Eldense vs Almeria Predictions

Eldense vs Almeria predictions ahead of this clash in the Segunda Liga. Eldense, a relatively new LaLiga 2 club, recently secured survival with a narrow points margin last season. With financial improvements and better quality, they aim for continued success in the competition. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Eldense
Almeria

LA Liga 2 | Sep 8, 2024 at 5:30pm UK at Nuevo Pepico Amat

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Eldense vs Almeria Predictions

Will Almeria Continue Their Unbeaten Run Against Struggling Eldense?
  • Eldense have lost five of their last seven home league matches, highlighting their ongoing struggles.
  • Almeria have remained unbeaten in their first three matches of the season, showing their resilience following relegation.
  • Almeria’s possession statistics are strong, averaging 60.3% per game, compared to Eldense’s 50.3%, indicating their likely dominance in this fixture.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Almeria to Win @ 5/4
Reasoning
Almeria are favourites to win, with Eldense struggling at home and lacking sharpness. Almeria's strong defence, superior possession, and balanced attack should overwhelm Eldense's defensive vulnerabilities.
Odds subject to change
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Eldense are set to host Almeria this weekend in a crucial La Liga 2 clash, with both teams looking for a positive result after their recent form. While Almeria have maintained an unbeaten start following their relegation from La Liga, Eldense have stumbled after a promising season opener. This match presents a significant opportunity for Almeria to assert their dominance, as they continue their push for a swift return to Spain’s top division. However, Eldense, though inconsistent, will aim to regain their footing and make home advantage count.

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Almeria are undoubtedly the favourites heading into this match, and backing them to win seems the most logical approach. Eldense’s recent home form has been far from impressive, with five defeats in their last seven home league matches, including a recent 2-1 loss to Cartagena. Their struggles, particularly against stronger opposition, were evident last season when they lost four of their home games to top-six sides.

In contrast, Almeria have shown resilience since dropping down from La Liga, remaining unbeaten in their opening three games. They secured a 1-0 victory at Tenerife and earned respectable draws against Racing Santander and Sporting Gijon. Almeria’s defensive strength has been notable, conceding just three goals in their first three matches, which provides a solid foundation for them to build upon against a team like Eldense, who have been defensively vulnerable at home.

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The visitors’ ability to maintain a strong defensive shape, combined with their superior technical quality in possession, should give them the edge. Almeria’s passing accuracy in their own half stands at an impressive 91.2%, while their overall ball possession of 60.3% suggests they will likely dominate the tempo of the game. Eldense, who have struggled with maintaining possession (averaging just 50.3%), may find themselves overwhelmed in the midfield battle, with Almeria controlling the pace and pressing effectively.

Offensively, Almeria have been more consistent than their opponents. With four goals in their opening three matches, they have proven capable of breaking down defences. Luis Suárez, Nicolás Melamed, and Álex Centelles have all contributed to Almeria’s attack, providing a balanced threat both in and outside the box. This is in stark contrast to Eldense, who have only managed three goals in their first three games, and their attack has lacked the sharpness needed to exploit better-organised defences like Almeria’s.

Furthermore, Eldense’s inability to convert big chances has been a major issue, as they miss an average of 2.7 big chances per game. This profligacy in front of goal, coupled with their defensive frailties, means that they are likely to struggle against a disciplined and ambitious Almeria side.

BettingTips4You.com expert John Pentin adds: “With Eldense’s poor home record and Almeria’s solid start, all the signs point to a narrow but deserved win for the visitors. Almeria have the defensive solidity and attacking prowess to capitalise on Eldense’s vulnerabilities.

Given the disparity in form, Almeria’s overall quality, and Eldense’s ongoing struggles at home, the best bet here is for Almeria to secure all three points, continuing their push for promotion.

Correct Score Prediction: Eldense 0-2 Almeria

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Given Almeria’s solid defensive record and Eldense’s struggles both offensively and defensively, a 2-0 win for Almeria seems the most likely outcome. Eldense, with just one clean sheet so far, are likely to concede, and their recent performances suggest they will have difficulty breaking down a well-organised Almeria backline. Almeria’s possession-based approach and ability to exploit set pieces and counter-attacks should see them score a couple of goals, while their defensive discipline will likely keep Eldense at bay throughout the match.

Almeria’s tendency to create big chances (1.3 per game) and their relative efficiency in front of goal suggest that two goals could be the outcome. Meanwhile, Eldense’s missed chances and defensive lapses point towards a scoreline that reflects their current form. Given all the factors in play, 0-2 in favour of Almeria feels like a sensible prediction.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.