Fluminense vs Sao Paulo predictions for Wednesday night’s Brazilian Serie A clash. Fluminense welcomes Sao Paulo on Wednesday night, as both teams seek a crucial victory in the late stages of the Brasileiro season. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Thursday, 23rd November at 12:30 am In:
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Predictions
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Key Stats
– Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have witnessed over 2.5 goals, indicating their ability to put on an entertaining show for fans.
– Sao Paulo is unbeaten in their last four matches, showcasing their recent good form and determination to climb the league table.
Fluminense and Sao Paulo, two formidable Brazilian football clubs, are set to face off in a highly anticipated showdown at the Maracana stadium. With both teams vying for an important victory in the Brasileiro season, this match promises to be an exciting battle between two closely-matched sides.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
BEST VALUE BET £20 Returns £35   Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Best Value Bet Rationale
The rationale behind this bet lies in Ganso’s recent form and performance statistics. Ganso has an impressive BettingTips4You Expert Rating of 7.07, indicating his consistent and above-average performance throughout the season. He is a key player in Fluminense’s midfield, contributing with both goals and assists.
While his goal-scoring frequency might not be very high, Ganso has been averaging 0.3 shots on target per game, showcasing his ability to test the opposition’s goalkeeper. This statistic suggests that he is not only involved in creating scoring opportunities but also in taking shots himself.
Furthermore, Ganso’s average BettingTips4You rating of 7.07 for the season highlights his overall impact on the team’s performance. He has contributed with 7 assists, demonstrating his playmaking ability.
Considering the attacking nature of this match, with both teams separated by just one point in the standings and a history of high-scoring encounters between them, Ganso is likely to have opportunities to take shots on target. With odds of 7/4, this bet represents good value, especially given the boosted odds.
In summary, Paulo Henrique Ganso’s consistent form, involvement in Fluminense’s attacking plays, and the potential for a high-scoring game make the bet on him having over 0.5 shots on target an attractive and valuable option for this match.
Match Overview
Fluminense and Sao Paulo are separated by just a single point in the Brasileiro standings, with both teams holding at least one game in hand over some of their competitors. This makes the upcoming clash even more crucial in the race for a higher league position.
Fluminense, fresh from their triumph in the Copa Libertadores earlier this month, have secured qualification for the 2024 edition of the competition. Manager Fernando Diniz is keen to extend their recent resurgence, with the team currently on a three-game undefeated streak – their longest since August and September.
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On the other hand, Sao Paulo has already secured a spot in next season’s Copa Libertadores by winning the 2023 Copa do Brasil. They are determined to continue their good form, having gone unbeaten in their last four league matches, including impressive victories over Cruzeiro and RB Bragantino.
Both teams have their sights set on seventh place in the league table, with Fluminense currently holding a five-point advantage over their rivals. Diniz will face an unusual situation as he will also manage Brazil’s World Cup qualifier against Argentina just 24 hours before this crucial club contest, both of which will take place at the Maracana.
Team News
In terms of team news, Fluminense will be forced to make at least one change due to Nino’s suspension following his dismissal in their recent match against Flamengo. Additionally, Nino is on international duty with Brazil. Veteran defender David Braz may step in to replace him in the centre of defence, but the rest of the lineup is expected to remain unchanged.
Sao Paulo is also dealing with several international call-ups, which will likely result in minimal changes to their starting XI. Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, and James Rodriguez are all absent, potentially paving the way for Alan Franco to fill in for Arboleda in central defence.
Statistical Analysis
Let’s delve into the statistical aspects of both teams’ performances this season to gain deeper insights into their strengths and weaknesses.
Fluminense’s Season Statistics
- Average BettingTips4You Rating: 6.85
- Goals Scored: 43
- Goals Conceded: 42
- Assists: 29
Attacking
Fluminense has displayed a strong attacking presence this season, averaging 1.3 goals per game. They have been effective from set pieces, scoring 2 out of 4 penalty goals and 1 out of 17 free kick goals. Most of their goals (37 out of 43) have come from inside the box, demonstrating their ability to create opportunities in close quarters.
Defending
While their attacking performance has been commendable, Fluminense has conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game. Their defence will need to improve to secure a victory in this upcoming clash.
Sao Paulo’s Season Statistics
- Average BettingTips4You Rating: 6.84
- Goals Scored: 37
- Goals Conceded: 35
- Assists: 26
Attacking
Sao Paulo has also displayed a strong attacking presence, averaging 1.1 goals per game. They have been clinical in converting penalty goals, scoring 4 out of 8 opportunities. The majority of their goals (32 out of 37) have come from inside the box, highlighting their ability to penetrate the opponent’s defence.
Defending
Sao Paulo’s defence has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per game. They have managed to keep clean sheets on 12 occasions, showcasing their defensive prowess.
Key Areas of the Field
The outcome of this match could be determined in the midfield, where both teams possess creative talents. Key duels between players such as Ganso for Fluminense and Luciano for Sao Paulo will play a crucial role in shaping the game. These midfield battles may dictate the tempo and flow of the match, with the team gaining the upper hand likely to dominate proceedings.
Gameplay Predictions
Expect an intense and closely contested match, with both teams looking to control possession and create scoring opportunities. Fluminense may rely on their wingers to exploit the flanks, while Sao Paulo could focus on quick counter-attacks to catch their opponents off guard. This tactical battle in midfield will be fascinating to watch.
Suggestions for Improvement
Fluminense
Fluminense should work on tightening their defence to reduce the number of goals conceded. Additionally, they could benefit from more clinical finishing in front of the goal to convert scoring opportunities.
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo’s goal-scoring ability is commendable, but they should aim to maintain better possession in midfield. They could also improve their set-piece defence to avoid conceding goals from free kicks and corners.
Managerial Analysis
Both managers, Fernando Diniz and Dorival Junior, have their own strengths and weaknesses.
Fernando Diniz: Diniz has successfully guided Fluminense to a Copa Libertadores triumph and is currently steering them towards a higher league position. However, his ability to manage multiple high-stakes games in a short time, as evidenced by his concurrent roles with the national team and club, could be questioned.
Dorival Junior: Sao Paulo’s Dorival Junior has seen his team perform consistently in recent matches. He aims to secure a better league position than in the previous season. However, his challenge lies in maintaining this form throughout the season.
Predictions:
- Match Result Prediction: Given the recent form of both teams and their closely contested positions in the league, we predict that this match will end in a hard-fought draw. Fluminense 2-2 Sao Paulo.
- Correct Score Prediction: Expecting a high-scoring affair, we predict a 2-2 draw as the most likely correct score.
- Goalscorer Prediction: With their attacking prowess, look for Luciano from Sao Paulo to find the back of the net in this match.
- First Half Result Prediction: We anticipate a closely fought first half, with both teams displaying their defensive solidity. The first half is likely to end in a 0-0 draw.
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