Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Predictions

Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma predictions for this Europa League semi-final second leg. Bayer Leverkusen, unbeaten under Xabi Alonso, are favourites to reach the Europa League final, completing a potential Invincible treble, having already secured the Bundesliga and a German Cup Final spot. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Bayer Leverkusen

Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg – May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK at BayArena

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Predictions

Key Stats

– Bayer Leverkusen’s home games this season have seen an average of 3.79 goals.

– Florian Wirtz has scored seven goals in his last seven starts for Leverkusen.

– Romelu Lukaku has scored 12 goals for Roma this season, highlighting his critical role in their attack.

Battle for Europa: Leverkusen Aims for Historic Finish Against Roma’s Resolute Challenge

As the UEFA Europa League semi-finals beckon, Bayer Leverkusen stands on the precipice of a historic season, with their eyes firmly set on an ‘Invincible treble’. The scene is set at the BayArena, where Leverkusen is slated to host Roma in what promises to be a pulsating return leg.

Leverkusen enters this clash with a commanding 2-0 lead from the first leg, a testament to their formidable form this season. This article will delve into the tactical nuances and key players likely to influence this high-stakes match, alongside a series of predictions backed by in-depth analysis.

Team Form and Dynamics

Bayer Leverkusen’s Unbeaten Run

Bayer Leverkusen, under the stewardship of Xabi Alonso, has demonstrated football of the highest quality. With the Bundesliga title already secured and a spot in the German Cup Final, their focus now shifts to European glory. Leverkusen’s attack this season has been nothing short of spectacular, averaging 2.6 goals per match with a total of 82 goals scored in the Bundesliga.

The potency of their offensive play is underlined by their ability to create 3.6 big chances per game, a key factor in their European campaign as well.

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The defensive solidity of Leverkusen is equally impressive, boasting 15 clean sheets and an average of only 0.7 goals conceded per game. This balanced approach will be crucial as they look to maintain their lead against Roma.

Roma’s Uphill Battle

Contrasting the fortunes of their opponents, Roma has faced struggles both domestically and in Europe. Positioned eighth in Serie A and coming off a series of unconvincing performances, their challenge is formidable. Roma’s attack, led by Romelu Lukaku and Paulo Dybala, averages 1.8 goals per game, but their defensive vulnerabilities have seen them concede an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Roma’s need for offensive aggression in this match is paramount, and their approach will likely be to exploit Leverkusen’s rare lapses, particularly through Lukaku’s physicality and Dybala’s creativity.

Tactical Analysis: Key Battles and Gameplay

Leverkusen’s Strategic Deployment

Leverkusen’s expected lineup features dynamic players like Florian Wirtz, who has been instrumental with 11 Bundesliga goals this season. His pairing with Victor Okoh Boniface, who leads the team with 12 goals, suggests Leverkusen will adopt an aggressive stance from the onset, leveraging their speed and precision in transitions to counter Roma’s attacking necessity.

Roma’s Tactical Counter

Roma, expected to field strong offensive talents like Dybala and Lukaku, will need to balance their attack while not exposing themselves defensively. Their midfield, featuring the likes of Lorenzo Pellegrini and Leandro Paredes, will be crucial in controlling the tempo and must disrupt Leverkusen’s midfield dynamo, Exequiel Palacios.

Key Player Duels

The matchup between Leverkusen’s midfielder, Granit Xhaka, and Roma’s Pellegrini could decide the midfield battle, whereas the defensive responsibilities of Roma’s Gianluca Mancini will be tested against the agile and sharp Wirtz.

Predictions and Betting Angles


Best Bet: Bayer Leverkusen to Win and Both Teams to Score

The best bet for this match is rooted in the comprehensive analysis of both teams’ current forms and tactical setups. Bayer Leverkusen, with an unbeaten record and a formidable attacking line, is expected to leverage their home advantage and aggressive play style to secure a win. The combination of Florian Wirtz, Victor Okoh Boniface, and the midfield support from Exequiel Palacios presents a formidable challenge for any defence.

However, Roma’s necessity to overturn a two-goal deficit means they are likely to commit forward in numbers, creating potential for goals at both ends. Roma’s attack, spearheaded by Romelu Lukaku and Paulo Dybala, possesses the quality to breach Leverkusen’s defence at least once, despite the German team’s overall solidity.

Correct Score Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Roma

This correct score prediction aligns with the anticipated dynamic of the game, where Leverkusen’s strength at home and Roma’s desperate offensive efforts converge. Leverkusen’s ability to score consistently, particularly at the BayArena, combined with Roma’s pressing need to attack, sets a plausible scenario for a 3-1 outcome.

Leverkusen’s tactical discipline and rapid transition play will likely exploit the spaces left by a Roma side pushing forward, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. Furthermore, Roma’s attack, while potent, might struggle against Leverkusen’s organised defence but should manage to find a consolation goal.

Goalscorer Prediction: Florian Wirtz to Score

Florian Wirtz is a standout choice for a goalscorer prediction due to his excellent form and crucial role in Leverkusen’s attack. His technical ability and knack for finding spaces in tight defences have seen him become a pivotal figure in Leverkusen’s offensive strategies.

Wirtz’s recent scoring spree, including seven goals in his last seven starts, demonstrates his sharpness in front of goal. Given Roma’s likely high defensive line and focus on offensive play, Wirtz will have ample opportunities to exploit any lapses in their defence, making him a prime candidate to add to his goal tally in this crucial semi-final leg.

First Half Result Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to Lead at Half Time

Anticipating the initial burst of energy and strategic execution from Bayer Leverkusen, it is likely that they will establish an early lead. Leverkusen’s approach to important matches, especially in European competitions, often involves asserting dominance from the kickoff. Their ability to control the game’s tempo through midfield superiority and to create early chances through dynamic wing plays and central breakthroughs will be key.

Roma, while needing to score, might find themselves defensively vulnerable in the early exchanges, allowing Leverkusen to capitalise and possibly secure a lead by half-time. This prediction considers Leverkusen’s historical tendency to start strongly and Roma’s potential initial caution away from home.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!