Chaves vs Arouca Predictions

Chaves vs Arouca predictions for this Liga Primeira affair. Chaves, seeking to avoid further descent in the Primeira Liga, will host a high-performing Arouca team this Friday. Read on for our free La Liga predictions and betting tips.

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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24 – Mar 1, 2024 at 8.15pm UK at Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

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Chaves vs Arouca Predictions

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A Battle for Survival: Chaves and Arouca’s Primeira Liga Showdown

Key Stats

– Hector Hernandez is Chaves’ beacon of hope with 12 goals, highlighting his importance in their survival bid.

– Arouca’s resurgence is underscored by their five wins in the last six matches, a testament to their form and cohesion.

– The contrasting fortunes of both teams set the stage for a riveting match, with survival and ascension hanging in the balance.

In the picturesque town of Chaves, a football match of paramount importance is set to unfold at the Manuel Branco Teixeira Stadium. Chaves, fighting tooth and nail to claw their way out of the relegation mire, will host a resurgent Arouca, a team that has found its rhythm and is eyeing a place higher up in the Primeira Liga standings. This encounter is more than just a game; it’s a testament to resilience, strategy, and the unyielding desire to prevail.

Chaves’ Quest for Redemption

Chaves’ season has been marred by inconsistency and missed opportunities. Anchored in the 17th spot with a meager 18 points from 23 games, their predicament is dire but not devoid of hope. The recent uplift in form, marked by a crucial victory over Boavista and a gritty draw against Estrela Amadora, has injected a dose of optimism into Moreno’s squad. However, the challenge is monumental, and every point now is worth its weight in gold.


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The expected lineup of Souza; Rodrigues, Vitoria, Pius; Carraca, Essugo, Guzzo, Nwakali, Cruz; Jo, Hernandez, hints at a blend of defensive solidity and attacking ambition. Hector Hernandez, with 12 goals under his belt, remains the beacon of hope in Chaves’ quest for survival.

Arouca’s Ascendancy

Contrastingly, Arouca’s journey has been a tale of resurgence. From languishing near the relegation zone, Sousa’s men have catapulted themselves to 7th place, courtesy of a remarkable run that saw them triumph in five of their last six matches. The synergy within the team, spearheaded by the lethal Rafa Mujica and the creative prowess of Cristo Gonzalez, has been instrumental in their ascent.

Their anticipated lineup featuring De Arruabarrena; Esgaio, Bambu, Montero, Weverson; Simao, Santos; Jason, Gonzalez, Sylla; Mujica, underscores a tactical setup that balances defensive rigour with attacking fluidity. Mujica, with 14 goals, alongside Gonzalez, forms a daunting duo that can unsettle any defence.

Tactical Battles and Predicted Gameplay

The crux of this match lies in the midfield, where Chaves’ Guzzo and Nwakali will lock horns with Arouca’s Simao and Santos. Controlling the tempo and dictating play will be crucial for both sides. Arouca’s inclination towards a possession-based game will be tested against Chaves’ potential counter-attacking threat.

Given Arouca’s form and Chaves’ desperation for points, an open game is anticipated. Both teams will seek to assert dominance early on, but tactical discipline will be paramount. Arouca’s superior form and cohesive play make them favourites, but Chaves’ fighting spirit cannot be underestimated.


1. Win-Draw-Win Market: Arouca to Win

Arouca’s remarkable form, coupled with Chaves’ struggles, especially in converting draws to wins, leans the prediction towards an Arouca victory. The visitors’ ability to perform under pressure will be key in overcoming Chaves’ resistance.

2. Correct Score Prediction: Chaves 1-3 Arouca

Given both teams’ offensive capabilities and Arouca’s recent scoring form, a 3-1 victory for the visitors seems plausible. Arouca’s attacking prowess, led by Mujica and Gonzalez, is likely to overpower Chaves’ defence.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Rafa Mujica to Score

Rafa Mujica, with his current scoring streak and pivotal role in Arouca’s attack, is the prime candidate to find the back of the net. His knack for crucial goals makes him a threat that Chaves will find difficult to nullify.

4. First Half Result: Arouca to Lead at Half-Time

Arouca’s tendency to start games strongly, combined with Chaves’ vulnerability in early stages, suggests that the visitors could establish a lead by half-time. Arouca’s cohesive and dynamic attacking play is expected to unsettle Chaves from the outset.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.