Spezia vs AC Milan Predictions

Spezia vs AC Milan predictions for Saturday’s Serie A clash. AC Milan will look to bounce back after the midweek defeat against Spezia. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Spezia vs Milan
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Spezia vs AC Milan Predictions

£20 Returns £38

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

AC Milan Seek Redemption Against Struggling Spezia

Key Stats
– AC Milan averages 4.7 corners per game in Serie A this season.
– Spezia have not won any of their last eight league games.
– Milan’s focus on the Champions League could affect their performance against Spezia.

AC Milan’s quest for redemption after their recent European disappointment brings them to Stadio Alberto Picco to face Spezia on Saturday. While Milan’s Champions League aspirations hang by a thread, they still need to ensure their return to the competition through their Serie A performance. Spezia, on the other hand, are in a dire situation, having last won in March against none other than Inter Milan.

AC Milan’s European Disappointment

Milan’s first-leg loss to city rivals Inter Milan in the Champions League semi-finals was a bitter pill to swallow. The Rossoneri were unable to recover from a lightning-fast start by Inter, which saw them two goals down within 11 minutes. To reach their first European final since 2007, Milan will have to put in a Herculean effort in the second leg.


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Spezia’s Relegation Battle

Spezia’s current form is worrying, as they have not tasted victory in their last eight league games. This unfortunate streak matches the club’s longest run without a Serie A success. Spezia now sit in 18th place, three points behind Hellas Verona, with only four rounds remaining. They’ll need to find a way to turn things around if they hope to avoid relegation.

Key Players and Injuries

Rafael Leao’s absence due to injury has left Milan short of attacking options, and the situation is further complicated by Ismael Bennacer’s long-term knee injury. Alessandro Florenzi, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, and Malick Thiaw are also unavailable, putting additional pressure on the likes of Ante Rebic, Divock Origi, and Charles De Ketelaere.

For Spezia, top scorer M’Bala Nzola is set to return after recovering from injury, but Emil Holm, Jacopo Sala, Joao Moutinho, and Milan loanee Daniel Maldini remain sidelined. Spezia will have to rely on the likes of Daniele Verde and captain Emmanuel Gyasi to support Nzola in their attack.

AC Milan’s Likely Dominance

Milan are likely to control the game and create plenty of goals opportunities against a Spezia side who are low in confidence and out of form. Backing the rossoneri to win outright doesn’t seem a value option, so much better is to look at the corners market where you can get a very interesting 4/5 with BetVictor for Milan to have Over 4.5 corners.

First and foremost, Milan’s attacking style of play and their ability to control possession will likely lead to more opportunities to win corners. The Rossoneri are known for their aggressive wing play, which often results in dangerous crosses that force defenders to concede corners.

In addition to their attacking prowess, Milan’s defensive solidity can also contribute to their corner tally. By winning the ball back quickly and launching counter-attacks, Milan can put significant pressure on Spezia’s defense, leading to even more corners. This high-intensity approach to both offense and defense has been a trademark of Stefano Pioli’s side this season.

Moreover, Milan are likely to create issues from set-pieces and this is another aspect to consider when predicting their corner count. With players like Theo Hernandez, Simon Kjaer, and Fikayo Tomori posing aerial threats, opponents are often forced to concede corners to prevent dangerous scoring opportunities. This further increases the likelihood of Milan achieving over 4.5 corners during the game.

Furthermore, Milan’s corner statistics from this season provide a strong foundation for this prediction. The team averages 4.7 corners per game in Serie A, indicating that their performance in this area has been consistent throughout the campaign. In addition, Milan have a knack for creating chances from set-pieces, making them even more likely to push for corners as a means of creating goal-scoring opportunities.

Finally, considering Spezia’s struggling form and their need to desperately fend off relegation, it is expected that they will adopt a more defensive approach in this fixture. This will allow AC Milan to take the initiative and dictate the tempo, increasing their likelihood of winning corners as they try to penetrate Spezia’s defensive line.

Milan To Get The Job Done Without Wasting Too Many Energies
Between two significant derbies and a concerning run of results, Milan may struggle to secure a comfortable victory against their struggling hosts. However, Spezia’s difficulties in the final third could aid Milan’s cause, helping them edge out a narrow win and remain in contention for a top-four finish. Backing Milan to win 1-0 looks therefore the best value in the correct score market.

£20 Returns £38

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!