Las Palmas vs Real Betis predictions for this La Liga clash. Real Betis face Las Palmas at Estadio de Gran Canaria, both aiming to climb their respective ends of the La Liga standings. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
La Liga | Gameweek 36 – May 16, 2024 at 6:30pm UK at Las Palmas
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Las Palmas vs Real Betis Predictions
Real Betis Aim to Capitalise on Las Palmas’ Struggles in Crucial La Liga Clash
Key Stats
– Las Palmas have failed to score in seven of their last eight La Liga matches.
– Real Betis have won four of their last five La Liga matches.
– Las Palmas have not won any of their last 11 fixtures.
Real Betis face Las Palmas at Estadio de Gran Canaria on Thursday, with both teams looking to improve their positions in the La Liga standings. Las Palmas are desperate to halt their poor run of form and secure a win, while Real Betis seek to continue their climb up the table and strengthen their European qualification hopes.
Match Preview
Las Palmas enter this match on the back of three consecutive defeats, failing to score in each game. Their recent form is a cause for concern, with only one win in their last six home fixtures, alongside four losses and a draw. Scoring has been a significant issue for Las Palmas, managing just five goals in their last ten matches and conceding 19, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded per game.
Conversely, Real Betis have shown resilience and form, securing seven points from their last three matches, including a draw against Sevilla and victories over Osasuna and Almeria. Despite a mixed away record, with three wins and three losses in their last six away games, Betis have been more prolific in front of goal, scoring nine and conceding eight in those matches.
Team News
Las Palmas will be missing several key players for this encounter. Alex Suarez and Julian Araujo are sidelined, while Benito remains out due to injury. Manager Garcia Pimienta will need to shuffle his lineup to cope with these absences.
For Real Betis, the injury list includes Isco, Ayoze Perez, Guido Rodriguez, Youssouf Sabaly, and Marc Bartra. Manager Manuel Pellegrini will have to make strategic adjustments to maintain their recent momentum despite these setbacks.
Expected Lineups
Las Palmas: Valles; Julian Araujo, Curbelo, Marmol, Sergi Cardona; Loiodice, Munoz; Benito, Kirian Rodriguez, Sandro Ramirez; Marc Cardona.
Real Betis: Rui Silva; Bellerin, Pezzella, Miranda, Bartra; Carvalho, Fornals; Rodri, Isco, Ruibal; Willian Jose.
Key Areas and Player Duels
The midfield battle will be crucial in this match, with Las Palmas’ Enzo Loiodice and Real Betis’ Pablo Fornals likely to be at the heart of the action. Loiodice’s ability to disrupt play and Fornals’ creativity could determine the flow of the game. Additionally, the duel between Las Palmas’ forward Marc Cardona and Betis’ defender German Pezzella will be critical in deciding whether the home side can breach Betis’ defence.
Gameplay Analysis
Las Palmas will likely focus on maintaining possession and building attacks slowly, as indicated by their 59.9% ball possession rate and 85.6% pass accuracy. However, their struggles in the final third have been evident, with only 0.9 goals per game this season. Real Betis, on the other hand, will aim to exploit Las Palmas’ defensive vulnerabilities through quick transitions and counter-attacks. Betis’ average of 1.3 goals per game and 82.9% passing accuracy suggests a more balanced approach between possession play and direct attacking moves.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Las Palmas:
- Strengths: High ball possession, strong passing accuracy.
- Weaknesses: Poor goal-scoring record, defensive frailties, and recent form.
Real Betis:
- Strengths: Balanced attack and defence, effective counter-attacks, recent good form.
- Weaknesses: Inconsistent away performances, reliance on key injured players.
Managerial Analysis
Garcia Pimienta’s tenure at Las Palmas has been marked by a possession-based style. However, his team’s inability to convert possession into goals has been a significant weakness. On the other hand, Manuel Pellegrini has successfully implemented a balanced approach at Real Betis, blending defensive solidity with attacking flair. Pellegrini’s experience and tactical flexibility give him an edge, but he must address the team’s occasional lapses in concentration, particularly in away games.
Expected Goals Analysis
Las Palmas have averaged 0.9 goals per game this season, highlighting their struggles in front of goal. Their expected goals (xG) figures are likely to be low, reflecting their inefficiency in creating high-quality chances. In contrast, Real Betis have averaged 1.3 goals per game, with a higher xG, indicating their ability to generate and convert scoring opportunities more effectively.
Predictions
Best Bet: Under 1.5 Goals
Considering the scoring struggles of Las Palmas and the solid defensive performances by Real Betis, this match is expected to be low-scoring. Las Palmas have managed just five goals in their last ten matches, while Betis have been relatively solid at the back. The trend of under 2.5 goals in their recent encounters further supports this prediction. Both teams might adopt a cautious approach, leading to fewer scoring opportunities.
Correct Score Prediction: Las Palmas 0-1 Real Betis
In alignment with the best bet, a 1-0 win for Real Betis is the most plausible outcome. Betis have shown they can secure narrow victories, and given Las Palmas’ difficulties in front of goal, a single goal might be enough to secure three points for the visitors. Betis’ ability to control the game and exploit Las Palmas’ defensive weaknesses will be crucial in achieving this result.
Goalscorer Prediction: Willian Jose to Score Anytime
Willian Jose has been a key player for Real Betis, with ten goals to his name this season. His positioning and finishing ability make him a significant threat against a vulnerable Las Palmas defence. Given the expected low-scoring nature of the match, Willian Jose’s knack for finding the net could be decisive. His experience and composure in front of goal make him a strong candidate to score anytime during the match.
First Half Result Prediction: Draw
Both teams are likely to approach the first half cautiously, focusing on defensive solidity. Las Palmas will aim to avoid an early setback, while Real Betis might take time to break down their opponents. The evenly matched nature of the first 45 minutes, combined with the cautious strategies, suggests that a draw at half-time is a probable outcome. Expect a tight and tactical opening half, with both sides biding their time for opportunities.
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