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Gibraltar vs Netherlands predictions for this Tuesday’s EURO 2024 qualifier. The Netherlands, having secured their spot as direct entrants in the Euro 2024 group-stage draw, will wrap up their Group B campaign by facing Gibraltar at Portugal's Estadio Algarve on Tuesday. Gibraltar, already demoralized, faces a formidable Dutch side. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Tuesday, 21st November at 7:45 pm In:
Gibraltar vs Netherlands Predictions
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The Dutch Mastery vs Gibraltar's Resolve: A Tactical Analysis
Key Stats
- The Netherlands have scored 16 goals in their last three encounters with Gibraltar.
- Gibraltar conceded a qualification-high 35 goals.
In the upcoming Euro 2024 qualifier, the Netherlands and Gibraltar are set to clash, offering a study in contrasting footballing fortunes. The Dutch, having secured their place in the group-stage draw, face a Gibraltar side reeling from a record defeat.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
The rationale behind this prediction hinges on several key factors. Firstly, Gibraltar's defensive record in the Euro Qualifying campaign has been dismal, conceding an alarming 35 goals without scoring any. Their recent 14-0 defeat to France underscores their vulnerability, particularly against high-caliber opposition like the Netherlands. This susceptibility to conceding a high number of goals plays directly into the hands of the Dutch, who have consistently demonstrated their ability to exploit weaker defences.
Moreover, the Netherlands' previous encounters with Gibraltar have been one-sided affairs, with the Dutch scoring 16 goals in just three meetings, without conceding any. Their attacking statistics in the Euro Qualifying campaign, averaging 1.6 goals per game, combined with Gibraltar's defensive woes, suggest a high likelihood of a goal fest. Additionally, considering that the Netherlands have a point to prove after their recent performance fluctuations and will likely field a forward-thinking lineup, the probability of multiple goals being scored increases significantly.
Given these factors, the 'Over 5 Goals' market at 9/10 offers considerable value. It aligns with both teams' recent forms and statistical trends, making it a compelling betting choice for this fixture.
Tactical Analysis:
Gibraltar's Approach: Under Julio Ribas, Gibraltar faces an uphill task. With a defensive-heavy setup, their focus is inevitably on damage limitation. The absence of key defenders like Ethan Santos and the reliance on veterans like Roy Chipolina signal a squad grappling with depth and quality issues. Gibraltar’s gameplay, characterised by low possession and minimal attacking threat, is expected to be largely reactive.
Netherlands’ Strategy: Ronald Koeman’s Netherlands, conversely, embodies a blend of tactical sophistication and raw talent. With a strong defensive line led by Virgil van Dijk and a dynamic attack, the Dutch are expected to dominate possession and relentlessly pressure Gibraltar's backline. Players like Wout Weghorst and Cody Gakpo will be key in exploiting Gibraltar's vulnerabilities.
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Managerial Influence:
Ribas’ Gibraltar has struggled for form and consistency, but the team's spirit and resilience in the face of overwhelming odds have been commendable. Koeman's Netherlands, meanwhile, displays a well-oiled machine, balancing defensive solidity with attacking flair.
Key Battles and Gameplay:
The midfield and attacking zones will likely be where the match is decided, with the Netherlands expected to dictate the pace. The key duels will be between the Dutch attackers and Gibraltar's defenders. The Netherlands will likely employ a high-press and quick-transition style to break down Gibraltar’s compact defence.
Analysis of Expected Goals (xG):
Gibraltar's xG is alarmingly low, reflecting their limited offensive capabilities. In contrast, the Netherlands boasts a high xG, indicative of their efficient attacking moves and goal-scoring chances created.
Suggestions for Improvement:
Gibraltar could benefit from a more organised defensive structure and quicker transitions to counter-attacks. The Netherlands, while already formidable, could focus on converting more of their chances to avoid complacency against seemingly weaker opponents.
Critique of Managers:
Ribas, while showing resilience, needs to develop more dynamic tactical plans to elevate Gibraltar's gameplay. Koeman, though leading a talented squad, must guard against underestimating opponents and maintain tactical discipline.
Our Take - 'A Clash of David and Goliath':
This game is more than just a contest; it's a testament to the diverse nature of international football. While the outcome might seem predictable, the spirit of the game lies in its unpredictability and the sheer joy of witnessing the underdog battle against the odds.
Predictions:
- Market Prediction: Over 3.5 goals. The Netherlands’ attacking prowess and Gibraltar's defensive woes suggest a high-scoring game.
- Correct Score Prediction: Netherlands 6-0 Gibraltar. Considering the past encounters and current form, a large margin victory for the Netherlands is plausible.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Wout Weghorst to score at least once. His recent form and positioning make him a likely candidate to find the net.
- Corner Prediction: Netherlands to have more corners, with a total of over 10 corners in the game. The Dutch's attacking play will likely result in numerous corner opportunities.
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