Celta Vigo vs Almeria Predictions

Celta Vigo vs Almeria predictions for this La Liga affair. Almeria aims for their first win of the 2023-24 La Liga season against Celta Vigo at Estadio Municipal de Balaidos on Friday evening. Read on for our free La Liga predictions and betting tips.

Celta Vigo

La Liga | Gameweek 27 – Mar 1, 2024 at 8pm UK at Abanca-Balaidos (Vigo)

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Celta Vigo vs Almeria Predictions

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A Crucial Battle at Balaidos: Celta Vigo and Almeria’s Fight for Survival

Key Stats

– Celta Vigo have lost their last four home matches, highlighting their struggles at Balaidos.

– Almeria remain winless this season, underscoring their desperate situation at the foot of the table.

– Both teams have shown a propensity to concede, with a combined total of 93 goals allowed this season.

As the La Liga season edges towards its climax, Celta Vigo and Almeria prepare to lock horns in a crucial encounter that could significantly influence the relegation battle. Both teams, languishing at the lower end of the table, are desperate for points to secure their top-flight status. This match at the Estadio Municipal de Balaidos is not just a contest but a lifeline for survival.

Celta Vigo’s Home Dilemma

Under Rafael Benitez, Celta Vigo have shown flashes of potential but have struggled to translate that into consistent performances, especially at home. With only one victory from their last seven in all competitions and a home record that ranks among the worst in the league, the pressure is mounting.


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The late capitulation against Cadiz, squandering a two-goal lead, highlighted their fragility and inability to close out games. Their attack, although capable, has often been isolated, with Iago Aspas shouldering much of the scoring responsibility. Improvements are needed in both defensive solidity and attacking cohesion.

Almeria’s Uphill Battle

Almeria’s season has been a tale of what-ifs, with the team yet to register a win. Despite a spirited display against Atletico Madrid, where they twice came from behind, the absence of victories has been their undoing. The loan signing of Luka Romero provided a spark, but his recent injury is a blow to their survival hopes.

Gaizka Garitano has managed to instill a fighting spirit, yet the lack of quality in crucial areas has left them adrift. For Almeria, it’s not just about securing a win but finding a formula for consistency.

Tactical Insight and Expected Lineups

Celta’s approach under Benitez has been pragmatic, but their execution has lacked precision. The expected lineup of Guaita; Manquillo, Starfelt, U Nunez, M Sanchez; Allende, Jailson, Beltran, De la Torre; Larsen, Douvikas suggests a focus on solidity with bursts of attacking intent. However, without Aspas’s influence, others must step up.

Almeria’s lineup, with Maximiano; Pubill, Gonzalez, Chumi, Langa; Baba, Robertone; Arribas, Viera, Embarba; Lozano, signals an intent to be compact but also hints at vulnerabilities in defence that Celta could exploit. The onus will be on Arribas and Viera to create and Lozano to convert any chances.

Key Duels and Gameplay Prediction

The midfield battle, particularly between Celta’s Fran Beltran and Almeria’s Lucas Robertone, could dictate the tempo. Celta’s wider players, especially De la Torre, will need to exploit Almeria’s defensive flanks. In contrast, Almeria’s counter-attacks, led by Embarba’s pace, could trouble Celta’s backline. The game is likely to be tight, with moments of individual brilliance or errors deciding the outcome.


1. Both Teams to Score: Yes

Given both teams’ defensive records and recent form, it’s plausible to expect goals at both ends. Celta’s attacking efforts at home and Almeria’s desperate need for points should make for an open game.

2. Correct Score Prediction: Celta Vigo 2-1 Almeria

Celta’s need to bounce back at home and Almeria’s poor away form tilts the prediction in favour of a narrow victory for the hosts. However, it’s expected to be a closely fought match, with Almeria showing resilience.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Jorgen Strand Larsen to Score

With Aspas missing, Larsen has an opportunity to step up. His physical presence and ability in the air could be crucial in breaking down Almeria’s defence.

4. Corner Prediction: Total Corners Over 9.5

Both teams’ tendency to attack through the wings and reliance on set-pieces for goals suggests a high number of corners. Celta’s offensive play and Almeria’s counter-attacks will contribute to this tally.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.