Genoa vs Udinese Predictions

Genoa vs Udinese predictions for this Serie A encounter. Mid-table Genoa, in a notable comeback campaign, host Serie A strugglers Udinese at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Saturday. Who will prevail? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.


Serie A  | Gameweek 26 – Feb 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

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Genoa vs Udinese Predictions

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A Clash of Fates: Genoa and Udinese’s Fight for Serie A Salvation

Key Stats
– Genoa have outscored Udinese this season, indicating a slight offensive edge.
– Udinese’s struggle for goals is highlighted by their heavy reliance on Lorenzo Lucca, who has been involved in nearly half of their goals.
– The historical matchup favours Udinese, but current form suggests Genoa have the momentum, having lost only once in their last 10 league matches.

In the heart of Serie A’s intense and unforgiving battleground, mid-table Genoa are set to lock horns with strugglers Udinese at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris, in a clash that promises much more than just three points. Both teams, with their unique predicaments, find themselves in a crucial juncture of their campaigns, making this encounter a pivotal one in their respective quests for survival and respectability.

A Tale of Two Teams

Genoa, under the astute leadership of Alberto Gilardino, have shown remarkable resilience, bouncing back from setbacks with a vigour that belies their mid-table position. Their recent draw against Napoli, the reigning champions, was a testament to their fighting spirit and tactical discipline. With a ten-point cushion above the relegation zone, Genoa are inching closer to securing their Serie A status, a feat that seemed daunting at the season’s outset.


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Udinese’s plight, however, paints a starkly different picture. Gabriele Cioffi’s men have been ensnared in a web of inconsistency, managing just three wins all season. Their recent draw against Juventus in Turin was a rare highlight in a campaign marred by frustration and underachievement. With the spectre of relegation looming large, Udinese’s long-standing Serie A status hangs precariously in the balance.

Tactical Nuances and Strategic Battles

Genoa’s tactical setup, focusing on a compact defence and opportunistic attacking, has been their hallmark this season. Gilardino has moulded his team into a well-drilled unit, capable of holding their own against the league’s titans. The partnership between Mateo Retegui and Albert Gudmundsson upfront has been particularly effective, with Gudmundsson’s prowess on the brink of reaching double figures for the season.

Udinese, on the other hand, have struggled for goals, heavily reliant on Lorenzo Lucca to lead their line. Their inability to retain leads and convert chances has been their Achilles’ heel, a problem exacerbated by Gerard Deulofeu’s potential retirement due to injury. Nonetheless, their midfield, anchored by Walace and supported by Sandi Lovrić’s creativity, holds the key to unlocking their attacking potential.

Key Duels and Decisive Factors

The midfield battle between Genoa’s Morten Frendrup and Udinese’s Lovrić could very well dictate the tempo of the game. Both players’ ability to control the game’s rhythm and provide for their forwards will be critical. Additionally, the duel between Retegui and Udinese’s central defenders, Lautaro Giannetti and Nehuén Pérez, will be one to watch. Retegui’s aerial threat and prowess in front of goal could pose significant problems for Udinese’s backline.

Prognosis for Improvement and Tactical Critique

Genoa’s recent form, characterised by their robust defensive organisation and opportunistic attack, suggests a team on the upswing. However, their reliance on individual brilliance upfront could be their undoing against more tactically flexible teams. Incorporating more dynamic movements and interplays in the final third could elevate their attacking threat.

Udinese’s struggles this season can be attributed to their lack of a coherent attacking strategy and defensive frailties. Cioffi’s tactical rigidity and failure to adapt to the evolving dynamics of the game have left much to be desired. A more fluid attacking approach, coupled with tightening their defensive organisation, could provide the foundation for a late-season resurgence.

Predicted Lineups and Tactical Setups

Genoa’s Expected Lineup:

  • Martinez; De Winter, Bani, Vasquez; Sabelli, Frendrup, Badelj, Messias, Martin; Gudmundsson; Retegui

Udinese’s Expected Lineup:

  • Okoye; Perez, Giannetti, Kristensen; Ebosele, Lovric, Walace, Samardzic, Zemura; Thauvin; Lucca

These lineups highlight Genoa’s preference for a solid defensive base with quick transitions, while Udinese’s setup suggests a reliance on width and crossing, aiming to exploit Lucca’s aerial ability.

Predictions and Insights

1. Match Outcome – Both Teams to Score Given the tactical nuances and the attacking potential on both sides, it’s plausible to expect both teams to find the back of the net. Genoa’s resilience and Udinese’s desperation to climb away from the relegation zone set the stage for a closely contested match where defensive lapses could lead to goals on either end.

Rationale: Genoa’s robust attack, combined with Udinese’s sporadic offensive brilliance, suggests a game where both defences will be breached. The historical head-to-head and current form point towards a match where caution might be momentarily cast aside in pursuit of victory.

2. Correct Score Prediction – Genoa 2-1 Udinese This prediction leans on Genoa’s slightly superior form and home advantage, coupled with Udinese’s defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a tightly contested affair with Genoa edging it by a solitary goal.

Rationale: Genoa’s attacking prowess, especially at home, against an Udinese side that has shown defensive frailties, suggests a scenario where the home side could outscore their opponents in a high-stakes encounter.

3. Goalscorer Prediction – Albert Gudmundsson to Score Gudmundsson’s form and his knack for crucial goals make him the prime candidate to find the net in this encounter. His ability to exploit spaces and link-up play increases his chances of scoring.

Rationale: Gudmundsson’s attacking attributes and his record this season, especially in key games, position him as the likely goalscorer, exploiting Udinese’s at times disorganised defence.

4. First Half Result – Draw The opening exchanges are expected to be cautious, with both teams trying to assert dominance without overcommitting. A stalemate at the break seems a probable outcome.

Rationale: Given the stakes and the teams’ recent form, an initial period of tactical testing and probing is anticipated, leading to a deadlock at halftime before the game opens up in the second half.

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!