France vs Italy Predictions

France vs Italy predictions for this Six Nations clash. France has had an uncharacteristic start to the tournament. Can they improve their confidence with a solid win against an Italian side that has shown some progress? Read on for all our free Six Nations predictions and betting tips.

France Rugby

Six Nations | Group Stage: – Feb 25, 2024 at 3.00pm UK at Stade Pierre Mauroy

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France vs Italy Predictions

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A Tale of Two Halves: France and Italy’s Six Nations Encounter

Key Stats
– France has triumphed in their last 14 encounters against Italy, highlighting a historical dominance.
– Italy’s performance against England revealed a side capable of challenging the Six Nations’ elite, narrowly losing by three points.
– The average winning margin in matches between France and Italy from 2013 to 2021 was only 19.5 points, suggesting closer contests than recent results indicate.

As the 2024 Six Nations tournament unfolds, the rugby stage is set for a compelling clash between France and Italy. With both teams having experienced contrasting fortunes in the opening rounds, this matchup in Lille promises to be more than just a routine encounter. France, aiming to rediscover their dominant form, faces an Italian side eager to prove their resilience and competitive edge.

France: A Quest for Consistency

France’s campaign thus far has been a mixed bag, showcasing moments of brilliance intertwined with phases of vulnerability. The opening defeat to Ireland at home laid bare the challenges Les Bleus face without their talismanic leader, Antoine Dupont. However, a narrow victory over Scotland in Murrayfield hinted at a resurgence, with France demonstrating glimpses of the formidable side that has captivated rugby fans over recent years. Despite the absence of Dupont and potential rotations in the squad, France’s depth and quality remain undeniable.


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Italy: Seeking Redemption

Italy’s journey in the Six Nations has been a tale of what could have been. The spirited performance against England, albeit in defeat, showcased a team brimming with potential and tenacity. Yet, the subsequent loss to Ireland painted a starkly different picture, with Italy struggling to impose themselves and ultimately failing to score. The challenge now lies in bouncing back, leveraging their full-strength lineup to rekindle the competitive spirit witnessed against England.

Analytical Predictions

Handicap Market: Italy to Challenge the Odds

Given the historical context and recent performances, the handicap market presents an intriguing proposition. While France is undoubtedly favoured, the 26-point handicap appears overly optimistic. Italy’s ability to push England close and their determination to bounce back from the defeat to Ireland suggest a closer contest than the odds imply. Backing Italy to stay within 26 points of France seems a judicious bet, reflecting both teams’ current form and the unpredictable nature of Six Nations rugby.

Try-Scorer Prediction: Louis Bielle-Biarrey

In analysing the match dynamics and individual performances, Louis Bielle-Biarrey stands out as a promising candidate for scoring a try at any time during the game. With France’s historical inclination to secure early leads against Italy, coupled with the youthful vigour and remarkable pace Bielle-Biarrey brings to the backline, his potential for crossing the whitewash in this fixture is notably high.

Bielle-Biarrey’s capability to exploit openings in the defence, aided by his exceptional speed and agility, positions him as a key figure in France’s attacking arsenal. His talent for finding and creating space, alongside his finishing ability, makes him an enticing choice for tryscorer bets, as he’s likely to leverage any opportunities presented by Italy’s aggressive play in the initial phases of the game.

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.