Sweden vs Estonia predictions for Sunday’s Euro 2024 qualifying fixture. It has been a very disappointing qualifying campaign for Sweden. Can they finish it with a comfortable home tie against Estonia or will more misery come their way? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Sunday, 19th November at 5:00 pm In:
Sweden vs Estonia Predictions
[wptb id="395938" not found ]Sweden vs Estonia: A Final Bow in Stockholm
Key Stats
– Estonia’s defensive formation has led to them conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game.
– Sweden’s reliance on a 4-4-2 formation under Andersson’s tenure.
The upcoming Euro 2024 qualifier sees Sweden, a side reeling from a string of poor performances, take on Estonia, a team with modest ambitions but a surprising potential back-door entry into the finals. This match in Stockholm, marking Janne Andersson’s final game as Sweden’s coach, is more than just a formality; it’s a clash of pride and possibility.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
BEST VALUE BET £20 Returns £35   Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Best Value Bet Rationale
Gyokeres has been a notable presence in the Swedish attack, starting in four of the six games he’s played and averaging 62 minutes per game. His goal-scoring frequency stands at one goal every 186 minutes, contributing two goals so far in the campaign. While this might not seem prolific at first glance, it’s important to consider the nature of this upcoming fixture.
Sweden faces an Estonian side that has been defensively porous, conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game. Estonia’s backline, likely to adopt a conservative 5-3-2 setup, will face significant pressure from Sweden’s forwards. Gyokeres, with his 2.5 shots per game and 1.3 shots on target per game, is expected to be at the forefront of Sweden’s attacking endeavours.
Furthermore, with Sweden’s Alexander Isak sidelined due to injury, Gyokeres will likely shoulder more responsibility in front of the goal. His versatility in attack, scoring with both feet and contributing with assists, makes him a persistent threat.
Considering Sweden’s last overwhelming victory over Estonia and their intent to conclude their campaign on a high, particularly in Janne Andersson’s final game, it sets an ideal stage for Gyokeres to find the back of the net. His current form, combined with Estonia’s defensive frailties, makes betting on Gyokeres to score anytime a compelling and valuable proposition.
Team Dynamics
Sweden’s recent form, particularly the shocking 3-0 defeat to Azerbaijan, has exposed their vulnerabilities. Andersson’s tenure, culminating in this game, has been marked by inconsistency and underperformance. The reliance on a classic 4-4-2 formation, despite having talents like Viktor Gyokeres and Dejan Kulusevski, suggests a lack of tactical adaptability. The Swedes have struggled to convert chances, as evidenced by their 1.8 goals per game and a significant number of missed big chances.
Estonia, despite their lowly ranking, possess a resilience that shouldn’t be underestimated. Their 5-3-2 setup, designed to frustrate opponents, coupled with Arsenal’s Karl Hein in goal, suggests a defensively oriented strategy. With a mere 34.7% ball possession and an average of 0.3 goals per game, Estonia’s approach is clear: defend deep and hope for the best.
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Tactical Analysis
Sweden, under Andersson, have lacked a clear attacking philosophy. Their midfield often seems disconnected from the forwards, resulting in a lack of coherent attacking moves. For Estonia, the defensive solidity is commendable, but it comes at the cost of almost non-existent attacking threat. This game is likely to be won or lost in the midfield, with Sweden’s ability to control the game and create chances being the key.
Improvement Suggestions
For Sweden, a more dynamic attacking strategy is needed. They must utilise the wings more effectively and support their strikers with creative midfield play. Estonia needs to find a balance between defence and attack. Relying solely on defending deep will not suffice against higher-ranked teams.
Managerial Critique
Andersson’s rigidity and failure to adapt tactically have been his undoing. His reliance on outdated formations without leveraging his squad’s full potential is a critical error. Estonia’s Thomas Haberli, while doing well to organise his team defensively, needs to inject some creativity into his side’s play.
Expected Goals Analysis
Sweden’s expected goals average reflects their underwhelming attack, failing to capitalise on their chances. Estonia’s low expected goals average is a testament to their defensive approach and lack of attacking intent.
Predictions
- Under/Over Goals Market: Under 2.5 Goals. Estonia’s defensive setup and Sweden’s recent scoring woes suggest a low-scoring affair.
- Correct Score Prediction: Sweden 2-0 Estonia. Sweden’s need to end on a high and Estonia’s lack of attacking prowess makes a two-goal margin likely.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Viktor Gyokeres. His position as a forward and recent form make him a likely candidate to find the net.
- Corner Prediction: Sweden to have more corners; total corners over 9. Sweden’s attacking intent will likely force corners, while Estonia will focus more on defending.
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