Hull City vs Portsmouth Predictions

Hull City vs Portsmouth Predictions for this Championship fixture. Hull City aim to break a four-game winless streak as they host Portsmouth at the MKM Stadium in Saturday’s Championship clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Championship | Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK at The A2B Stadium

Hull City vs Portsmouth Predictions

Hull City Look to End Winless Streak as Portsmouth Fight for Survival

• Portsmouth’s Defensive Woes: Pompey have conceded 25 goals in 12 matches, marking them as the Championship’s leakiest defence, a worrying stat when facing Hull’s counter-attacks.
• Hull’s Second-Half Strength: With better possession stats and higher shot counts, Hull frequently gain momentum after half-time, a trend that may expose Portsmouth’s defensive lapses.
• Kamara’s Insider Edge: Hull forward Abu Kamara contributed 18 goals for Portsmouth last season, and his knowledge of Pompey’s setup could prove invaluable in breaking down their defence.

Our Tips

The Championship clash at MKM Stadium between Hull City and Portsmouth brings together two teams on contrasting journeys, both in search of points but for very different reasons. Hull find themselves amid a frustrating winless streak, having taken just two points from their last four matches, despite an earlier surge in form. They currently sit in a mid-table 15th, having notched three wins, five draws, and four losses, yet they’ll be keenly aware of their weak home record, where they’ve only managed six points across six games. For Hull, a match against bottom-placed Portsmouth offers a chance to right the ship and start climbing again.

On the other side, Portsmouth’s return to the Championship has been far from the fairy tale fans might have hoped for. After struggling through their opening fixtures, Pompey only recently claimed their first win of the season against Queens Park Rangers, a brief bright spot quickly dimmed by back-to-back losses. Sitting at the bottom of the table with only one win to their name, Portsmouth’s Championship debut has them battling relegation concerns. With Hull struggling to secure home points and Portsmouth desperate to escape the relegation zone, this clash has all the makings of a nervy encounter.

Best Bet: Draw/Hull City Half Time/Full Time

Considering the momentum — or lack thereof — on both sides, the Half Time/Full Time market points towards value in backing a Draw/Hull City outcome. Hull’s home performances this season suggest a team that often starts cautiously, given their average possession of 52.6% and modest goal-scoring record. Though they sit in mid-table, Hull have scored just 14 goals in 12 games, averaging 1.2 goals per match, which isn’t exactly a recipe for a quick-fire approach.

Portsmouth, meanwhile, have struggled to create significant chances, managing only 12 goals all season with an alarming 2.1 goals conceded per game. Their defence, while industrious with an average of 21.6 clearances per game, often cracks under sustained pressure, especially against teams that can hold possession. Hull’s better passing accuracy (85.1%) and ball control advantage (52.6%) suggest they could gradually wear down the visiting defence.

Hull will likely look to press forward more in the second half, something they’ve shown an ability to do with players like Kasey Palmer and Abu Kamara, who have contributed to Hull’s recent attacking presence. Kamara, who spent last season at Portsmouth on loan, could prove pivotal in a game like this, offering a bit of inside knowledge on Pompey’s weaknesses while also adding flair to Hull’s forward line. However, without Liam Millar and with several others sidelined, Hull’s goalscoring has been hampered recently, potentially making a half-time draw more probable before they can break down Portsmouth’s defence as fatigue sets in.

In tight games like these, BettingTips4You.com expert Graham Hartshorn echoes this sentiment, noting, “In a clash where both sides are struggling to assert early dominance, the odds favour a conservative first half. Hull’s mid-game shifts in intensity often catch opponents off guard, and Pompey’s defensive frailties suggest Hull can push for a late lead.” Hull’s solid midfield pairing of Slater and Simons could slowly build play in the second half, particularly exploiting gaps that Portsmouth’s players, such as the recently returned Nicolas Schmid, may not be sharp enough to cover.

Hull’s tactical approach at home, combined with Portsmouth’s inconsistent defensive structure, makes Draw/Hull City on the Half Time/Full Time market look like the best value bet. This prediction builds on Portsmouth’s tendency to fall apart in the latter stages, while Hull’s patient play and Kamara’s energy up front may well break the deadlock in the final 45 minutes.

Correct Score Prediction: Hull City 2-1 Portsmouth

Following the logic of a close first half, the most likely full-time score here points to Hull emerging as narrow 2-1 winners. Hull’s previous home fixtures have shown they can find the net, averaging nearly 13 shots per game, but they’ve struggled to capitalise fully on those chances, netting only 1.2 goals on average per game. Portsmouth’s leaky defence, which has conceded 25 goals this season, suggests they’re vulnerable enough for Hull to score multiple times, especially given Hull’s habit of slowly turning up the pressure.

However, Pompey are unlikely to leave Hull’s goal untouched, and despite their poor record, they’ve managed to put up a fight, even briefly leading against Sheffield Wednesday in their previous match. Callum Lang, Portsmouth’s leading scorer, could be the one to threaten Hull’s backline, though Hull’s solid average of nearly 20 clearances per game and their defenders’ knack for recovering possession could be sufficient to keep Portsmouth from scoring more than once.

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