Republic of Ireland vs Greece Predictions

Republic of Ireland vs Greece Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in Euro 2024 qualifying. Greece have had a very good campaign so far and now have a golden chance to book a place in the tournament in Germany, while Ireland need a miracle. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Match Live Friday, 13th October at 7:45 pm In:

Republic of Ireland vs Greece Predictions

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A Fight for Pride, History, and Euro 2024 Dreams

Key Stats
– ROI have scored in 14 of their last 15 home Euro qualifiers.
– Greece remain unbeaten against ROI in their past four encounters.
– Greece have won just one of their last six away games.

When Republic of Ireland (ROI) host the Greeks at Aviva Stadium for their Group B Euro 2024 qualifier, the weight of history, performance, and aspirations will be on full display. The ROI’s delicate chances of qualification hang in the balance. Stephen Kenny’s team, which reached the finals in 2012 and 2016, face potential elimination from this cycle, largely due to their less than stellar Nations League outcome.

The Boys in Green have, in recent times, managed to secure their superiority only against Gibraltar. This, combined with their recent losses, paints a grim picture. On the other side, Greece, despite their oscillating form, look poised to claim a playoff spot at minimum.

Republic of Ireland’s Struggles

ROI’s journey this cycle has been marred with challenges. After a promising 3-0 victory over Gibraltar, they quickly returned to their losing streak, notably succumbing to a defeat by France. In a recent match against the Netherlands, an early lead established by an Adam Idah penalty was swiftly nullified.


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With four defeats out of five games, their hope for qualification dims. However, having scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches in the Euros qualifying offers a glimmer of hope to the Dublin supporters.

Greece’s Ambitions

Greece’s journey, led by Gus Poyet, has been a mixed bag. Their recent destruction of Gibraltar, aided by West Ham United’s Dinos Mavropanos and an impressive performance from Georgios Masouras, showcased their potential. However, a historical view reveals that Greece have struggled with away games. Their inconsistency notwithstanding, their unbeaten record against ROI stands out. With this backdrop, the ROI’s challenge is clear: they must overcome this Greek jinx to keep their Euro dreams alive.

Team Updates and Form

ROI’s preparations have been hampered by notable absences, including Liverpool’s Caoimhin Kelleher and Sheffield United’s John Egan. Nevertheless, fresh faces like Max O’Leary and Evan Ferguson could provide the much-needed spark. Greece, despite the absence of George Baldock, still boasts a robust lineup. Liverpool’s Kostas Tsimikas’s anticipated return further strengthens their side.

Expected Goals Analysis

ROI’s expected goal statistics reveal their struggles, with an average BettingTips4You rating of 6.74 (Ranked 35/53). Greece, with an average rating of 7.00, finds themselves in a better position. These stats provide a glimpse into the offensive potential of both teams, hinting at a balanced encounter.

Data Dive and Predictions

1. Match Outcome: Draw

Reasoning: Historically, these two teams have demonstrated a clear pattern when clashing on the field. With Ireland’s consistent home record of scoring in 14 of their last 15 home matches in Euro qualifying and the added pressure of a need to secure at least a point, they’re likely to give this encounter their all. However, Greece’s unbeaten streak in their four previous meetings with Ireland cannot be disregarded. Given Ireland’s aforementioned home record and the weight of the fixture, coupled with Greece’s erratic away form, a draw appears to be the most plausible outcome.

2. Correct Score: 1-1

Reasoning: Considering the stakes for both teams and their recent form, a high-scoring game might be unlikely. Ireland, having scored in the majority of their recent home matches in Euro qualifying, can be expected to find the back of the net. On the flip side, Greece have also demonstrated their scoring capabilities, particularly during their thrashing of Gibraltar. Combining Ireland’s defensive issues and Greece’s scoring ability, it is reasonable to anticipate that both teams might score, leading to a 1-1 draw.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Adam Idah

Reasoning: Delving into individual performances, Adam Idah emerges as a promising goalscorer for the Republic of Ireland. The stats reveal that he is the top scorer for the Irish side in the European Championship qualification with two goals. Additionally, given his recent form and the fact that he has previously converted penalties, he’ll be a prime candidate to step up if Ireland are awarded a spot-kick.

4. Corner Prediction: More Corners for Greece

Total Corners: 15

Reasoning: In assessing the corner statistics, Greece appears to be slightly more dominant. Their attacking flair, exemplified by an average of 16.2 shots per game in the Euro qualification, suggests they push their opposition into defensive positions more frequently. This style of play often results in more corners being conceded by their adversaries. Ireland, on the other hand, while defensively resolute at times, could find themselves pushed back by the Greek attack, leading to them conceding more corners. Taking both teams’ gameplay into consideration, a total of around 15 corners in the game seems to be a logical prediction, with the majority in favour of Greece.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.