Leeds vs Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Leeds vs Plymouth Predictions for this Championship fixture. Leeds United and Plymouth Argyle, each seeking a return to winning form in their respective Championship battles, meet at Elland Road on Saturday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Leeds
Plymouth

Championship | Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK at Elland Road

Leeds vs Plymouth Argyle Predictions

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Can Leeds Take Another Step Towards Promotion?

  • Leeds’ Home Strength: Leeds have won their last three home games, highlighting Elland Road as a fortress in their promotion bid.
  • Plymouth’s Away Record: Plymouth have the league’s worst away record, having lost five out of six matches on the road without scoring in several of them.
  • Clean Sheets: Leeds boast a strong defensive record with seven clean sheets this season, underscoring their capacity to shut out weaker opposition.

Our Tips

Leeds/Leeds Half-Time/Full-Time
5/4 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing Leeds to lead at both half-time and full-time is recommended, given their dominant home form and Plymouth’s defensive struggles. Leeds’ high possession and shot rate contrast sharply with Plymouth’s vulnerability under pressure.
Leeds United 3-0
6/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 3-0 Leeds victory looks likely, reflecting their strong home form and Plymouth’s away struggles. Leeds’ consistent attacking pressure and solid defence should comfortably overwhelm Plymouth’s limited possession and organisational issues.

This weekend, Elland Road will witness a clash of contrasting fortunes as Leeds United, aiming for a swift return to the Premier League, host a struggling Plymouth Argyle. Leeds enter the encounter buoyed by a seven-match unbeaten streak and only a hair’s breadth away from the Championship’s automatic promotion spots. Daniel Farke’s side have shown resilience, bouncing back from early-season disappointments and proving their mettle at home, where they’ve been particularly dominant. Their relentless form has put them third in the standings, with a formidable goal difference helping them inch closer to the top two.

On the flip side, Plymouth Argyle are labouring near the Championship’s relegation zone, a position uncomfortably familiar from last season. Under Wayne Rooney’s fresh management, the Pilgrims have yet to secure a single win away from home this season, enduring one of the worst defensive records on the road. Their recent draw against Preston North End, where they mounted an admirable late comeback to snatch a point, gave them some hope, yet it did little to mask their defensive woes. As they step into Elland Road, Plymouth face a daunting challenge in subduing a Leeds side with promotion aspirations.

Best Bet: Leeds/Leeds Half-Time/Full-Time

For this clash, the recommended bet is Leeds to lead both at half-time and full-time. Leeds have been dominant in their recent home outings, racking up early goals that set the tone for comfortable victories. Their opening spells at Elland Road have seen them break defences down with tactical finesse, and their home form is indicative of a team that knows how to press its advantage from the get-go. Leeds’ high possession rate of nearly 60% underscores their capacity to control games, especially against lower-tier teams. Against a Plymouth side that have been unable to cope with sustained pressure away from home, Leeds look set to capitalise.

Plymouth’s away struggles have been stark; they’ve conceded 13 goals in just six games on their travels, while scoring only once. Such a lopsided record paints a grim picture, especially when contrasted with Leeds’ average of 1.6 goals per game and a solid defensive record that has seen them concede a mere 0.7 goals per match. Plymouth’s defensive frailties will be particularly susceptible to Leeds’ fast-paced attack, with players like Brenden Aaronson and Mateo Joseph likely to exploit gaps. Leeds’ ability to convert 15.6 shots per game into a steady goal stream is another advantage, especially given Plymouth’s vulnerability to early blows.

Further complicating Plymouth’s ambitions is their abysmal record of clean sheets: none so far in the Championship. With Leeds firing an average of 5.3 shots on target per game, it’s hard to imagine Argyle’s defence holding up, particularly as they concede 4.3 saves per match, forcing their goalkeeper to work overtime.

BettingTips4You.com expert Gram Dodd also believes that Leeds are set for a commanding performance: “With Leeds’ form at Elland Road and Plymouth’s defensive frailties, a double advantage for Leeds at half and full time seems not just plausible, but almost inevitable. Leeds have been clinical, and Plymouth simply lack the consistency to withstand this kind of firepower.”

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Correct Score Prediction: Leeds United 3-0 Plymouth Argyle

Considering the relentless pressure Leeds are likely to apply, a 3-0 scoreline appears a reasonable expectation. Leeds have shown they can pile on goals at home, supported by their superior shots-per-game ratio and impressive shot accuracy. Plymouth, meanwhile, have often found themselves chasing shadows away from home, struggling both in possession and organisation, especially under sustained offensive spells.

The prediction for a three-goal margin aligns well with Leeds’ form at Elland Road and Plymouth’s inability to withstand quality attacks, particularly early on. Leeds’ record of clean sheets, combined with Plymouth’s woeful away form, suggests a one-sided contest. This doesn’t just reflect Leeds’ superiority but also highlights Plymouth’s ongoing issues with consistency, which have seen them concede heavily on several occasions.

While Plymouth managed to find late goals against Preston, Leeds’ structured defence, which has conceded only eight times all season, will be far more resilient. Plymouth’s limited possession game and difficulty progressing past midfield are likely to stymie any efforts they make to claw back a result.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.