Burnley vs Chelsea Predictions

Burnley vs Chelsea predictions for Saturday’s Premier League clash at Turf Moor. After a solid 2-0 win on Monday night against Fulham, can an improving Chelsea record a third win in a row when they travel North to face a struggling Burnley? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Saturday, 7th October at 3:00 pm In:

Burnley vs Chelsea Predictions

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Clarets Hope to Rise as Blues Seek Continuation

Key Stats
– Chelsea have scored in their last 16 Premier League meetings against Burnley.
– Burnley are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, conceding 16 goals.
– Chelsea have won their last five visits to Turf Moor with an aggregate score of 17-3.

The Premier League offers up yet another exciting encounter as Chelsea make their way to Turf Moor, eager to maintain their winning streak. Simultaneously, Burnley, fresh off their first victory of the season, are hoping to pull off an upset and begin a journey out of the relegation zone.

Burnley’s Bumpy Ride: Promoted after a dominating Championship season where they amassed 101 points, Burnley have not had the smoothest of transitions back into the Premier League. It took seven matches for the Clarets to finally secure their first win. In a nail-biting finish against Luton Town, they were saved by Jacob Bruun Larsen’s incredible last-minute goal. Manager Vincent Kompany’s side now hopes that this initial triumph will pave the way for many more, transforming their season.


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However, concerns remain. The Clarets have found it tough at Turf Moor, suffering four consecutive losses. With the ghost of past teams that began with five home losses haunting them, they desperately need a turnaround. The defence, having conceded 16 goals already, is an evident area of concern.

Chelsea’s High Hopes: Chelsea are approaching this game with their morale boosted, after recent successes against Brighton in the EFL Cup and a league win over Fulham. Mauricio Pochettino’s side broke their winless and scoreless stretch with the Fulham game, setting their sights now on a European spot.

However, challenges lie ahead for the Blues. The upcoming fixtures against Premier League elites like Manchester City, Tottenham, and Manchester United will test their resolve. Their past record against Burnley, especially the 4-0 victory in March 2022, might give them confidence, but Pochettino’s men cannot afford complacency.

Team News: Burnley will miss Michael Obafemi, Nathan Redmond, and Darko Churlinov due to injuries. On the brighter side, Johann Berg Gudmundsson and others might return to bolster their squad. Chelsea, meanwhile, have a list of sidelined players including Ben Chilwell and Christopher Nkunku. Reece James’s suspension further complicates the lineup, with left-back Marc Cucurella expected to fill in on the right.


1. Match Outcome: Chelsea Victory The Foundation: Burnley, although gaining some momentum with their recent win, have had a troubling start to the Premier League season. The Clarets have struggled, particularly at Turf Moor, losing all their home matches this campaign. Such a poor home record is juxtaposed against Chelsea’s strong away performances, especially at Turf Moor where they’ve achieved five successive wins with an aggregate score of 17-3. Historically, Chelsea have displayed dominance over Burnley, winning 11 out of their last 16 Premier League encounters.

The Insight: Although football is an unpredictable sport, the patterns and stats lean heavily towards a Chelsea victory. Burnley’s fragile defence, having conceded 16 goals without a single clean sheet, will be severely tested by Chelsea’s attack. Mauricio Pochettino’s men will be eager to continue their upward trend, especially before they face a string of tough fixtures.

2. Correct Score: 3-1 to Chelsea The Foundation: Chelsea’s recent history of trips to Turf Moor speaks volumes of their offensive capabilities, with a 4-0 triumph on their last visit in March 2022 being a prime example. Burnley’s defensive frailties are evident from their 16 goals conceded in just seven matches, which is an alarming rate.

The Insight: Although Chelsea have shown prowess in their attacking game, Burnley, fresh from their recent victory and playing in front of their home crowd, might find the net once. A 3-1 scoreline seems plausible, given Chelsea’s superior form and Burnley’s potential to capitalise on a momentary lapse or set-piece scenario.

3. Goalscorer: Raheem Sterling The Foundation: Sterling’s history in the Premier League and his natural ability to find pockets of space make him a prime candidate. Although he hasn’t been Chelsea’s top scorer this season, Sterling’s agility and finishing ability, combined with Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities, could prove fruitful for the English international.

The Insight: Considering the expected return of Sterling to the lineup and the spaces Burnley’s defence often leaves unguarded, it’s feasible to bet on Sterling making an impact on the scoresheet. The pace and width he offers might be the perfect antidote to Burnley’s defensive setup.

4. Player to Receive a Yellow Card: Jordan Beyer The Foundation: Burnley’s Jordan Beyer tops their yellow card chart for the season with three cautions already. This suggests a player who’s often involved in tackles and isn’t afraid to put his foot in, even if it means being on the wrong side of the referee’s decisions.

The Insight: Matches against top sides like Chelsea often require teams to defend more rigorously, increasing the likelihood of fouls. Given Beyer’s previous record and the threat posed by Chelsea’s attacking players, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him end up in the referee’s book.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.