PSG vs AC Milan Predictions

PSG vs AC Milan Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in the Champions League. After losing at home to Juventus in the weekend, Milan are seeking their first group stage win, while PSG are under pressure to bounce back after a heavy defeat to Newcastle. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

PSG
Match Live Wednesday, 25th October at 8:00 pm In:
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PSG vs AC Milan Predictions

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Titans Clash in a Must-Win Showdown

Key Stats
– PSG have lost just once in their last 34 group games at Parc des Princes.
– Milan have failed to score in their last four Champions League matches.
– Kylian Mbappe averages a Champions League goal involvement every 65 minutes since 2017-18.

Separated by a mere point in the perilous Champions League ‘Group of Death’, Paris Saint-Germain and AC Milan are primed to duel at Parc des Princes this Wednesday evening. The stakes are high as both giants are gearing up for a decisive encounter. While PSG are keen to recover from a recent setback, Milan are chasing their inaugural win of this stage.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head

PSG, fresh from a stinging 4-1 defeat to Newcastle United in a game that uncovered their vulnerabilities, are under pressure. Although the Champions’ possession-heavy style has been evident, achieving a staggering 73% against Newcastle, it’s not always turned into favourable outcomes. Nonetheless, under Enrique’s helm, PSG are trying to put their shaky start behind, notably evidenced by their 11-year record at Parc des Princes, losing only once in 34 group games.

AC Milan, on the other hand, have been defensively resolute. Despite having prolific attackers, they’ve been drawing blanks in front of the goal, evidenced by four consecutive goalless outings in the Champions League. While Milan’s rich European history against French sides is noteworthy, they are yet to break their recent stalemate.

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Key Players and Tactics

PSG’s list of returning players from suspension include Ousmane Dembele and Achraf Hakimi, who have been instrumental. However, injuries to key figures like Presnel Kimpembe and doubts over Marco Asensio’s fitness might tilt the balance. Undoubtedly, Kylian Mbappe remains the focal point, with a commendable Champions League goal involvement every 65 minutes since 2017-18.

AC Milan have their first-choice goalkeeper, Mike Maignan, back and he’s expected to play a vital role. The attacking trio of Rafael Leao, Olivier Giroud, and Christian Pulisic is anticipated to start, hoping to end their goal drought.

Strategic Analysis

The match could very well be decided in the midfield, given the tactics both managers employ. The duel between PSG’s Vitinha and Milan’s Yacine Adli could be crucial in dictating the tempo.

Both teams have been focused on maintaining possession, with PSG’s possession stat standing at 70.9%. However, their Achilles heel seems to be translating this into goals, which Milan could exploit.

Opinions

While PSG’s Enrique’s tactics have been possession-centric, it’s come at the cost of defensive solidity. Milan’s Stefano Pioli has been conservative, which might cost them in big matches. Enrique, in particular, might face criticism if PSG fails to evolve from their heavy possession style without end product.

Strengths and Weaknesses

PSG boasts a strong attacking lineup, but their recent defensive frailties are a concern. Milan, while solid at the back, need to rekindle their attacking prowess.

Analysis and Predictions

1. Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) and AC Milan are two offensive giants in their respective leagues. PSG have showcased their attacking prowess with an impressive 20 goals in 9 Ligue 1 games, with the likes of Kylian Mbappé leading their frontline. AC Milan, on the other hand, though suffering from a scoring drought in the Champions League recently, boasts a strong attacking line-up with Olivier Giroud and Rafael Leão.

Moreover, while PSG’s defence has been relatively solid, Milan’s defence has remained tight, especially in the Champions League, where they haven’t conceded in their last four matches. However, with the offensive arsenal both teams possess, it seems plausible to expect that both defences will be breached at least once.

Given the urgency both teams will feel in the ‘Group of Death’, it is logical to expect an open game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. The recent form and statistics suggest both sides have the capability to find the net, making a BTTS bet reasonable.

2. Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 in favour of PSG

Given PSG’s formidable record at Parc des Princes and the squad depth they possess, they start as slight favourites. Having scored an average of over 2 goals per game in Ligue 1, and considering their motivation to bounce back from the recent 4-1 drubbing by Newcastle United, a couple of goals from the Parisians seems probable.

On the other side, Milan’s inability to score in recent Champions League matches is concerning, but considering the attacking quality they have at their disposal, it would not be surprising to see them getting at least one past PSG, especially given the vulnerabilities PSG showed in their defence against Newcastle.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Kylian Mbappé

Kylian Mbappé stands out as the main threat for PSG. Since the beginning of the 2017-18 season, he has been directly involved in more Champions League group-stage goals than any other player, registering 26 goals and providing 20 assists. This equates to a staggering goal involvement every 65 minutes. Given his form, pace, and the importance of the fixture, it is more than plausible to believe he’ll be on the scoresheet.

4. First Half Result: Draw

Both teams, understanding the gravity of this fixture in the context of the ‘Group of Death’, might approach the first half with a bit of caution. PSG would be wary of the Milanese counter-attacks and might not go all guns blazing from the first whistle. AC Milan, given their recent goal drought in the Champions League and understanding the importance of not going behind early in an away fixture, might also adopt a more conservative approach.

Considering the stakes, a tense and tight first half resulting in a draw seems a logical prediction. Both teams would be gauging each other’s strengths and weaknesses, leading to a more open second half as they chase the much-needed three points.

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Emmanuel Nwankwo
Born and bred in the heart of Yorkshire, Emmanuel Nwankwo has been a passionate voice in the world of football writing. Over the last 7 years, he's contributed his insights and analyses to various online publications, diving deep into the intricacies of the game he loves so dearly. Despite the allure of the Premier League, Emmanuel's heart truly belongs to Huddersfield Town Football Club, where his love for football was kindled. With every match, he relives the nostalgia of cheering from the terraces of the John Smith's Stadium. His dedication to the sport is evident in every piece he crafts, drawing readers into the world of football and sharing the passion that defines him.