Benfica vs Arouca Predictions

Benfica vs Arouca predictions for Sunday’s Portuguese Primeira Liga clash. Benfica, in second place, hosts seventh-placed Arouca in Sunday’s Primeira Liga match at Estadio da Luz. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33 – May 12, 2024 at 6pm UK at Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

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Benfica vs Arouca Predictions

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Strategic Confrontations: Benfica vs. Arouca at Estádio da Luz

Key Stats

Benfica’s Home Record: Unbeaten in their last five home games against Arouca.

Goals Scored: Benfica has averaged over two goals per game this season.

Defensive Solidity: Arouca has only lost three away games under their current manager, illustrating their improved resilience.

As the Primeira Liga season draws to a close, second-placed Benfica hosts seventh-placed Arouca at Estádio da Luz. While the title race has settled with Sporting clinching the championship, Benfica aims to consolidate their position with a strong finish. Conversely, Arouca, secure in their mid-table placement, looks to cap off their season on a high note.

Team Analysis and Strategic Approaches

Benfica’s Tactical Composition Under Roger Schmidt, Benfica has exhibited a blend of aggressive attacking and robust defensive strategies. Their early season form demonstrated potential, but recent lapses have cost them dearly in title contention. With a strong home record against Arouca, Benfica will likely employ a high-press system aimed at dominating possession and creating numerous scoring opportunities.

Arouca’s Resilient Campaign Arouca, under the stewardship of Daniel Sousa, has turned their season around spectacularly. The focus on a more balanced approach, leveraging tight defensive setups combined with quick counter-attacks, has paid dividends. Arouca will aim to exploit Benfica’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own defensive solidity.

Key Players and Match-ups

This match will feature several critical battles, notably between Benfica’s dynamic winger Rafa Silva and Arouca’s robust defender Yanis Hamache. Silva’s agility and speed against Hamache’s defensive acumen could be pivotal. Additionally, Benfica’s midfield, possibly marshalled by João Mário, will need to outmanoeuvre Arouca’s midfield linchpin, David Simão.

Benfica’s Expected Lineup:

  • Goalkeeper: Trubin
  • Defence: Morato, A Silva, Otamendi, Aursnes
  • Midfield: Luis, Mario
  • Attack: Di Maria, Kokcu, R Silva, Cabral

Arouca’s Expected Lineup:

  • Goalkeeper: Thiago
  • Defence: Weverson, Montero, Rocha, Milovanov
  • Midfield: Simao, Carvalho
  • Attack: Sylla, Cristo, Jason, Mujica

Game Dynamics and Areas to Watch

Midfield Dominance and Wide Play Benfica’s ability to control the game through their midfield while exploiting the width provided by their attackers could be key. Arouca will rely on compact defending and quick breaks, making the midfield duel crucial.

Defensive Strategies and Set-Piece Threat Both teams have shown susceptibility to defensive breakdowns at different stages of the season. Benfica, however, has the aerial advantage, which could be decisive in set-piece situations.

Predictions and Strategic Outcomes


1. Best Bet: Benfica to Win to Nil Considering Arouca’s struggle to impact games against top-tier teams like Benfica, coupled with Benfica’s motivation to finish strong at home, a clean sheet win for Benfica is anticipated.

2. Correct Score Prediction: Benfica 2-0 Arouca Reflecting their solid defensive setup at home and Arouca’s offensive challenges, a two-goal victory for Benfica aligns with their typical performance pattern this season.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Rafa Silva to Score In what could potentially be his farewell appearance, Rafa Silva is likely to be a focal point of Benfica’s attack, making him a prime candidate to find the back of the net.

4. Corner Prediction: Benfica to Earn More Corners Benfica’s attacking style, characterised by wide play and numerous crosses, should see them earn more corners than Arouca. A total of over 10 corners for both teams combined is a reasonable expectation given the game’s dynamics.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.