perfect home record in the Europa League this season and Juventus’ struggles on the road, with three defeats and just one win in their last six away games across all competitions.

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!