Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao predictions for this La Liga clash. Athletic Bilbao will seek their second La Liga win of the season as they travel to Gran Canaria on Sunday to face Las Palmas, aiming to build momentum in their campaign. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

La Liga | Sep 15, 2024 at 5.30pm UK at Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Will Las Palmas Finally End Their Winless Run, or Will Bilbao Add to Their Troubles?

• Las Palmas’ Defensive Woes
  • Las Palmas have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game this season, making their defence one of the leakiest in La Liga. With no clean sheets in their opening four matches, they have struggled to contain opposition attacks, despite their ability to score goals themselves.
• Athletic Bilbao’s Attacking Struggles
  • Athletic Bilbao have found the back of the net just three times in their opening four matches, averaging a mere 0.8 goals per game. This lack of cutting edge in front of goal has been a major factor in their sluggish start to the campaign, despite the quality in their squad.
• Las Palmas’ Resilience at Home
  • Despite their overall poor form, Las Palmas have lost just once in their last eight competitive home games. This impressive run includes a draw against giants Real Madrid, showing that they can hold their own when playing in front of their fans, even against tough opposition.

Best Bet

This weekend’s La Liga clash sees Las Palmas hosting Athletic Bilbao at the Estadio de Gran Canaria, with both sides eager to reverse their early-season fortunes. For Las Palmas, their return to top-flight football has been far from easy. Still winless after four matches, manager Luis Carrion will be desperate to lead his side to a much-needed victory. However, their struggles from the back end of last season have followed them into the new campaign, and confidence in the camp remains fragile after picking up just two points.

Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, are also dealing with inconsistency. Despite securing a fifth-place finish last season, their start to this campaign has been mixed, with just one win, a draw, and two losses from their opening four matches. Coming off a heartbreaking stoppage-time defeat to Atletico Madrid, Ernesto Valverde’s side will be aiming to get their campaign back on track with a win. Yet, with neither team firing on all cylinders, this fixture promises to be a tightly contested affair.

Given the form of both sides, backing a draw and both teams to score seems a sensible choice for this fixture. Las Palmas, despite their struggles, have shown resilience at home, managing to hold Real Madrid to a 1-1 draw earlier in the season. They have also lost just once in their last eight competitive matches at home. Athletic Bilbao, though inconsistent, have enough quality in their ranks to find the back of the net against a Las Palmas side that has yet to keep a clean sheet this season.

Las Palmas’ defensive vulnerabilities have been clear, conceding seven goals in their opening four games. With an average of 1.8 goals conceded per game, the hosts will likely struggle to keep out Bilbao’s attack, especially with the dangerous Nico Williams set to start after a managed return from international duty. The visitors have been far from prolific themselves, scoring just three goals so far, but they are capable of breaching a defence like Las Palmas’.

At the same time, Las Palmas have shown that they are capable of creating opportunities. Their 1-1 draw with Real Madrid and their 2-2 opening game against Sevilla demonstrate that they can score, even against stronger opposition. They average 11 shots per game, and with Athletic’s defence lacking the solidity it showed last season—conceding four goals in four matches—Las Palmas could find their chances.

The key issue for both teams has been consistency in defence and attack, making it difficult to see either side keeping a clean sheet. As BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa notes, “Both teams have shown they can find the net, but their defensive frailties are evident. This match has the hallmarks of a tight contest where both teams should score, but neither looks likely to dominate.” Given these factors, a draw with both teams finding the back of the net looks like a value bet in this encounter.

Correct Score Prediction: Las Palmas 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

In line with the best bet prediction, a 1-1 scoreline appears to be the most plausible outcome. Las Palmas’ form suggests they can score at home, but they have struggled to keep opponents from doing the same. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao’s attacking prowess, while not fully clicking so far, is good enough to get a goal. Both sides have averaged just under one goal per game this season, and with neither possessing the cutting edge needed to run away with the game, this looks set to be another low-scoring draw.

Historically, Las Palmas have shown resilience at home, and while Bilbao did beat them 2-0 in the corresponding fixture last season, both teams are in different phases now. Las Palmas are coming off a poor run but will draw strength from their recent home results, while Athletic Bilbao’s early-season rust suggests they may not have the firepower to secure all three points. Given the evenly matched nature of this fixture, a repeat of their respective 1-1 draws earlier this season feels like the correct call.

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