Denmark vs England predictions for this Euro 2024 group clash. England aim to secure Euro 2024 knockout qualification against Denmark in Group C at Deutsche Bank Park on Thursday. Read on for all our free Euro 2024 predictions and betting tips.
European Championship | Group Stage – Jun 20, 2024 at 5pm UK at Commerzbank-Arena
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Denmark vs England Predictions
Key Stats
– England have kept clean sheets in nine of their last 13 tournament games.
– Jude Bellingham has scored in three of his last five appearances for England.
– Denmark’s Rasmus Hojlund has only scored once in his last nine international matches.
Can Denmark Halt England’s March Towards the Knockouts?
Seeking to secure their spot in the Euro 2024 knockout rounds with a game to spare, England face Denmark in Group C at the Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt on Thursday evening. This marks the first encounter between these two nations since their thrilling Euro 2020 semi-final clash, where England triumphed 2-1 after extra time at Wembley Stadium.
The anticipation is high as both teams bring contrasting forms and fortunes into this critical matchup.
Recent Performances and Tactical Approaches
Denmark’s recent draw against Slovenia was a bittersweet moment, highlighted by Christian Eriksen’s inspirational return to the European Championship stage. Eriksen’s goal, following a clever assist from Jonas Wind, was a moment of magic in an otherwise frustrating match for the Danes, who allowed Slovenia to equalise through Erik Janza’s deflected strike. Manager Kasper Hjulmand lamented his team’s passivity in the latter stages and urged his players to maintain intensity throughout the entire game.
England, meanwhile, began their Euro 2024 campaign with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Serbia. Jude Bellingham’s early header set the tone, but the Three Lions had to show resilience as Serbia pressed for an equaliser. Gareth Southgate’s men demonstrated solid defensive discipline, managing to hold on despite a less dominant second half.
Offensive and Defensive Strategies
Denmark’s offensive strategy hinges significantly on the creative prowess of Eriksen and the finishing ability of Rasmus Hojlund. However, Hojlund has struggled for form recently, scoring only once in his last nine international appearances. This lack of cutting edge up front is a concern for the Danes, who need their forwards to be more clinical.
Defensively, Denmark deploys a three-man backline featuring experienced players like Joachim Andersen and Andreas Christensen. Their wing-backs, Alexander Bah and Victor Kristiansen, are crucial for providing width and supporting both defence and attack. The challenge for Denmark will be maintaining their defensive structure against England’s dynamic front line.
England’s strategy under Southgate has been characterised by a blend of solid defence and opportunistic attacking play. The Three Lions’ backline, marshalled by John Stones and Marc Guehi, has been particularly effective, as evidenced by their recent record of clean sheets. Declan Rice’s role as a defensive midfielder is pivotal in shielding the defence and breaking up opposition play.
Offensively, England relies heavily on the creativity of Jude Bellingham and the pace of Bukayo Saka. Harry Kane, as always, is the focal point of their attack, with Phil Foden and Trent Alexander-Arnold adding further creative options. England’s ability to switch play quickly and exploit spaces will be key against Denmark’s well-organised defence.
Key Player Performances
For Denmark, Christian Eriksen’s return is a major boost. His vision, passing, and goal-scoring ability make him the linchpin of the Danish midfield. Jonas Wind also plays a crucial role with his ability to hold up play and bring others into the attack. However, the underperformance of Rasmus Hojlund is a concern, as the young striker needs to rediscover his goal-scoring touch.
England’s Jude Bellingham has been in sensational form, both for his club, Real Madrid, and for his national team. His ability to drive forward, score goals, and create opportunities makes him a vital asset. Bukayo Saka and Harry Kane also remain pivotal, with Saka’s pace and Kane’s finishing providing England with a potent attacking threat.
Managerial Impact
Kasper Hjulmand’s management style is marked by tactical flexibility and a focus on high energy and pressing. However, his team’s recent lack of intensity in crucial moments has raised questions. Hjulmand needs to ensure his players maintain their energy levels and tactical discipline throughout the game to avoid costly lapses.
Gareth Southgate, often criticised for his conservative approach, has managed to instill a strong defensive ethos in his team. His emphasis on structure and resilience has paid off in terms of clean sheets and defensive solidity. However, Southgate needs to encourage more attacking fluidity to prevent his team from becoming too predictable.
Expected Goals Analysis
Denmark’s expected goals (xG) metric from their draw with Slovenia was indicative of their offensive efforts, yet their conversion rate was disappointing. They created several chances but failed to capitalise, highlighting a need for better finishing.
England’s xG against Serbia was relatively low, reflecting their struggles to convert dominance into clear-cut chances. Despite this, their early goal and subsequent defensive performance ensured they secured a vital win. Improving their attacking efficiency will be crucial against Denmark.
Tactical and Player Performance Comparison
Tactically, Denmark and England differ significantly. Denmark’s reliance on wing-backs and a three-man defence contrasts with England’s more traditional four-man backline and emphasis on midfield control. The battle in midfield between Eriksen and Hojbjerg for Denmark, and Bellingham and Rice for England, will be pivotal in determining the game’s flow.
Player performances have also varied, with England’s Bellingham and Saka showing consistent form, while Denmark’s Hojlund has struggled. The defensive solidity of England’s backline, particularly Stones and Guehi, provides a stark contrast to Denmark’s occasional defensive lapses.
Tactical Analysis: Deep-Dive
Offensive and Defensive Strategies
In their recent matches, both England and Denmark have employed distinctive offensive and defensive strategies. England’s approach against Serbia was characterised by a solid defensive foundation and opportunistic attacking play. The defensive line, anchored by John Stones and Marc Guehi, has been resilient, while Declan Rice’s role as a holding midfielder provides additional stability. England’s offensive strategy leverages the creativity of Jude Bellingham and the speed of Bukayo Saka. This combination allows them to exploit spaces and create high-quality chances. Against Serbia, Bellingham’s late runs into the box and Harry Kane’s positioning were critical in breaking down the opposition defence.
Denmark, under Kasper Hjulmand, typically employ a three-man defensive line supported by wing-backs who provide width and defensive cover. In their match against Slovenia, Denmark’s strategy involved using Christian Eriksen as the creative hub in midfield, with Rasmus Hojlund and Jonas Wind leading the attack. However, their offensive execution was lacking, as they failed to convert several key chances. Defensively, Denmark relies on the experience of Andreas Christensen and Jannik Vestergaard to maintain structure and intercept attacks.
Individual Performances of Key Players
Jude Bellingham has been England’s standout performer. His ability to control the midfield, drive forward, and score crucial goals makes him indispensable. Bellingham’s goal against Serbia showcased his knack for finding the right spaces and his composure under pressure. Bukayo Saka also plays a vital role, using his pace and dribbling skills to create opportunities and stretch defences.
For Denmark, Christian Eriksen’s return has been heartwarming and impactful. His vision and passing accuracy provide the creative spark needed in midfield. Despite his age, Eriksen remains a key player for Denmark, as evidenced by his performance against Slovenia. Rasmus Hojlund, although struggling to find the net recently, is crucial for his ability to create space and opportunities for his teammates.
Managerial Impact on Style of Play
Gareth Southgate’s management style focuses on defensive solidity and structured attacking play. His pragmatic approach ensures that England remain tough to break down, as seen in their consistent clean sheets. Southgate’s use of versatile players like Trent Alexander-Arnold in midfield adds creativity while maintaining defensive strength.
Kasper Hjulmand’s approach is more fluid, encouraging high-energy play and quick transitions. However, his tendency to stick with certain players despite form issues has drawn criticism. Hjulmand needs to balance his reliance on experienced players with the integration of younger talents to maintain Denmark’s competitiveness.
Analysis on Expected Goals (xG)
England’s xG in their match against Serbia was relatively modest, indicating they need to convert more of their possession into clear-cut chances. Their defensive strategy, however, ensured that they limited Serbia’s xG to a negligible figure, showcasing their ability to control the game defensively.
Denmark’s xG against Slovenia was higher, reflecting their ability to create opportunities. However, their failure to capitalise on these chances points to inefficiencies in their finishing. Hojlund’s poor run of form has been a significant factor in this, as his role as a primary forward necessitates better conversion rates.
Comparison of Tactics and Performances
England’s tactics under Southgate emphasise a strong defensive base with quick, decisive attacks. This balance has been crucial in their recent success. Players like Bellingham and Saka provide the creative impetus, while the defensive unit remains compact and disciplined.
Denmark’s tactics rely heavily on wing-backs for width and midfielders like Eriksen to create chances. Their defensive setup with a three-man backline provides stability, but their offensive execution has been inconsistent. The contrast in their forwards’ form, particularly Hojlund’s struggle to score, highlights a significant area of concern.
Suggestions for Improvement
For England, improving their attacking efficiency is key. They need to convert more of their possession into high-quality chances. Integrating more dynamic movements in the final third and ensuring players like Foden are used in their most effective positions could enhance their offensive output.
Denmark must address their finishing issues. Encouraging Hojlund to regain his confidence and focusing on better utilisation of chances created by Eriksen will be crucial. Defensively, maintaining intensity throughout the match and avoiding lapses in concentration are areas that require attention.
Strengths and Weaknesses
England’s strength lies in their defensive discipline and versatile attack. However, their occasional conservatism can lead to a lack of offensive fluidity. Southgate’s pragmatic approach, while ensuring solidity, sometimes stifles creative freedom.
Denmark’s creativity through Eriksen and their structured defence are strengths. Yet, their finishing woes and occasional defensive lapses undermine their potential. Hjulmand’s management style, while generally effective, needs to adapt to maximise the potential of his younger players.
Predictions
Best Bet: England -1 to Win
England’s recent form, coupled with their defensive solidity and attacking prowess, makes them strong favourites to win by more than one goal against Denmark. The Three Lions showcased their resilience in their opening match against Serbia, where their defensive unit, led by John Stones and Marc Guehi, kept a clean sheet.
Moreover, with the creative abilities of Jude Bellingham and the clinical finishing of Harry Kane, England have the potential to secure a comfortable victory. Denmark, on the other hand, have shown vulnerabilities in both defence and attack, as seen in their draw with Slovenia. Therefore, England -1 is a reliable bet, considering their overall quality and recent performances.
Correct Score: Denmark 0-2 England
A 2-0 win for England is a plausible outcome, reflecting their ability to control games defensively while being effective in attack. England’s backline, featuring the experienced Kyle Walker and Kieran Trippier, has been impenetrable, having kept clean sheets in their recent matches.
Offensively, the combination of Bellingham’s creativity and Kane’s scoring ability provides a balanced threat. Denmark’s recent struggles in converting chances, particularly with Rasmus Hojlund’s dip in form, further support this prediction. England’s tactical discipline and attacking efficiency suggest a straightforward 2-0 victory, securing their place in the knockout stages.
Goalscorer: Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham has been in outstanding form, making him a prime candidate to score against Denmark. His recent performances for Real Madrid and England highlight his ability to drive forward and find the back of the net. Bellingham’s knack for timing his runs into the box and his finishing skills make him a constant threat.
Given his role in the team, where he often finds himself in advanced positions, Bellingham is likely to capitalise on the chances created by his teammates. His record of scoring in three of his last five appearances for England adds to the confidence in this prediction.
Corners Prediction: England to Get More Corners
England’s attacking style and their use of width suggest they will earn more corners than Denmark. The Three Lions frequently exploit the flanks, with wingers like Bukayo Saka and full-backs like Trippier contributing to their corner count. In their match against Serbia, England’s approach led to numerous corner opportunities, a trend expected to continue against Denmark.
Denmark’s defensive strategy, which might involve sitting back and absorbing pressure, will likely result in conceding several corners. Hence, England are expected to dominate the corner count, potentially reaching double figures.
Shot on Target: Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka’s direct playing style and his ability to cut inside from the wings make him a strong candidate to register shots on target. Saka’s recent performances for both Arsenal and England have demonstrated his threat in the attacking third. His pace and dribbling skills allow him to create shooting opportunities, and his accuracy ensures that he tests the goalkeeper regularly.
Against Denmark, Saka’s role will involve penetrating the defence and getting into positions to shoot, making it likely that he will have at least one shot on target during the match.
Yellow Card: Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg’s role as a defensive midfielder involves breaking up play and committing tactical fouls, making him prone to receiving yellow cards. His combative style and responsibility for disrupting England’s midfield make him a prime candidate for a booking.
Hojbjerg’s necessity to contain the likes of Bellingham and Saka will increase his chances of committing fouls. Given his track record and the nature of this high-stakes game, Hojbjerg is likely to be shown a yellow card during the encounter.
Assist Prediction: Trent Alexander-Arnold
Trent Alexander-Arnold’s crossing ability and vision make him an excellent candidate for providing an assist. Playing in a more advanced midfield role, Alexander-Arnold has the opportunity to influence the game further up the pitch. His delivery from set-pieces and open play is among the best in the game, and his understanding with players like Kane and Bellingham enhances his assist potential.
Given England’s attacking dynamics and Alexander-Arnold’s creative prowess, he is likely to provide at least one assist against Denmark.
Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Goal
Considering England’s attacking depth and quality, predicting them to have over 15 shots on goal is a plausible market. The Three Lions’ ability to dominate possession and create numerous opportunities suggests they will consistently test the Danish goalkeeper.
Players like Bellingham, Saka, and Kane are known for their willingness to shoot, increasing the likelihood of a high shot count. England’s approach to maintaining attacking pressure throughout the game will contribute to reaching this target, making this an appealing prediction for the match.
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