Brazil vs Peru Predictions

Brazil vs Peru predictions ahead of this Nations League clash. Brazil, buoyed by a recent late win, host Peru in Brasilia for a CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier. Dorival Junior’s side will look to build momentum and secure another crucial victory. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

Peru

World Cup Qualifying – South America | Group Stage | Oct 16, 2024 at 1.45am UK at Arena BRB Mane Garrincha (Brasilia, Distrito Federal)

Brazil vs Peru Predictions

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BRAZIL vs PERU
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Can Brazil Cruise Past Peru in their World Cup Qualifier?

Best Odds Boost for this Match
William hill
BRAZIL TO WIN BOTH HALVES & RAPHINHA TO SCORE
9/2 (was 7/2)
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  • Brazil’s Home Comforts: Brazil have dominated Peru in recent encounters, winning the last five meetings, and haven’t conceded a single goal in the last four. Expect their strong home form to continue.
  • Peru’s Goal Drought: Peru have managed only three goals in nine qualifying matches, averaging just 0.3 goals per game. With their top players sidelined, finding the back of the net in Brazil looks a tall order.
  • Brazil’s Attacking Edge: The Selecao have been creating chances with ease, taking over 11 shots per game. Against a shaky Peru defence that has conceded 10 goals in nine games, expect Brazil to score multiple times.

Our Tips

Brazil -1 to Win
13/20 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Brazil -1 to win is a solid bet, given their superior attack and Peru's defensive vulnerabilities. Brazil’s creativity and defensive solidity, combined with Peru’s struggles in front of goal, make this likely.
Brazil 3-0
5/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 3-0 Brazil victory seems likely, given their attacking strength and Peru’s scoring struggles. Brazil’s firepower, led by Igor Jesus and Luiz Henrique, combined with a solid defence, should secure a comfortable win.

The anticipation is building ahead of Brazil’s clash with Peru in the next round of CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying. Brazil are under some pressure following inconsistent performances, but their victory over Chile last week has provided a much-needed boost. Meanwhile, Peru have also tasted success, registering their first win of the qualifying campaign against Uruguay, and they will be desperate to build on that momentum. The match will take place in Brasilia, with Brazil looking to solidify their position in the standings, while Peru are aiming to pull themselves further up from the bottom of the table.

With Brazil’s inconsistent form, this match isn’t without its potential surprises, but historically, the Selecao have dominated Peru, winning their last five meetings. Peru, despite their recent win, are coming into the game as massive underdogs. The question on everyone’s mind is whether Brazil can deliver the dominant performance expected of them or if Peru can continue to defy expectations with another upset.

Best Bet: Brazil -1 to Win

Brazil have a history of dominating Peru, and the form book suggests that this pattern is unlikely to change in this fixture. The bet to back here is Brazil -1 to win, and here’s why. First, Brazil’s attacking firepower far exceeds what Peru can muster. Players like Luiz Henrique and Igor Jesus have been in superb form, with both contributing key goals in the victory against Chile. With Bruno Guimaraes expected to start in midfield, Brazil will have even more creativity, pushing Peru’s already stretched defence to its limits.

Brazil have been excellent at home during this qualification campaign, and although they’ve faced some bumps along the road, their ability to create scoring opportunities remains strong. On average, they are taking over 11 shots per game, with 4.1 of those on target. This stat is crucial, as it underlines Brazil’s dominance in the final third. Against a Peru side that concedes an average of 1.1 goals per game and struggles to create scoring chances (only 0.7 big chances per game), Brazil should comfortably cover a -1 handicap.

Peru’s defence may have held up against Uruguay, but facing Brazil in their own backyard is a completely different proposition. Jorge Fossati’s side has shown defensive vulnerabilities throughout the campaign, allowing 10 goals across their nine matches. With key players like Renato Tapia and Yoshimar Yotun sidelined, Peru’s midfield will struggle to provide the necessary cover for their backline, especially against Brazil’s high-pressing game.

A significant factor working in Brazil’s favour is their defensive solidity, led by Marquinhos and Gabriel Magalhaes. Brazil have kept clean sheets in two of their last three matches, and Peru’s attack, which has scored just three goals in nine games, doesn’t look equipped to trouble them. Even with Miguel Araujo’s goal against Uruguay, Peru lack the consistent threat needed to break down Brazil’s well-organised defence.

“Brazil’s attacking prowess and defensive strength make them clear favourites here. Backing them with a -1 handicap looks like a smart move, as they should easily overpower a weakened Peru side,” said BettingTips4You.com expert,Gerard Gabasa.

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Correct Score Prediction: Brazil 3-0 Peru

Given Brazil’s dominance in this fixture historically and Peru’s struggles to score goals, a 3-0 victory for Brazil seems like the most plausible outcome. Brazil have the offensive firepower to find the back of the net multiple times, especially with Igor Jesus leading the line after his recent goal-scoring heroics. Luiz Henrique, who netted the winner against Chile, will also be a key figure, and his ability to break down Peru’s defence will likely result in more chances created for the Selecao.

Brazil are averaging 1.2 goals per game in this qualifying campaign, but this stat doesn’t fully reflect their potential against a team like Peru, who are ranked near the bottom of the standings. Peru, on the other hand, have only managed to score 0.3 goals per game and have been particularly poor on the road, meaning it’s unlikely they’ll breach Brazil’s defence.

Defensively, Brazil’s strong backline, anchored by Marquinhos and Gabriel, should hold firm against a Peru side that lacks firepower. With Ederson between the posts, and Peru’s inability to consistently create chances, another clean sheet seems a safe bet.

In conclusion, Brazil should have enough in the tank to win comfortably by a three-goal margin, a result that would not only confirm their superiority but also ease some of the pressure on Dorival Junior.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.