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Getafe vs Atletico Madrid predictions, betting tips and match previews for their La Liga clash. Atletico Madrid can secure a top-four La Liga finish and Champions League qualification with a win at Getafe on Wednesday. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips
La Liga | Gameweek 36 – May 15, 2024 at 9pm UK at Estadio Coliseo del Golfo
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Getafe vs Atletico Madrid Predictions
Atletico Madrid Look to Secure Champions League Spot in Derby Showdown
Key Stats
– Atletico Madrid have kept clean sheets in their last two La Liga matches.
– Antoine Griezmann has scored nine goals against Getafe in his career.
– Getafe have scored just one goal in their last three matches.
As the La Liga season nears its conclusion, Atletico Madrid are on the brink of securing a top-four finish and subsequent Champions League qualification. They travel to face local rivals Getafe at the Estadio Coliseum on Wednesday evening, aiming to continue their recent run of form. With three consecutive wins under their belt, Atleti will look to maintain their momentum against a Getafe side that has struggled for consistency.
Match Preview
Atletico Madrid’s recent 1-0 victory over Celta Vigo, courtesy of a late goal from Rodrigo De Paul, has positioned them firmly in fourth place, eight points clear of their closest competitors, Athletic Club. With just three games remaining, Diego Simeone’s men need only one more victory to guarantee their place in Europe’s premier club competition.
Atleti have shown resilience following their exit from the Champions League, winning three successive La Liga matches and keeping clean sheets in their last two. However, their away form has been less impressive, with only six wins from 17 outings this season. Despite this, Simeone’s record against Getafe is formidable, having never lost to them in 22 league meetings, an all-time Spanish record for a coach against the same team.
Getafe, on the other hand, have endured a challenging campaign. Their recent 1-0 defeat to Cadiz marked their second consecutive loss without scoring, putting their hopes of a top-half finish in jeopardy. Manager Jose Bordalas will be eager to turn things around at home, where Getafe have collected 29 points from 17 games. A positive result against Atletico could reignite their season and provide a morale boost for the fans.
Team News
For Atletico Madrid, Thomas Lemar (Achilles) and Nahuel Molina (hamstring) remain sidelined. Simeone is expected to field a similar lineup to the one that faced Celta Vigo, with Rodrigo De Paul likely to earn a starting spot after his crucial goal. Antoine Griezmann, who has scored nine goals against Getafe in his career, will lead the attack alongside Alvaro Morata.
Getafe will be without Juan Iglesias, Mauro Arambarri, top scorer Borja Mayoral, and Domingos Duarte due to injuries. Bordalas might opt to recall Juanmi Latasa to bolster the attack, while Ilaix Moriba could be introduced to add dynamism to the midfield.
Expected Lineups
Getafe: Soria; Carmona, Djene, Alderete, Rico; Maksimovic, Milla; Greenwood, Moriba, Rodriguez; Latasa
Atletico Madrid: Oblak; Witsel, Gimenez, Hermoso; Azpilicueta, De Paul, Koke, Lino; Llorente; Griezmann, Morata
Key Areas and Player Duels
The match could be decided in the midfield, where the battle between Getafe’s Luis Milla and Atletico’s Koke will be crucial. Milla’s ability to break up play and Koke’s creative vision will set the tone for their respective teams. Additionally, the duel between Getafe’s Juanmi Latasa and Atletico’s Jose Gimenez could determine the effectiveness of Getafe’s attack against a solid Atleti defence.
Gameplay Analysis
Atletico Madrid are expected to dominate possession, utilising their superior passing accuracy (84.4%) and ball control. Their disciplined defensive structure, evidenced by 11 clean sheets this season, will be key to nullifying Getafe’s attack. Getafe, with their lower ball possession (44.4%) and reliance on counter-attacks, will need to exploit any lapses in Atletico’s defence.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Atletico Madrid:
- Strengths: Solid defensive unit, effective counter-attacks, experienced squad.
- Weaknesses: Inconsistent away form, occasional lack of creativity in midfield.
Getafe:
- Strengths: Strong home form, resilient defence, aerial prowess.
- Weaknesses: Inconsistent goal-scoring, vulnerability against high-press teams.
Managerial Analysis
Diego Simeone’s tactical acumen and ability to motivate his squad have been instrumental in Atletico’s success. However, his conservative approach can sometimes stifle the team’s attacking potential. Jose Bordalas, while capable of setting up a disciplined side, has struggled to find consistency this season, and his tactical rigidity has often been exposed by more flexible opponents.
Expected Goals Analysis
Atletico Madrid have averaged 1.8 goals per game this season, while Getafe have managed 1.2 goals per game. Atletico’s superior xG (expected goals) suggests they create higher quality chances, particularly through Griezmann and Morata, who have been prolific in front of goal.
Betting Angles
Several trends can be identified from the data:
- Atletico Madrid’s tendency to win with a clean sheet.
- Getafe’s struggles to score against top teams.
- The likelihood of a low-scoring game given Atletico’s recent 1-0 victories.
Predictions
Best Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win
Atletico Madrid’s recent form and their historical dominance over Getafe make them strong favourites. Their defensive solidity combined with Getafe’s scoring difficulties suggest a likely win for the visitors. Given Atletico’s superior quality and motivation to secure Champions League qualification, they should edge this contest.
Correct Score Prediction: Getafe 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Atletico’s recent defensive record and Getafe’s lack of goals suggest a low-scoring affair. A 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid aligns with their ability to control games and score through their key forwards, Griezmann and Morata.
Goalscorer Prediction: Antoine Griezmann to Score Anytime
Griezmann has a proven record against Getafe, having scored nine goals against them. His recent form and central role in Atletico’s attack make him a strong candidate to find the net in this fixture.
Corner Prediction: Atletico Madrid to Win More Corners
Atletico Madrid have averaged 4.6 corners per game compared to Getafe’s 3.8. Their attacking play and ability to pressure defences often result in more corners. Expect Atletico to dominate in this area, with a total of around 10 corners combined.
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